Douglas Murray: Putin, Zelenskyy, Trump, Israel, Netanyahu, Hamas & Gaza | Lex Fridman Podcast #463

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Resumen del Podcast de Lex Fridman con Douglas Murray

RESUMEN

Puntos Clave de la Conversación

Este podcast de Lex Fridman presenta una conversación con Douglas Murray sobre varios conflictos geopolíticos, incluyendo la guerra en Ucrania, el conflicto entre Israel y Palestina y el rol de figuras como Putin, Zelenskyy y Trump. Murray, con base en sus visitas a las zonas de conflicto, ofrece perspectivas críticas y a menudo controversiales, enfatizándose la importancia de la observación directa sobre la información mediática.

IDEAS PRINCIPALES

Guerra en Ucrania

  • La realidad de la guerra: Murray contrasta el optimismo inicial en Ucrania sobre la victoria con un cansancio y agotamiento más recientes, observados en sus visitas de 2022 y 2024. La experiencia de la guerra y el esfuerzo de los soldados ucranianos contrastando fuertemente con el ruido político y mediático.
  • El encuentro Zelensky-Trump: Considera que la reunión fue prematura y no contribuyó a la paz, posiblemente actuando como una señal a Putin desde Washington. Se destaca la falta de respeto por Zelensky por parte de un periodista en dicho encuentro.
  • El rol de los memes y la política de EE.UU.: El posicionamiento político en EE.UU. entorno a la guerra frecuentemente se reduce a una polarización simplista, dificultando un análisis objetivo.
  • Crítica a Putin: Se describe a Putin como un dictador, cleptócrata, y responsable del asesinato de personas en otros países, mediante armas de destrucción masiva. Se cuestiona la legitimidad de sus elecciones, así como de sus motivaciones expansionistas.
  • Posible acuerdo de paz: Murray menciona la posibilidad de que Ucrania ceda territorio para alcanzar la paz, aunque considera que esta opción es difícil para los ucranianos dado el sufrimiento y la ocupación rusa.

Conflicto Israel-Palestina

  • El Ataque del 7 de Octubre: Describe el ataque de Hamas como una operación masiva y coordinada (con Hezbollah en el norte) para aniquilar a Israel, pero que fracasó en sus objetivos de la conquista total.
  • Fracaso de Inteligencia Israelí: Se analiza el fracaso de la inteligencia israelí para anticiparse a este ataque, atribuyéndolo a una mala comprensión de Hamas (considerándolos solo corruptos, y no ideológicamente motivados) y fallas militares. Se menciona la falta de respuesta de las fuerzas de defensa de Israel en algunos casos, así como el uso de confusión táctica por parte de Hamas.
  • Hamas: Ideología y Corrupción: Se presenta a Hamas como una organización terrorista con una ideología que busca la destrucción de Israel y la aniquilación de los judíos. Analiza su corrupción y la manera en que el pueblo de Gaza ha sufrido por las acciones de Hamas.
  • Acciones de Israel: Murray defiende las acciones israelíes como una respuesta proporcionada (aunque admite que la percepción pública puede diferir). Rechaza la narrativa de genocidio y analiza la dificultad de las operaciones militares dentro de una zona tan densamente poblada y controlada por Hamas.
  • El rol de Irán: Se identifica la influencia de Irán en el financiamiento, entrenamiento y armamentos de Hamas y Hezbollah.
  • Netanyahu: Se presentan argumentos a favor y en contra de las acciones de Netanyahu como líder en este conflicto. Se destaca la complejidad de gobernar en un contexto de conflicto y presión internacional.

Antisemitismo

  • El resurgimiento del antisemitismo: Murray observa un incremento en el antisemitismo en línea, argumentando que tiene sus orígenes en la propia proyección psicológica de quienes lo expresan, quienes buscan una explicación simple para los complejos conflictos mundiales.
  • Proyección psicológica: Se analiza la manera en que ciertas narrativas antisionistas proyectan culpas y errores del pasado colonial occidental sobre Israel.

INSIGHTS

  • La importancia de la observación directa: La reiterada insistencia en la necesidad de la observación directa en zona de conflicto para obtener una comprensión real de los sucesos, más allá de las narrativas mediáticas.
  • La complejidad de los líderes mundiales: La necesidad de analizar la complejidad de los líderes mundiales y la dificultad de negociacion en momentos de conflicto.
  • La naturaleza del mal y la guerra: La explícita discusión en torno a la naturaleza del mal y la dificultad de entender acciones atroces como las cometidas por Hamas, y cómo la guerra puede deshumanizar a los participantes.
  • La influencia de la "cultura de la muerte": La recurrente mención de la "cultura de la muerte" o movimientos de tipo "secta de la muerte" como una fuerza motivadora tras el comportamiento de Hamas y el régimen Iraní.

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RESUMEN

Douglas Murray analiza los conflictos en Ucrania y Gaza, compartiendo sus experiencias en zonas de guerra y reflexiones geopolíticas. Discute los roles de Putin, Zelensky, Netanyahu y Hamas, destacando la complejidad ética de estos conflictos.

IDEAS

  • La realidad de la guerra difiere de la narrativa mediática que la rodea.
  • Putin es un dictador represivo con ambiciones expansionistas.
  • Las negociaciones de paz requieren equilibrio entre pragmatismo y principios.
  • El liderazgo en tiempos de guerra exige fortaleza y flexibilidad moral.
  • Hamas opera como culto a la muerte con agenda genocida contra Israel.
  • La respuesta israelí debe medirse entre legítima defensa y proporcionalidad.
  • El antisemitismo resurge usando nuevos discursos pseudointelectuales.
  • Irán patrocina el terrorismo mientras oprime a su propio pueblo.
  • Las democracias enfrentan dilemas éticos al combatir regímenes totalitarios.
  • La guerra corrompe pero también revela lo mejor del espíritu humano.

INSIGHTS

  • Los conflictos modernos tienen capas de propaganda que oscurecen verdades.
  • Los líderes en guerra cargan con traumas que afectan su juicio político.
  • Las sociedades occidentales proyectan sus culpas en el conflicto israelí.
  • Las tácticas terroristas buscan provocar respuestas desproporcionadas.
  • La memoria histórica moldea percepciones actuales de manera poderosa.

CITAS

  • "Decidieron destruir Israel más que crear un estado palestino."
  • "Hamás usa las leyes de guerra completamente en su propia ventaja."
  • "El antisemitismo es casi inerradicable en el espíritu humano."
  • "Putin no está negociando, está reconstituyendo la Unión Soviética."
  • "Cuando la muerte está frente a ti, da una claridad terrible."

HÁBITOS

  • Viajar a zonas de conflicto para entender realidades locales.
  • Leer filosófos como Grossman para analizar conflictos actuales.
  • Dialogar con jóvenes para mantener perspectiva optimista.
  • Revisar fuentes primarias antes que narrativas mediáticas.
  • Mantener escepticismo saludable hacia conspiraciones simplistas.

HECHOS

  • 20,000 niños ucranianos fueron secuestrados por Rusia.
  • Hamás construyó 500 km de túneles bajo Gaza desde 2005.
  • Irán financia a Hamás y Hezbólá con millones anuales.
  • Israel gastó 23.4 mil millones en defensa en 2023.
  • El 7/10 fue el mayor fracaso de inteligencia israelí.

REFERENCIAS

  • "Vida y Destino" de Vasily Grossman
  • "El Sentido Trágico de la Vida" de Unamuno
  • Los Protocolos de los Sabios de Sión
  • Discursos de Winston Churchill
  • Articulos del New York Post

CONCLUSIÓN EN UNA FRASE

La guerra expone lo peor y mejor de la humanidad, exigiendo claridad moral ante la complejidad.

RECOMENDACIONES

  • Viajar a zonas en conflicto para comprender realidades.
  • Leer filosofía existencialista sobre guerras pasadas.
  • Escuchar múltiples perspectivas con escepticismo abierto.
  • Analizar discursos históricos sobre liderazgo en crisis.
  • Rechazar simplificaciones morales en conflictos complejos.

they end up chanting in front of him<br>"Viva<br>Lamuete long live death." They have<br>their counterparts today they are the<br>people who who taunt Americans<br>Westerners Israelis and others with<br>lines<br>like "We love death more than you love<br>life."<br>The following is a conversation with<br>Douglas Murray author of The War in the<br>West The Madness of Crowds and his new<br>book on democracies and death cults we<br>talk about Russia and Ukraine and about<br>Israel and Gaza douglas has very strong<br>views on these topics and he defends<br>them brilliantly and fearlessly as I<br>always try to do for all topics I will<br>also talk to people who have different<br>views from Douglas including on the next<br>episode of this<br>podcast we live in an era of online<br>discourse where grifters drama farmers<br>liars bots sickopants and sociopaths<br>roam the vast beautiful dark land of the<br>internet it's hard to know who to trust<br>i believe no one is in possession of the<br>entire truth but some are more correct<br>than others some are insightful and some<br>are delusional the problem is it's hard<br>to tell which is which unless you use<br>your mind with intellectual humility and<br>with rigor i recommend you listen to<br>many sources who disagree with each<br>other and try to pick up wisdom from<br>each also I recommend you visit the<br>places in question as Douglas has as I<br>have or at least talk face to face with<br>people who have spent most of their<br>lives living there whether it's Israel<br>Palestine Ukraine or<br>Russia let's try together to not be cogs<br>in the machine of outrage and instead to<br>reach toward reason and compassion<br>there is no Hitler Stalin or Mao on the<br>world stage today plus there are<br>thousands of nuclear weapons ready to<br>fire human civilization hangs in the<br>balance the 21st century is a new<br>geopolitical puzzle all of us are tasked<br>with<br>solving let's not mess it<br>up this is the Lexman podcast to support<br>it please check out our sponsors in the<br>description and now dear friends here's<br>Douglas<br>Murray what have you understood about<br>the war in Ukraine from uh your visits<br>there just looking at the big picture of<br>your understanding of the invasion of<br>February 24th 2022 and the war in the 3<br>years since well I mean several things<br>there's<br>a political angles which are forever<br>changing<br>but on the human level as as you know if<br>you visit troops frontline troops you<br>have that admiration for people<br>defending their country defending their<br>homes defending their families i'm<br>struck by the way in which that is at a<br>remove from the sort of political noise<br>and the media noise and and much more um<br>it's very easy to get caught up in<br>the twos and fros of today's news but uh<br>that to my mind is is that's the single<br>thing that struck me most in my visits<br>there uh is just um the the people I've<br>met who who are fighting for a cause<br>which at that level is unavoidable<br>undeniable so the thing that struck you<br>that's different from the the media<br>turmoil is just the reality of war yeah<br>of course i mean um you know people who<br>uh have either lived<br>under Russian occupation from invading<br>armies and then come back out into the<br>world having been liberated as in late<br>2022 or the people now organized most<br>recently there in recent weeks who were<br>just getting on with their job as<br>soldiers<br>uh whilst the world was talking about<br>them when were you there in early on in<br>this escalated war of 22 yes first time<br>was in uh I was with the the Ukrainian<br>armed forces when they retook Kersan and<br>I was back in recent weeks and was there<br>when the Trump Sinski blow up happened<br>in fact I was with I was in a Ukrainian<br>dugout at the front lines when I was<br>watching it how's the morale how's the<br>way the content of the conversations<br>you've heard different on the from the<br>two visits separated by I guess two<br>years one<br>level I mean nothing has changed much<br>you know it's a sort of it it's not a a<br>total standoff because intermittently<br>each side gains territory from the<br>others but it's it's not I mean there<br>have been no very significant military<br>gains by either died in the interim<br>period i think uh my experience of the<br>the soldiers the people of Ukraine early<br>on in the war there's a intense optimism<br>about the outcomes of the war there's a<br>sense that they're going to win and the<br>definition of what win means was like<br>all the territory is going to be one<br>back yeah I I certainly uh on the front<br>lines facing Crimea was uh became quite<br>familiar with people who thought that<br>the Ukrainians in late 2022 would even<br>be able to get Crimea back and that<br>struck me even at the time and I said I<br>I thought that that was an overreach and<br>uh now I<br>think the people the soldiers at least<br>in my experience when I visited the<br>second time are more exhausted<br>the morale<br>the dreams the certainty of victory<br>has has maybe faded from the forefront<br>of their minds well 3 years of war will<br>tire out anyone what did you think of<br>the blow up between Zilinski and Trump<br>as you're uh sitting there in the dugout<br>well it is it was a very uh disturbing<br>place to watch it from perhaps anywhere<br>would have been<br>um<br>and I mean obviously it was a meeting<br>that shouldn't have happened it was far<br>too early why do you think so there's<br>not enough actual pathways to peace on<br>the table well I think the mineral deal<br>I mean I love the fact that everyone's<br>now an expert in Eastern Ukrainian<br>mineral deposits but I think uh as I've<br>learned and we'll talk about Israel and<br>Palestine i'm learning that everybody's<br>an expert on geopolitics and the history<br>of war on the internet and now mineral<br>deposits obviously yes the I'm really<br>speaking at the edge of my mineral<br>deposit knowledge here but no I mean I<br>from what I could see the deal that that<br>uh the American administration was<br>trying to uh get the Ukrainian<br>government to sign was was sort of too<br>early to<br>um forced the Ukrainians weren't were<br>ready to sign a deal but were obviously<br>under intense pressure um and I think<br>certainly Zalinski wasn't expecting to<br>actually wasn't expecting to go until<br>pretty much the day<br>before<br>um was obviously visibly tired and<br>exhausted again as you are after that<br>amount of pressure for that long a time<br>and um no I mean the thing that struck<br>me and I I said this in my column in the<br>New York Post from there that uh the<br>thing that struck me was I said to some<br>of the soldiers I was with uh you know<br>what do you make of this and um you know<br>one of them just said to<br>me well you know we're advised not to<br>follow too closely the ins and outs of<br>the politics of this you know and um but<br>of course everyone has Instagram or<br>scrolls and among dog pictures and the<br>you know the hot women or whatever is um<br>you know what happened in the oval and<br>uh but what struck me was this same guy<br>and saying "I've got a job to do." Right<br>and uh there's a<br>clarity and a wisdom to that but uh your<br>job is is is bigger than that right is<br>to understand the politics as well and<br>what do you think about the politics of<br>that moment because that was a real<br>opportunity to come together and make<br>progress on peace right and it from by<br>all<br>accounts was not a successful step<br>forward i don't think by any account it<br>was a successful step forward<br>unless to some extent it was a play but<br>from DC to say to Putin look we ded off<br>Zalinski and you know now give us<br>something that's the only uh remedial<br>idea I have about what might have been<br>behind it but I think it was just one of<br>those extremely uh I mean just<br>awful political moments<br>um Zalinski was<br>obviously<br>deeply irritated by the the the<br>interpretation of the war that he was<br>hearing from<br>Washington uh it was only a week after<br>the Trump comments about Zalinski being<br>a dictator<br>um and people in the administration<br>implying that Ukraine has started the<br>war and I think<br>that's that must be for Zalinski a<br>pretty Alice in Wonderland situation to<br>be<br>in and uh I had significant sympathy for<br>him in finding it<br>bewildering because it would be<br>bewildering i think the sad thing to me<br>also on the mundane details of that<br>meeting and just the unfortunate way<br>that meetings happen I think it's true<br>that he was also exhausted yes there was<br>a of a of a reporter that was<br>asked a question about outfit in a way<br>that listen Zilinski everybody has their<br>strengths and weaknesses he's an<br>emotional being for better or for worse<br>and there's a dumb of a<br>reporter Taylor Green's boyfriend<br>he is the things you know see you're a<br>real journalist he's he's from one of<br>the the new I'm all for opening up the<br>White House press pool and all that sort<br>of thing but it means that you get some<br>people in who are sort<br>of yeah from Blogland there's nothing<br>wrong with that but it it means that you<br>get somebody who will do something like<br>that the problem with that interaction<br>as I saw it was that the that guy asked<br>that well disrespectful<br>question and uh I I think it was<br>disrespectful and I I'll very quickly<br>say why i mean I think that I think that<br>when a man comes from the realm of war<br>into the realm of peace the people in<br>the realm of peace should have some<br>respect or at least concession that the<br>other man has come from the realm of war<br>and that if you're sitting in a<br>political environment where you talk<br>about people being destroyed and<br>decimated and defenistrated and much<br>more to a man<br>who's for whom none of that is<br>metaphorical I think that's extremely<br>hard to to<br>accept um and I think that probably also<br>at that moment there was a sort of sense<br>of you know Zilinsky is being<br>disrespected by being asked about what<br>he's<br>wearing when as everyone knows you know<br>Churchill during World War II used to<br>wear his fatings uh on foreign vis to<br>remind people you're coming from the<br>realm of war and I think that probably<br>in that in that moment one of the things<br>would have been going through his head<br>would be but I mean if if if this was<br>Putin sitting here being assaulted by a<br>journalist you know you'd you'd hope<br>your host stepped in and defended you i<br>mean if let me try this one out i mean<br>if if a if a journalist in the Oval<br>Office if Putin was sitting there or a<br>putitive journalist said to Putin you<br>know um everyone knows you've had a lot<br>of facial work done and uh word is<br>you've used the same guy that Berlesi<br>used to use um can you comment on on<br>that you you'd you'd you'd say well<br>that's a kind of disrespectful question<br>for journalists to ask and it's a little<br>bit um off off what needs to be gone<br>over uh and this the same thing with<br>Zalinsky with the outfit i think it was<br>just petty and and and threw things off<br>in a bad way yeah and it was poorly<br>researched because I think Zilinski was<br>explaining this like 3 years ago at the<br>beginning of the war why he wears what<br>he wears and he's been consistent<br>wearing the same it's also by the way<br>it's an example of the frivolity of a<br>lot of the of the attempts to attempts<br>to understand what's going on i mean my<br>view is that is that since actually most<br>people in fact everybody cannot be an<br>expert on everything one of the things<br>that we always do is to seize<br>on minor and really quite unimportant<br>things i mean for I mean every site does<br>it look at the way in which the American<br>right for years talked about the<br>Churchill bust leaving the White House<br>Oval Office in the Obama years i I<br>didn't want to hear another darn thing<br>about the Churchill bust after eight<br>years because it just it was in lie of<br>trying to understand and actually<br>critique Obama's foreign policy it was<br>just an easy<br>shorthand i think it's the same we we're<br>always tempted to that but the thing is<br>I think you mentioned Putin i think<br>Putin would have been able to uh respond<br>himself to that journalist<br>effectively and he would have done it in<br>Russian oh yeah the language thing was<br>Yeah so I wanted to sort of lay out<br>several just unfortunate things that<br>happen in these situations and I think<br>it happens in all peace negotiations and<br>it's funny how history can turn in<br>moments like this i do think there's a<br>reporter combined with the fact<br>that the you know with all due respect<br>but Zilinsk's English sometimes is not<br>very good yes and apart from anything<br>else if he had have agreed to not done<br>it in English he would have bought<br>himself the extra seconds in some of his<br>replies that he needed yeah yeah and<br>have the wit the guy is funny witty<br>intelligent you know he could do that in<br>the native language of whether it's<br>Ukrainian or Russian to be able to<br>respond and get the interpreter<br>so all of that is really unfortunate<br>because I think on those little moments<br>it's it's a dance and there's an<br>opportunity there you know the<br>Republicans the the right-wing in the<br>United States have a general kind of<br>skepticism of Zilinski and and but that<br>doesn't mean it has to be that way it<br>can turn it can change it can evolve<br>it's very interesting why it has<br>happened why do you think it's happened<br>i the politics in the United States is<br>so dumb that at the very beginning it<br>could just be reduced to well the left<br>went Putin bad Zilinski good rahrh<br>Ukrainian flags therefore the right must<br>go the opposite it sometimes is<br>literally as dumb as that let's each<br>pick a side and call the others dumb i I<br>had a a line I used recently um the<br>necessity of people who live too long<br>online to try to wade their way out of<br>the memes it is sort of like that isn't<br>it because yes I mean I can understand<br>the people who find it very irritating<br>that so many people who would put BLM<br>flags or pride flags or you know trans<br>flags in their bio then put Ukrainian<br>flags in their bio despite almost<br>certainly not knowing where Ukraine was<br>and uh if that happens the inevitable<br>instinct of a lot of people who aren't<br>really thinking is to say "That's really<br>annoying these people are really<br>annoying i'll sock it to them." But<br>that's where you've got to try to rise<br>above that and say "Actually funnily<br>enough the fate of a country doesn't<br>depend on my tolerance for memes online<br>today." Yeah so I think the memes can be<br>broken through in meetings like the one<br>that happened between Zilinsky and Trump<br>there can been real camaraderie i've<br>seen the skill of that just recently<br>having researched deeply and interacted<br>with uh Narendra Modi m here's somebody<br>who has the skill of you know for his<br>country for his situation being able to<br>somehow be friends with Putin and<br>friends with Zilinski and friends with<br>Trump and friends with Biden and friends<br>with Obama was to go for and<br>that while still<br>being strong for his country and like<br>fundamentally a nationalist figure who's<br>like you very not globalist not uh<br>anything but pro- India India first<br>nation first in fact nation first with a<br>very specific idea what that nation<br>represents sure and that you know<br>Zilinski could do all of those things<br>but have the skill of navigating<br>uh the Trump room because every single<br>leader has their own peculiar quirks<br>that need to be navigated yes the<br>obvious one i mean I don't want to make<br>it sound like it was all Zilinski's<br>fault but I mean the obvious one was at<br>the beginning of the meeting to say yet<br>again as he has done for three years<br>thank you to America and the American<br>people and American politicians from<br>across the aisle for your support for my<br>country and it's our need we're deeply<br>grateful and because he for once forgot<br>to say that i I think it's not that<br>simple i think there's a It's not that<br>simple it's one reason i think saying<br>thank you he didn't need to say thank<br>you there's that was why Vance that was<br>what Vance leapt in on he's just picking<br>a thing to leap on there's a whole<br>energy you have to acknowledge in your<br>way of being that you have been very<br>Biden buddy buddy with the left for the<br>last four years there's ways to fix that<br>listen these people are complicated<br>narcissists all of them biden Trump you<br>have to navigate the complexity of that<br>and you basically have to say a kind<br>word to Trump which is like showing<br>there's many ways of doing that but one<br>of them is saying uh feeding the ego by<br>acknowledging that he is one of the<br>world's greatest negotiators right I'm<br>I'm glad we're able to come to the table<br>and negotiate together because I believe<br>you are the great negotiator mediator<br>that can uh actually bring a successful<br>resolution to like as opposed to have an<br>energy of Like it should be obvious to<br>everybody that Ukrainian are the good<br>guys and Russia is the bad guys there's<br>this whole energy of entitlement that he<br>brought he forgot that there's a new guy<br>you got to like convince the new guy<br>that this global mission that this<br>nation is on this war that is in in many<br>ways the west<br>versus the east that this there's ideals<br>there's whole histories here that this<br>is a war worth winning you have to<br>convince them right yeah no sure and he<br>obviously failed on that occasion um but<br>as I say it must be bewildering to have<br>landed in a place where people were<br>seriously talking about Ukraine starting<br>the war right and Zalinski not Putin<br>being the<br>dictator i I I did the front page of the<br>New York Post the day after the<br>president's comments on that saying that<br>the big picture of Putin just saying<br>"Right this is this is a dictator." And<br>you know I think the people can be uh<br>live enough to be able to recognize that<br>you know you can make criticisms of<br>Zalinski or the Ukrainians but it<br>doesn't mean you have to fall full<br>Putin and again unfortunately a lot of<br>people in our time don't have that<br>capability can we go right into it what<br>is your strongest criticism of Putin<br>he's a dictator who's very<br>bloody as repressive as you can be of<br>political opposition internal opposition<br>he's kleptomaniac of his country's<br>resources has enriched himself as much<br>as he could uh as he has with the<br>cronies around him uh he's not just<br>acted to<br>uh destroy internal opposition in Russia<br>but has gone to other countries<br>including my own country of birth and uh<br>killed people on there our soil using as<br>it happens weapons of mass destruction<br>the use of pelonium in the center of<br>London is not good the use of incredibly<br>dangerous nerve agents that could kill<br>tens of thousands of people in a<br>charming cathedral city like Salsbury<br>not good if the sort of apologist of<br>Putin say "Well he's just a sort of<br>tough man who's looking after his house<br>business."<br>Well I don't think even if you think he<br>has the right to do that that he should<br>be doing it in third<br>countries deliberately using uh weapons<br>that are meant to show that you could<br>take out tens of thousands of British<br>citizens yeah i mean that's just for<br>starters what do you make for uh Do you<br>think he's actually popularly elected no<br>do you think the the results of the<br>elections are fraudulent<br>yes i mean do you think it's possible<br>that it's just that the opposition has<br>been eliminated and he's legitimately<br>popularly elected it definitely helps a<br>chap if he's killed all of his opponents<br>something by using the term chap in that<br>context is just uh marvelous but you<br>know I know I mean but I mean seriously<br>you you uh if if if people are worried<br>about this is another of the sort of<br>slightly Alice in Wonderland things<br>recently about Zilinski is people are<br>saying why why hasn't he's a dictator<br>because he hasn't held elections during<br>a total war of self-defense and it's<br>like<br>well you know if you're really really<br>passionate about free and fair elections<br>in that neck of the woods you'd at least<br>notice that that Russian elections are<br>not free and fair in any meaningful<br>sense but this doesn't mean that you<br>have to say that therefore they should<br>have western style elections and and and<br>freedom that Russia is is ready to go<br>and become a western liberal democracy<br>it doesn't mean any of that at all let's<br>just at least<br>note that this is what Putin is what do<br>you think is the motivation for his<br>invasion of Ukraine in 22<br>it's what he's said for years which is<br>uh the basically the reconstitution of<br>the Soviet Union do you think there is u<br>empire building components to that<br>motivation i would trust most my friends<br>in Eastern Central Europe who certainly<br>do think that there's a reason why the<br>Baltic countries are the countries that<br>are spending highest in percentage of<br>GDP on defense and it's because they're<br>very worried i I don't think they're<br>faking it i don't think they're faking<br>it for me or for anyone else i think the<br>Lithuanians the Latians the Estonians<br>and others are genuinely worried for the<br>first time in some decades do you think<br>there's a<br>possibility that uh the war continues<br>indefinitely even if there's a ceasefire<br>and the peace reached the war will<br>resume he will seek expansion even<br>beyond Ukraine yes<br>and uh the most obvious thing is that if<br>Trump manages to negotiate a<br>ceasefire it'll be a temporary pause and<br>whoever comes in as president after<br>Trump uh Putin will use the opportunity<br>to advance again uh yes again one of the<br>things that I have heard from parts of<br>the American right and others is that<br>all he wants is Ukraine that that's all<br>he wants and that he has no history or<br>of rhetoric or actions that suggest<br>anything else and again it's one of the<br>reasons why it's useful traveling to<br>places and seeing things with your own<br>eyes because I very much remember being<br>in the country of Georgia uh after Putin<br>tried to invade in 2008<br>so I just again people don't have to be<br>the greatest supporters of the Ukrainian<br>cause just to recognize that that it<br>doesn't seem to be the case that that<br>Ukraine is the only thing in Putin's<br>vision do you see value and uh maybe<br>depth and power to the realist<br>perspective of all this you know<br>somebody like John Mir Shimemer's<br>formulation of all this that uh in these<br>invasions of<br>Georgia of Ukraine it's using military<br>power to expand the sphere of influence<br>Mhm in the region in a cold calculation<br>of geopolitics it's interesting one of<br>the one of the fascinating things about<br>the last few years is there's been an<br>act of sort of necromancy of certain<br>figures who were totally totally<br>debunked uh um in the area of Ukraine<br>Mia Shimmer and uh in the case of Israel<br>people like Finkelstein and uh it's been<br>interesting cuz these are people that<br>one hadn't heard of for some years<br>because um they were not listened to for<br>usually for good reason but by the way<br>first of all I'm very skeptical of the<br>term realist in foreign policy<br>because most people to some extent will<br>say that they are a realist in foreign<br>policy very few people are surrealists<br>in foreign policy very few people are<br>unrealists i would like to meet them a<br>surrealist foreign policy analyst we did<br>mention Alice in Wonderland so yeah I<br>mean maybe we should introduce the term<br>but I mean if you want to say if you<br>want to look gimlet out eyed out across<br>the world you you're you're a realist i<br>think the steelman of their argument<br>would<br>be Russia has or believes it has a<br>sphere of influence and is regrettable<br>but there's very little we can do about<br>that<br>that would be about the best version of<br>that argument that you can make well to<br>expand on that Steelman isn't this how<br>superpowers<br>operate in the dark realist/s surrealist<br>way meaning the United States uses<br>military<br>power to uh have a sphere influence over<br>the whole globe really uh China appears<br>to be willing to use military power to<br>expand its sphere of influence and<br>political power yeah more importantly in<br>the case of China political power<br>non-kinetic warfare to take over areas<br>Hong Kong being the obvious one but<br>behind that isn't there always a kinetic<br>threat oh yeah of course yeah i mean you<br>disappear some book sellers and and uh<br>students are protesting of course i just<br>but but to go back to this yeah of<br>course okay countries believe they have<br>or or would like to have spheres of<br>influence i do think at some point that<br>the so-called realists on that have to<br>try to decide how much leeway that<br>allows you to give to a fairly rapacious<br>uh<br>regime uh and it's not I mean it's it's<br>not the easiest calculation always to<br>make you have to work out whether or not<br>for instance it is true that if if<br>Russia had if Putin had managed to go<br>all the way to Kiev in the first weeks<br>of the war in 22 he would have gone<br>straight on to other places and you know<br>maybe he would have done maybe he would<br>have taken his time maybe he wouldn't<br>have done and this is a very fine<br>calculation that<br>changes every week let alone every year<br>you know my friends in Georgia I thought<br>were um wildly off the mark when they<br>were believing that after 2008 they<br>could get for instance either NATO<br>membership or EU membership and I I<br>thought that was completely unlikely and<br>I still think it's unlikely and almost<br>certainly undesirable for Europe and for<br>NATO because you you've got to be very<br>careful as and obviously this is one of<br>the issues with Ukraine and has been<br>since the '90s<br>is you know are you going to set up a<br>trip wire to start World War II and<br>that's not a small thing to consider so<br>what do you think the<br>uh the peace deal might look like and<br>what does the path to peace look like in<br>Ukraine in in the coming weeks and<br>months i have thought it would be uh<br>regrettably the Ukrainians seeding some<br>territory in the<br>east and then um making sure they rearm<br>uh during whatever peace period comes<br>afterwards and probably all four<br>territories of uh<br>dasparation you couldn't lay any of that<br>out because it has to be negotiated on<br>but I I mean I think that and I think<br>the ease with which non- Ukrainians are<br>currently speaking about Ukrainian<br>seeding territory is is concerning<br>because these territories include<br>hundreds of thousands of<br>Ukrainian citizens who do not want to<br>live under Putin's rule and people who<br>have families in the rest of Ukraine and<br>and and much more and um uh you know I I<br>recently<br>interviewed children who had managed to<br>get out of the Russian occupied<br>areas and um it's it's it's brutal for a<br>Ukrainian to be growing up in that<br>territory so I when people say well<br>obviously you know Donetsk has to be<br>given to Putin I I think that that<br>is not as easy a thing if you're in<br>Ukraine as it is if you're sitting in<br>New York say um and by the way I think<br>that on the issue of there is a school<br>of thought that that is that obviously<br>President Trump to some extent was was<br>floating in recent weeks which is that<br>if if a deal is done a business deal in<br>relation to minerals or anything else<br>you get this great you get a kind of<br>buffer zone of American businesses and<br>investment and therefore American<br>business people in the region which<br>would<br>effectively warn Putin not to invade i<br>don't uh follow that idea because not<br>least there were Americans in the<br>regions that were invaded in 22 and they<br>left fast and we know from Hong Kong and<br>other places that just because there are<br>international financial interests in the<br>region does not mean that a dictatorship<br>will not either um militarily or<br>covertly take over i I don't I don't see<br>American miners as being an effective<br>buffer zone against Putin by the way<br>what did you um learn from talking to<br>the children Ukrainian children from<br>those regions well I mean it's it's it's<br>heartbreaking because the only schooling<br>is u Russian schooling uh obviously<br>teaching the Russian language Putin's<br>view of history and effectively<br>indoctrination and and people can<br>quibble with that term but it's Putin<br>indoctrination<br>schools and any children or families<br>that do not want that effectively have<br>to hide and um not go out and there were<br>I spoke to children and parents who'd<br>had school friends who for instance the<br>Russians set up in 22 and 23 uh uh<br>summer camps uh for the children of some<br>of the areas that have been occupied and<br>the children went off to the camps and<br>then they didn't come back but they were<br>just stolen um I mean it's thought that<br>around 20,000 Ukrainian children have<br>been stolen in this fashion that's not a<br>small thing<br>it's not got very much attention but<br>um yes I mean children who would hide<br>whenever the Russian troops came to the<br>door uh one teenage boy who described to<br>me how when his mother was out a a woman<br>came around to the house knocked on the<br>door um and gave him his papers uh and<br>said that he had to attend the next week<br>to sign up for the Russian army<br>this is I mean this is this is this is<br>not good and that's obviously what life<br>is like for thousands of people behind<br>the Russian lines in<br>Ukraine i just I just have it in mind<br>when people say things like you know<br>well obviously these regions have to be<br>handed over it's not it's it's very very<br>hard if you're Ukrainian to concede to<br>that yeah and even if they are as part<br>of the negotiation handed over I think<br>it'll probably be<br>generations or never that that could be<br>accepted by the Ukrainian people<br>absolutely and I would have thought<br>never what do we know about this<br>kidnapping of children the stories of<br>the thousands of children that the the<br>Russian forces kidnapped um some of them<br>were in orphanages in Eastern Ukraine<br>not all by any means but some were and<br>it's a very complicated story actually<br>because many children were taken from<br>their families uh many the Russians said<br>"Well look at these Ukrainians they<br>don't even look after their children<br>therefore we will look after<br>them." And I was I was recently when I<br>was there looking into this story<br>because it's it's a very interesting<br>question as to why it hasn't had more<br>attention you know one thinks of for<br>instance the abduction of the Chibbach<br>school girls some 12 years ago now in<br>northern Nigeria and that appalling<br>abduction of 300 girls by Boka Haram uh<br>completely gained the world's attention<br>and I was very interested into why the<br>Ukrainian children who'd been taken by<br>the Russians had not gained similar<br>attention there's a slight similarity<br>with the war in Israel which I'm sure<br>we'll come on to but uh I do think that<br>one reason is that they were effectively<br>hostages and the Ukrainians knew this is<br>this is my estimation of the terrain is<br>that the Ukrainians knew that if they<br>made a great deal about this was it were<br>more than they did that the that the<br>children would effectively be the most<br>effective bargaining<br>chip and I do think there's considerable<br>truth in that because if you look at for<br>instance the way in which um pressure<br>has been put on the Israeli government<br>by the Israeli population about the<br>kidnapped Israelis you'll see that it<br>it's it's a pretty effective tactic for<br>uh any uh totalitarian regime or<br>terrorist group to operate in a way that<br>means that the population of the country<br>you're attacking<br>pressure their government to do<br>something in terms of concession it's<br>it's a it's it's a very effective tool<br>and I think that story was partly played<br>down not just outside of Ukraine but<br>also within Ukraine partly for that<br>reason as a truth seeker as a<br>journalist how do you operate in that<br>world where at least to me it's obvious<br>that there's just a flood of propaganda<br>on both sides now of course when you go<br>there and directly experience it and<br>talk to people<br>uh but those people are still also<br>swimming in the propaganda so unless you<br>witness stuff directly sometimes it's<br>hard to know like I I speak to people on<br>the Russian side and there's they're<br>clearly first of all hilariously enough<br>they almost always say there's that<br>there's no propaganda in Russia of<br>course<br>uh which makes me realize I mean you you<br>can be completely lied to maybe I am in<br>the United States as well and just be<br>unaware um maybe Earth is run by aliens<br>maybe the Earth is flat so I don't know<br>maybe you've taken mushrooms i have<br>before this and I finally see the truth<br>and it's you that are diluted Douglas<br>okay but uh back to our round earth<br>discussion round earth shills that we<br>are uh how do you know what is true you<br>you can tell it<br>when the bare facts become not<br>true like you can tell it<br>when somebody is willing to claim that<br>everything caused the invasion of 2022<br>except for Vladimir Putin invading<br>Ukraine yeah there's a there's a<br>hilarious thing that happens and I think<br>you've actually speak about this that uh<br>people are generally just much more<br>willing to criticize the democratically<br>elected leader always always so the<br>interesting thing that happens is these<br>wise sages that do the narratives of<br>like NATO started the war right which<br>there is some interesting geopolitical<br>depth and truth to that like that NATO<br>expansion created complicated<br>geopolitical context whatever for But<br>they forget to say like other parts of<br>that story well yes of course i mean and<br>I mean of course to some extent it's<br>rather you know there's a there's a very<br>the most irritating type of question<br>asker at any event is the person who<br>says "I was disappointed that in your<br>30inut talk you didn't address X." And I<br>tend to say "Well looking forward to<br>coming to your next talk where in 30<br>minutes you'll cover everything that<br>could possibly be covered." Um there's<br>always stuff that's going to be left on<br>the sides there's always going to be<br>stuff that's left unressed there's<br>always going to be other angles there's<br>always going to be somebody else who who<br>who who has this interesting perspective<br>and you can't cover it nevertheless if<br>you cover everything other than the<br>central things then it's suspicious<br>many years ago I was at a debate in<br>London and there was a debate about the<br>origins of World War II and uh Pat<br>Buchanan talking of necromancy was one<br>of the the the the speakers and um<br>Andrew<br>Roberts historian was one of the people<br>on the other side and at one point you<br>know they got so completely stuck into<br>issues of iron ore mining in Poland in<br>the mid you know something like this and<br>the moderator I remember it was just it<br>was just a melee and the moderator turns<br>to Andrew Roberts and says Andrew<br>Roberts why did World War II begin and<br>he says World War II began because<br>Hitler invaded<br>Poland and it was a magnificent moment<br>because everything had been a marsh they<br>were just so lost in all the intricate<br>and clever and interesting things that<br>you can talk about about the origins of<br>a war that you you you<br>forget to mention the thing that's most<br>important<br>and certainly my experience as a<br>journalist and writer is that one of the<br>reasons why you need to go and see<br>things with your own eyes is because<br>people are certain to tell you that what<br>you've seen with your own eyes didn't<br>happen or hasn't<br>happened and it helps to steal you yes<br>for that moment it's a gradual thing<br>that happens where the obvious thing<br>starts being taken for granted and<br>people stop saying it because it's like<br>the boring thing to say at a party and<br>then all of a sudden over time you just<br>almost start questioning whether whether<br>you know like the obvious thing is even<br>true i don't know what that how that<br>happens psychology yeah I think it does<br>i I think it does i've observed it in a<br>lot of different places which is the<br>important thing is the only thing you do<br>forget everything else is what you<br>remember and some of us are for some<br>reason wired in a way where we we don't<br>we try not to forget the important thing<br>remember the obvious thing yeah yes and<br>as you say not wanting to be the boring<br>guy at the party who reiterates what is<br>true cuz what a douchebag you'd be if<br>you were that guy nobody likes Captain<br>Obvious at a party okay is it possible<br>that Donald Trump is a<br>mediator a successful negotiator that<br>brings a stable peace to Ukraine it's<br>possible we'll have to see i think it's<br>just too early and complicated to tell<br>that he wants to bring a peace seems to<br>me to be obvious he stated it a lot of<br>times<br>um whether he can we're just going to<br>have to see it's extremely hard to see<br>some of the parameters of the peace<br>still and I would suggest that the most<br>one not the the most difficult but one<br>of the most difficult is that there is<br>no peace guarantee on paper that the<br>Ukrainians can possibly believe<br>i I just it doesn't matter because we've<br>we've we in the west we some of the<br>countries in the west have said it<br>before that we'd secure<br>their their peace and we haven't and<br>so what other than NATO membership which<br>is not possible in my view what other<br>than NATO membership would reassure the<br>Ukrainians that they are going to have<br>their borders secured and the peace of<br>Ukraine secured I I can't see I think uh<br>there's not going to be ever a guarantee<br>that you can trust i think the way you<br>have a guarantee implicit guarantees by<br>having military and economic<br>partnerships with as many partners as<br>possible so you have partnerships with<br>uh the uh the Middle East you have<br>partnerships with India perhaps even<br>with China with the United States with<br>many nations in Europe all of which<br>still suggests that if there's enough<br>financial interests in<br>Ukraine they would prevent another<br>Russian invasion there would be<br>financial pressure yeah there would be<br>uh you know Russia needs to be friends<br>with somebody either China or the West<br>um I I think a world that's flourishing<br>would have Russia<br>trading and being friends with the West<br>and the East thought it would be<br>ideal it would be ideal if if if they if<br>the regime in Moscow wanted it but<br>that's that not I mean again you get<br>into the thing of you know people<br>accused of Russophobia that I mean um<br>the I I do believe that after the fall<br>of the wall uh Russia was illreated by<br>the west not treated with the uh some of<br>the courtesy that it required I do think<br>that and at the same time that doesn't<br>justify<br>uh the actions of Russia in the last 20<br>years right but let's descent from the<br>surrealist to the realist it's very<br>possible for Russia<br>to uh be on the verge of military<br>invasion of these nations and that being<br>wrong while also not doing it because<br>they're afraid to hurt the partnerships<br>with the West and with China it's<br>possible but the alliance they formed<br>with this sort of rogue alliance with<br>China to a considerable<br>extent North Korea not useful<br>uh and Iran is<br>um something they seem to find bearable<br>it's not a very it's not a very good<br>alliance in most people's analysis but<br>it's an alliance it's bearable but I<br>don't think maybe you disagree with this<br>i don't think the Russian people or even<br>Putin<br>uh wants to be isolated from the West i<br>think it wants to be friends with the<br>West and with the East and with<br>everybody he just also wants Ukraine<br>right and<br>there's How Does the Rolling Stones song<br>go which one<br>um not the satisfaction one sympathy<br>with the devil that's the one you got me<br>on that one no like there there's<br>interests where there's expanding the<br>sphere and influence that's one thing on<br>the table but that can be put aside if<br>you want to maintain the partnerships<br>with these nations and uh if Ukraine has<br>strong economic partnerships with those<br>nations then that prevents Russia from<br>invading i think the premise is one that<br>I've seen before um there was a famous<br>uh what was his<br>name norman Angel he wrote this book<br>which was a fantastic bestseller in his<br>day where he believed that Europe would<br>be in a period of endless cantian peace<br>because the prospect of European powers<br>going to war was so economically<br>unviable the book was reissued after<br>World War I um and I never got the<br>second edition but I assume it was<br>significantly rewritten that's a very<br>kind of cynical take that just because<br>the book is wrong i'm not saying just a<br>bookstore i'm saying that that the idea<br>that cooperation on an economic and<br>other levels is<br>any significant preventative device to<br>madness breaking out is is not something<br>I see could deter some people it could<br>deter some very very rational<br>economically driven actors but it it<br>fails to take into account all of the<br>other things that motivate people to go<br>to war and to invade and to go mad okay<br>well I would argue that in the 21st<br>century one of the reasons we have much<br>fewer wars is because of the much more<br>gloss tools here on this on the<br>geopolitical stage one of them is that<br>we're just much more interconnected<br>economically globally interconnected and<br>that that is always a present pressure<br>on the world to keep peace there's a lot<br>of money to be made from peace there's<br>also a lot of money to be made from war<br>there's just there's a lot of uh<br>interest tension and I I'm just<br>presenting one of the tools that a<br>leader should be using the alternative<br>is what military force that is an<br>interesting one sometimes a useful one<br>but unfortunately it has its downsides<br>also and after 3 years of war and the<br>hundreds of thousands dead you have to<br>start wondering what are the options on<br>the table i agree i'm I'm obviously for<br>economic<br>cooperation but my only caveat is not to<br>think that that is something which is of<br>ultimate interest or even at the top of<br>the list of interests of uh despots<br>tyrants extremists who want something<br>else yeah<br>but uh can you read the mind of Vladimir<br>Putin no<br>a lot of the ideas I hear about peace<br>is Putin<br>bad victory must be achieved NATO<br>membership required yeah there's this<br>kind of<br>like but what's the what's the there you<br>have to come to the table to to end the<br>killing is one and uh to have different<br>ideas of how to uh have a nonzero chance<br>of peace so that you know the options<br>are it seems to me the only<br>option not the only option but the<br>likeliest option is a lot of strong<br>economic partnerships there's of course<br>other radical options there's<br>uh there's uh Russia joining NATO or<br>something like this or there's<br>um giving you know doing flirting with<br>World War II essentially giving nukes to<br>Ukraine or something like this there's<br>like crazy stuff or a totally new<br>military alliance with France and and<br>and Britain and Germany and uh European<br>nations and Ukraine or some weird<br>network of military power that threatens<br>Russia in some way or maybe some big<br>breakthrough partnership between India<br>China and Ukraine something like this<br>just some really out there ideas and I<br>think that's how the Well that that's<br>how the world finds a balance and<br>realigns itself in interesting ways and<br>look it could be i I I hope you're<br>uh I hope your idea is right um I think<br>it's about the well certainly the most<br>peaceful way for this to be resolved<br>my only caveat as I say is and<br>also never forget to factor in that<br>people want different things in this<br>world and some people don't dream as you<br>dream i think we'll talk about that so<br>in your new book death cults that one is<br>an easier one for me to understand to<br>the story that you're describing<br>i am more hesitant to assign<br>psychopathy to leaders of major nations<br>sure yeah yeah yeah i'm I'm I'm not by<br>any means urging you to regard Vladimir<br>Putin as a millinarian madman who cannot<br>be in any way understood<br>i think he could be negotiated and<br>reasoned with from your lips to God's<br>ears<br>can you steal me on the case for and<br>then against Zilinski as the right<br>leader for Ukraine at this moment is he<br>the right person to take it to the the<br>the point of peace we'll see if if if if<br>he can then he then of course he is you<br>know he deserves enormous respect for<br>galvanizing his people for being elected<br>in the first place for galvanizing his<br>nation at a time of incredible peril<br>um for playing the international game of<br>getting support for his country well<br>um and sometimes the person who does<br>that not there are many people like that<br>can be the person who also brings about<br>a peace deal and sometimes not i think<br>there's a degree to which he may have<br>seen too much<br>suffering of the people the land he<br>loves to be able to sit down at a table<br>with a world leader who<br>uh did the destruction and to be able to<br>that is very hard<br>compromise on anything<br>that's that's possible again it puts the<br>onus on him though sort of slightly<br>presupposes that Putin doesn't have the<br>same human instinct on that it is<br>extremely hard i've noticed this in a<br>lot of conflicts it's extremely hard the<br>way in which outsiders come in and<br>others who haven't seen what you've seen<br>or gone through what you've gone through<br>and say you know it's time to get around<br>the negotiating table and just you know<br>you think you didn't see what I saw you<br>didn't go through what I went through<br>who you'd tell me goes back to that<br>thing of the the visitor from the land<br>of war and the visitor from the land of<br>peace the visitor from the land of peace<br>can easily talk about getting around<br>negotiating tables but the visitor from<br>the land of war has seen other things<br>and<br>um it's it's very hard for somebody who<br>hasn't seen it to tell the person who<br>has that they<br>should act differently and the sad<br>thing about humanity is both the the<br>person from the land of peace and the<br>person from the land of war are right<br>yes that's a<br>struggle that's definitely a<br>struggle it's it's like asking somebody<br>to forgive i've seen that at a lot lot<br>of ends of conflicts people say you know<br>the important thing is that we forgive<br>and move<br>on and then the other person<br>says you know your child didn't die of<br>shrapnel wounds yeah this is you know I<br>got a lot of heat for interview with<br>Zilinski by the way people privately the<br>people that messaged me is all love and<br>support even the people that disagree in<br>Ukraine soldiers uh people online are<br>ruthless they're misrepresenting me<br>they're lying people online are ruthless<br>and misrepresenting and lying good god<br>Lex you've discovered a new uh<br>phenomenon i'm a real radical<br>intellectual<br>nothing misses your<br>eye i see the truth and I'm unafraid to<br>point it out uh no there's a<br>degree this this<br>idea that<br>you need to compromise with the person<br>with the leader of a nation you're at<br>war with and in so doing to some degree<br>are forgiving their actions because the<br>actual feeling you have is you want it<br>to be fair and the definition of fair<br>when you've seen that much suffering is<br>for him and everybody around him and<br>maybe even all of the people on the<br>other side to just die because you've<br>seen too much suffering but the the<br>other side of that is yes there's<br>children that have died but you go<br>coming to the negotiation other children<br>from dying yes of course and so like<br>there is just you had this kind of way<br>of speaking about it embodying that<br>perspective that it's naive to say to<br>come to the negotiation table and it is<br>for a person from the land of war but<br>the very smart intelligent and not naive<br>person from the land of peace that is<br>often right in some deep sense about the<br>long arc of<br>history for them it does it is the right<br>thing to come to the negotiation table<br>to end the more killing the one thing I<br>would add to that though is you know<br>don't forget that it it's also depends<br>on whether or not there's a clear shot<br>of winning<br>sure if there's a clear shot of winning<br>and that's a the most important the most<br>important thing in wars is not uh final<br>negotiations or anything like that it's<br>simply winning and losing and if you<br>have a clear shot of winning and you can<br>take it and you're near it<br>um then having somebody else come in and<br>saying "Uh why not stop just before<br>victory is is is very hard." That's one<br>of the complex one of the many many<br>complexities of the conflict we're<br>talking about you know what's the the<br>other big complexity of that because the<br>clear shot of winning is like a man<br>walking through the desert seeing water<br>uh it could be during war it really is<br>an illusion so here's what happens the<br>really complicated aspect of<br>negotiation is in order to<br>negotiate peace from a place of<br>strength you have to have victory in<br>sight yes and so the temptation from<br>that position is to not negotiate is to<br>keep pushing forward to achieve victory<br>and this I would say<br>uh hindsight is 2020 but this is the<br>failure in 22 and two occasions to<br>achieve to negotiate a ceasefire and<br>peace one in the spring because there<br>was a Ukraine was in a real big I would<br>say position of strength he have having<br>fended off the Russian forces around<br>Kiev that's one and then as you<br>mentioned in the fall of 22 with with<br>Hersan and Hardgave had a lot of<br>military success they were in a place of<br>strength and from that place they've<br>decided to keep going because victory<br>was in sight but that was also an<br>opportunity to make peace it's perfectly<br>possible yes that's the hard thing it's<br>very hard it's all hard but I'm just<br>again<br>it's victory can be won in wars and is<br>often won in wars uh and you're right<br>they can also grind on because<br>nobody has the capability to make a<br>breakthrough uh it's a case I mean the<br>wisdom about civil wars tends to be that<br>they sort of burn out after about 10<br>years or so<br>uh for similar reasons when you're in<br>the war can you actually know that a<br>victory can be won it's a very good<br>question and<br>um you mean troops on the battlefield or<br>military leaders or political leaders<br>military and political leaders it just<br>feels like like I said man in the desert<br>seeing water i think there's a sense<br>that victory is so<br>close there times there's times in a war<br>when you feel like victory is close no<br>you're right it's and it just slips away<br>yes it's an interesting insight it's<br>like the way in which um there's a<br>there's a force in nature which is that<br>if you amass an army<br>[Music]<br>um amassing it will pull you in to using<br>it<br>extremely hard to amass an army<br>somewhere and then say let's go back<br>yes you're right no it's it's one of<br>many many interesting aspects to warfare<br>i think the sad thing about successful<br>wars at least in the modern day is it<br>takes a great military leader which I<br>would argue that Zalinski really unified<br>Ukraine in this fight in the beginning<br>of the war mhm you have to be that and<br>like you said after either you amass the<br>army and have military success to be<br>able to step back and make peace that<br>those two just don't often go hand in<br>hand because again as a wartime leader<br>especially one who has seen the<br>suffering firsthand<br>[Music]<br>walking away is uh is tough especially<br>also combined with that just the<br>realities of war where there is probably<br>corruption that there There is things<br>you know once the war ends there has to<br>be investigations because the war wasn't<br>won you might not turn out to be when<br>history looks at it the good guy and a<br>leader doesn't want to a leader always<br>wants to be the good guy so there's just<br>all psychological complexities that are<br>and you look at this whole picture<br>uh in in the basic sense if you want<br>Ukraine to flourish if you want humanity<br>to flourish you just ask the question<br>okay so what is the thing I would like<br>to<br>see there's so many historical analogy<br>you can give<br>but just<br>surely not<br>rewarding Putin's action ictions in any<br>way would be a good way to deter him and<br>other dictators from trying to grab<br>land in the<br>future so yeah and but this it's nuanced<br>because like you it's very probably good<br>to be the boring person at the party<br>that says dictatorships are bad<br>uh democracies are good many of the<br>ideals of the west democracies are<br>better better yes that sounds like<br>animal farm but yes two legs better but<br>yes democracy is better and uh invading<br>countries is bad<br>uh but World War II is bad too<br>so after you say something is bad what's<br>the next step cuz military intervention<br>in a lot of these conflicts it'll be<br>about deterrence yeah but what's what's<br>effective deterrence that we're going to<br>have to keep going over for a long time<br>to come my question is how can we<br>achieve<br>peace in<br>April in May right not like the adults<br>at the table all seem to tell me well<br>it's a process it's complicated you know<br>there it just feels like this is a thing<br>that might go into the next winter and<br>there's still um maybe initial ceasefire<br>and the ceasefire is broken and there's<br>more people dying sure and it it's that<br>mess it seems like civility and<br>politeness<br>ignores the fact that people are dying<br>every single day i mean of course like<br>we all almost everybody not everybody<br>but almost everyone would like the<br>killing to stop immediately of course no<br>like I I think that is the boring thing<br>at the party yes but they don't say it<br>often enough not often there has to be a<br>frustration there has to be a<br>frustration i don't understand why Putin<br>Zilinski and Trump can't just meet in a<br>room together without signing<br>anything leaders meeting and discussing<br>and like the human connection there<br>there's so many layers of diplomats it's<br>the problem I have with a managerial<br>class i don't they they schedule<br>meetings really well they don't get<br>done and I I I would love it if people<br>got done so the soldiers get<br>done<br>they have they're fighting the reality<br>of the war and then the leaders have the<br>capacity to get done on the on the<br>scale of nations and geopolitics but<br>like this diplomatic meetings and No I<br>agree i share your frustration about At<br>the same time I think<br>um I share your frustration because I've<br>seen it all a lot of it you know with my<br>own eyes i mean there was a batan as I<br>was with the other week and they were<br>hit just after I left their base and you<br>wouldn't believe what a thermabaric bomb<br>can do to the human<br>body<br>and I share your frustration with that<br>at the same time one of the things that<br>happens if you are<br>rushing is that you do and I've seen<br>this elsewhere you you will put pressure<br>on the people you can<br>pressurize and you will not put enough<br>pressure on the people you can't<br>pressurize and that is one of the<br>worrying things that could happen with<br>this simply you can put America can put<br>extraordinary<br>uh diplomatic financial intelligence<br>military pressure on<br>Ukraine and it can put significant<br>pressure on Putin but it's much easier<br>to pressure Zalinski and that's one of<br>the many things that makes it harder is<br>that the temptation to rush for peace<br>except accepting that peace is the most<br>desirable thing accepting the horrors of<br>war which you know we can linger on but<br>you accepting all that if somebody says<br>we've got to get peace today and the<br>three of them around a table the most<br>likely thing is that it'll be that it'll<br>be the person who you can pressure most<br>easily who will be the person that you<br>pressure and as a result have an outcome<br>which yes might stop the killing as soon<br>as possible but might also set up a<br>situation which rewards the aggressor<br>and effectively punishes the victim and<br>that's an extremely<br>ugly and common thing to happen yeah and<br>that's the other boring thing to say the<br>boring truth that uh the easy shortcut<br>here is<br>uh is to punish Ukraine and<br>you just have to not do it let's keep<br>being the boring people of the party<br>yeah well nobody's going to invite<br>us all right let's go from<br>one complicated<br>conflict to uh perhaps an even more<br>complicated<br>one Israel and<br>Palestine can you uh take me through<br>what happened on October 7th as you<br>understand it and as you outline at the<br>beginning of the book well the book on<br>democracies and death cults is a mixture<br>of firsthand reporting and observation<br>interviews and a wider reflection not<br>just on the war that's been going on<br>since the 7th October but the war that's<br>been going on a lot<br>longer and also I suppose on the what<br>for me is one of the overwhelming<br>questions which I'm sure we'll get to<br>which is the reaction in the rest of the<br>world obviously on the 7th itself it was<br>a brigades size attack on Israel from<br>Gaza uh<br>Hamas broke through the security fence<br>and uh attacked all the softest targets<br>they could uh they swiftly overwhelmed<br>things like the observation base in<br>Nahal<br>they ran through the communities in the<br>south uh very peaceful peace neck effect<br>communities of the kibbutim as they're<br>called communities<br>um and murdered and raped and burned and<br>kidnapped<br>and of course they from their point of<br>view had the great good fortune of also<br>coming across hundreds of young people<br>dancing in the early hours of the<br>morning at a dance party<br>and rampaged through that with RPGs and<br>Kashnikovs and grenades and hammers and<br>more and uh got within well 20<br>kilometers into<br>Israel on places like Offakim and Sterat<br>important towns and carried out their<br>massacres there as well we now know that<br>the plan was that Hezbollah did the same<br>thing from the north hezbollah joined in<br>the war within 24 hours by starting<br>firing rockets again in very large<br>numbers into northern Israel from<br>southern<br>Lebanon but the plan was that they would<br>do the same thing from the north and<br>carry out similar massacres there and<br>effectively be able to meet in the<br>middle and gar Israel from the center<br>the interesting reason why I think it'll<br>be found out in the future but why they<br>didn't coordinate better was Hamas<br>didn't trust any line of communication<br>to Hezbollah to let them know exactly<br>when they were going to do it that<br>wouldn't be in it that wouldn't be<br>intercepted the Iranian revolutionary<br>government in Thran which obviously<br>funds Hamz and Hezbollah and trains and<br>arms knew of the plan it was a very<br>successful attempt to annihilate the<br>state but they didn't get close to that<br>but they got worryingly closer than<br>people might have thought they were<br>capable of i think from the Israeli side<br>uh it was obviously one of the most if<br>not the most<br>catastrophic intelligence and military<br>failure since the foundation of the<br>state and I think there are several<br>reasons<br>why one is a perception problem what a<br>lot of military commanders and others<br>described to me as the conception the<br>conception that had prevailed in Israel<br>for some years and security military<br>establishment was that<br>Hamas were content with being corrupt<br>and governing Gaza and you<br>know lining their pockets and living in<br>uh Qatar and becoming billionaires but<br>that like many other terrorist groups<br>and you know cults that they would end<br>up becoming just corrupt<br>and not losing their ideology but the<br>ideology becomes secondary<br>that's the first thing was there was<br>just a massive error of the conception<br>in Israel and then then there the<br>multiple manifold security and military<br>failures of the day and leading up to<br>the day um and there will be a there<br>already have been quite a lot of people<br>held to account for that and there<br>doubtless will be in the future as well<br>um the the single<br>uh thing I heard which I heard most and<br>which was most distressing in a way was<br>the number of people who described to me<br>you know who survived the massacres in<br>the south who said that you know they'd<br>said to their children don't worry the<br>army will be here in minutes and they<br>weren't you know many places it was many<br>hours till the army got there um and<br>there are reasons for that there are<br>some reasons that will be military<br>failings leadership<br>failings other things were very I I<br>discovered were very human<br>failings i don't want to overstress the<br>failure of the army because actually<br>certain units and things got down very<br>fast there's a unit of Dan who got down<br>to the junction you know by within about<br>an hour 90 minutes of the massacres<br>starting and joined in the fight and<br>then there were self starters who I<br>write about in the book extraordinary<br>people who just like broke orders and<br>just realized the magnitude of what was<br>happening and said we're needed in the<br>south go and fought very hard for hours<br>days in some<br>cases but the complexities on the ground<br>were unbelievable i mean as as usually<br>happens in warfare but what they call<br>the fog of war is a very real thing you<br>you you know what it's you can see it in<br>hindsight but you can't see when you're<br>in it and one of the things that made it<br>very complicated was for instance Hamas<br>coming in<br>uh taking uniforms off dead Israelis<br>uh wearing them uh coming in with<br>Israeli style um apparatus on them<br>there's a Muslim doctor I quote in the<br>book I interviewed who describes how he<br>was going to his he's an Israeli Muslim<br>Arab and he was going to he's a doctor<br>he was going to his shift at the<br>hospital at 6:30 in the morning the<br>rockets start coming in because the<br>rockets started first and then the the<br>full invasion and he described to me how<br>um you know he's one of the members of<br>this group hat the United Hatsella which<br>is a first responders group and um they<br>sort of you know they get an alert and<br>it tells them that you know a car has<br>crashed nearby and they they they put on<br>their uh you know first aid kit and so<br>on and go and he got one of those alerts<br>at one of the junctions and uh realized<br>there was a car that something had<br>happened and there were some dead bodies<br>and he he stops and he sees these men<br>dressed as<br>soldiers uh and they start and he's<br>wearing his hats gear and they start<br>firing at him and he just thinks "What<br>the hell what the hell is going on and<br>uh they turned out to be Hammaz dressed<br>as Israeli soldiers they uh used him as<br>a human shield to try to protect from<br>any air assault<br>and in the end they shot him and left<br>him and he survived he's a very very<br>brave man um so there was a lot of<br>confusion like that there was a girl<br>whose<br>father I interviewed she was at the Nova<br>party and uh I met him at one of the<br>reunions of the party in the weeks after<br>and the reunions of the survivors and<br>the family and so on and he described<br>how in the last moments of his<br>daughter's life she phoned him on her<br>phone like a lot of people you he<br>reassured her that army would get there<br>and so on and and her boyfriend was shot<br>in the head and was lying on her lap and<br>she was obviously panicked and they<br>managed to get into a car and escape the<br>party but they went to a a community<br>where they thought they'd be safe in the<br>south of Israel and they were told to<br>stay where they were by somebody who she<br>said was a policeman and he wasn't the<br>policeman he was Hermes dressed as<br>police and uh she died she was shot and<br>and killed as well And um so there was a<br>lot of confusion like<br>that uh it<br>it hopefully we you know the world will<br>find out exactly what went wrong israel<br>will find out exactly what went wrong<br>that led to this catastrophe but I mean<br>it it was a a complete catastrophe do<br>you have a sense of how such an<br>intelligence failure could have happened<br>so there's a a bit of a temptation to go<br>into conspiracy land because it's such a<br>giant intelligence failure it seems that<br>there was um some manipulation on the<br>inside for political reasons or for you<br>don't need to go into conspiracy land i<br>mean I think there are people who say<br>that there were parts of the<br>intelligence network and so on that were<br>trying that were withholding the<br>information i don't know again people<br>will find out um there's an awful lot of<br>politics inside Israel and uh it's it's<br>it's hard to know that at this stage i<br>think most people are sort of still<br>Israeli and not Israeli including people<br>who are anti-Israel who just believe<br>that you know Israeli military and<br>particularly intelligence dominance is<br>so so strong that there must have been<br>some kind of conspiracy otherwise how<br>could this have happened i don't think<br>you need to go into that i think that I<br>mean for instance some of the young<br>women at the observation base have are<br>on the record they've said I've spoken<br>to them myself and they who said that<br>they had been warning in the weeks<br>running up to the 7th that they were<br>seeing uh maneuvers and training by the<br>border which suggested that Hamas was<br>was going to do something like this<br>and they say that they were<br>ignored that you speak to some of the<br>more senior commanders about that and<br>they say the thing is that this stuff<br>was happening all the<br>time so it's very hard it's very hard to<br>know at the moment<br>can you talk through your understanding<br>of who and what Hamas is its history and<br>u the governing<br>ideology of this group well Hamas in a<br>way quite easy to understand because<br>they they say what their ambitions are<br>they say what their beliefs are they've<br>seen it said it from their governing<br>charter onwards and you also have the<br>advantage with Hamz that they as it were<br>in trying to understand them is that<br>they they tend to do what they say and<br>um act on what they believe the primary<br>aim of Hamas is to destroy the state of<br>Israel and then see they're not an<br>unusual group sadly the the bit of it<br>that is hard for some people to<br>understand I think is that is that they<br>really do mean what they say and that<br>they really do mean what they say they<br>want to do and I give a number of<br>examples in the book of this but I mean<br>the most<br>uh obvious is the case of Yakya Sinoir<br>the Hamas leader who is generally<br>regarded as having orchestrated and and<br>um arranged the 7th of October he uh we<br>know a fair amount about him because he<br>was in prison in Israel in the 2000s for<br>murdering Palestinians in<br>Gaza and uh he was released in the<br>prisoner swap for the he was one of the<br>more than 1,000<br>uh Palestinian prisoners inside Israel<br>who was released in his in a swap for<br>Gilead Shalit the abducted Israeli<br>soldier<br>and uh Yaya Sininoa in prison in Israel<br>um talked to among others a a dentist<br>who ended up saving his life because<br>Yaya Sinoir had a brain tumor and uh<br>this this dentist identified this and uh<br>actually sent him to the hospital and<br>the Israelis famously uh removed the<br>tumor and and and saved Sino's life but<br>this dentist used to speak to him in in<br>the prison fairly regularly and and was<br>related not least to the New York Times<br>his conversations with Sinoir and<br>uh Sinoir said in one of those<br>conversations he said you know he said<br>at the moment you Israel are strong<br>um but one day you'll be weak and then<br>I'll<br>come and uh that's that's what he did is<br>it a hatred of<br>Israel or is it a hatred of Jews is it<br>on the level of nations or the level of<br>uh religion both it's both i mean<br>originates from a religious mindset but<br>it's of course political as well<br>um I mean the Hamas charter of course<br>some people sort of think the Hamas<br>charter is of no significance and I<br>often notice this slight of hand that<br>that that people do again it goes back<br>to what I was saying earlier um forget<br>everything other than the most important<br>basic things but the Hamas charter uh<br>among other things quotes the hadith<br>that you know the end times will not<br>come until all of the the the the rocks<br>and the trees shout out oh oh Muslim<br>there's the Jew behind me come and kill<br>him and uh that that is so Hamas is both<br>obviously anti-Israeli obviously and<br>anti-Jewish obviously um it's it's<br>uh and by the way I mean um one of the<br>many painful stories I tell in the book<br>is of the fact that so many of the<br>people in the communities that they<br>attacked it's not as if there'd be a<br>right community to act and a wrong<br>community to attack but that many of the<br>communities they attacked were<br>communities which deeply deeply dreamed<br>of the idea of living in peace with<br>their Palestinian neighbors uh there's a<br>woman who whose name has become<br>relatively famous since certainly famous<br>inside Israel Silva who was a peace<br>activist who spent every weekend um<br>driving Gazan children from uh the<br>border to if if they had very like rare<br>medical needs that could not be seen<br>attention to within inside Gaza would<br>drive them to Israeli hospitals and she<br>spent every weekend doing that worked<br>for all of the sort of left-wing peace<br>neck organizations in Israel and you for<br>a for a while after the seventh her<br>neighbors and others thought that uh she<br>had been taken captive into Gaza and<br>actually there was a hostage poster for<br>her and there were appeals by the<br>various peace nick organizations for<br>Hamz to hand her over but it turned out<br>she'd been burned alive in her home and<br>this wasn't discovered for quite a long<br>time because there was so little DNA<br>left of her that it was very hard to<br>identify the remains as being hers um so<br>there were there were a lot of just a<br>lot of people in the Gaza envelope as<br>it's it's called in Israel in the area<br>around Gaza who who would have been the<br>people who you know wanted to live<br>peacefully with uh the Gazans someday<br>and those there's a certain among the<br>many it's not an irony but just among<br>the sort of pains of the day is that is<br>that so so overwhelmingly these these<br>were the people that that Hamas brought<br>hell to<br>the response to October 7th by Israel<br>can you steal me on the case that Israel<br>went too far well the case that that<br>started from very early on that that<br>critics of Israel had was the claim that<br>I I think I first heard it on about the<br>8th of October before Israel had done<br>anything in response was the claim that<br>uh Israel must act proportionately in<br>response and I I have a critique of this<br>that I've often expressed which is that<br>there is such a thing as proportionality<br>in warfare<br>um and at the same time Israel is always<br>accused of acting<br>disproportionately and the<br>proportionality that the rest or much of<br>the rest of the world seems to think<br>Israel should express in warfare is to<br>is to have an equal um an equal level of<br>suffering or killing on both sides i I<br>don't think there's any um uh law of war<br>that says that you know if you kill<br>1,200 people and you kidnap another 250<br>that as it were the other side's allowed<br>to do the same back but that's what a<br>lot of people think and then when they<br>see the death toll escalating on the<br>Gazen side they say Israel has acted<br>disproportionately and has overreacted<br>that one is a is a is is tricky because<br>you know it's it's it's my belief that I<br>mean again this is a basic thing but it<br>has to be stated that 9 million citizens<br>of Israel if you extrapolate that out to<br>what the 7th of October would have meant<br>in American<br>terms you'd be talking about uh a day on<br>which if if the attack had happened in<br>America where 44,000 Americans were<br>killed in one day and 10,000 American<br>citizens taken hostage<br>nobody can tell me that if such an<br>atrocity<br>occurred that America would not do<br>whatever it needed to destroy the groups<br>that had done that and to retrieve the<br>hostages who've been taken so just on<br>that point I agree with you 100% America<br>would do would hit hard back and I think<br>a lot of Americans would feel justified<br>in that but it's also possible that<br>uh the military-industrial complex and<br>the politicians would do something like<br>the war in Iraq and Afghanistan which<br>means extend far<br>beyond hitting back and actually do a<br>thing that's destructive to everybody<br>including America financially and the<br>flourishing of America and the<br>flourishing of humanity broadly and the<br>region and the stability and the war on<br>terrorism<br>uh if that's a real thing uh the war in<br>Iraq and Afghanistan did not maybe<br>succeed in defeating terrorism or even<br>making progress it probably made more<br>terrorists than not so there's a<br>justified feeling of hitting back and uh<br>going after somebody like Bin Laden in<br>the case of 911 and then there's just<br>the actual implementation<br>mhm and it seems like the implementation<br>can sometimes<br>um un intended or unintended have<br>consequences that are bordering on war<br>crimes if not downright war crimes now<br>this this is a general statement and now<br>we'll look at Israel where things<br>are<br>small land everything is very compact<br>there's a lot of complexities that are<br>well studied that we've talked about<br>extensively well the two stated aims of<br>the Israelis after the 7th were uh to<br>get the hostages back and to destroy<br>Hamas and many people said that you<br>could do one but not<br>both um and I actually think<br>they've gone a long way to doing both by<br>no means everything there are still<br>hostages as we're speaking held in Gaza<br>including a young American Um and Hamas<br>is not completely destroyed it's very<br>very significantly degraded but it's not<br>completely destroyed but those are the<br>two aims<br>um I believe that I mean I've<br>seen as much of the war as any outside<br>observer<br>i don't know there are some exceptions<br>maybe but and so I think I can say with<br>considerable certainty what the Israelis<br>have and haven't<br>done um<br>the the oper there were various<br>operations at the beginning various uh<br>plans which didn't happen like storming<br>straight in and getting for instance as<br>many hostages as possible out of the<br>Shifa complex which is called a hospital<br>but it's<br>a al also at the very least the Hamas<br>command headquarters and um there was a<br>there was a plan to maybe go and uh do<br>that fast but it was it was avoided<br>because of the number of deaths on all<br>sides that would be likely to happen the<br>Israelis did actually hold back at the<br>beginning there was a a period of making<br>sure that when they went into Gaza they<br>didn't do<br>so in any way<br>blind the Gaza is a very built up area<br>and populationwise is is is um is<br>densely populated something by the way<br>which the people who who claim<br>frivolously that Israel has been<br>committing genocide never take account<br>of which is the fact that the garden<br>population has boomed since the Israeli<br>withdrawal in 2005 it's almost<br>doubled um but yeah it's a densely<br>populated area and it's an incredibly<br>difficult place for the train of war<br>because of one thing in particular which<br>is that goes back a bit to our<br>conversation earlier this is a much more<br>extreme example i mean Hermes really<br>don't play by the<br>rules in fact they they use the rules of<br>war the laws of war completely to their<br>own<br>advantage you know it has to be<br>reiterated you are not meant to<br>uh disguise your army as<br>civilians you're not meant to use places<br>of uh care like hospitals as bases for<br>your military operations you're not<br>meant to use schools and places of<br>worship as operating centers of<br>war and Hamas does all of these things<br>and has always done so and it does so<br>with the very obvious reason that for<br>them the whole thing is a two for one<br>offer you you you get to operate<br>everywhere and if the Israelis operate<br>anywhere you claim that this is a war<br>crime because how could they attack this<br>group of civilians these people who are<br>dressed as civilians these people merely<br>fighting from a mosque and so on and<br>that's why that's<br>why everybody who's been to Gaza who's<br>seen the fighting knows the same thing<br>which is this is just<br>incredibly difficult difficult warfare<br>of a kind that that American troops have<br>seen in the last 20 years in Fallujah<br>and elsewhere uh Kurdish<br>uh militia the Peshmerga saw when they<br>were fighting as our frontline troops in<br>the war against ISIS similar house to<br>house but by no means with the same<br>entrenched<br>uh uh bases uh you know again it can't<br>be stressed enough that Hamas has used<br>the years since the Israeli withdrawal<br>from 2005 to build this<br>vast underground tunnel network<br>and again it's obvious but it has to be<br>remembered when is and I quote one of<br>the Hamz leaders in the book saying this<br>in an interview when they build their<br>tunnels they do so in order that their<br>tunnels are used by them Hamas to store<br>their<br>weaponry to secure their<br>fighters and to hold hostages<br>they do not build their underground<br>tunnel networks for the safety of guards<br>and civilians avoiding aerial<br>bombardment<br>and you know<br>the every difference in the world seems<br>to me to exist between a country which<br>does build uh bomb shelters for its<br>citizens and um a government which<br>builds bomb shelters for its bombs<br>can you discuss the flow of money here<br>so how does Hamas how does Hamas the<br>leadership use the money so you started<br>to talk about the tunnels but how much<br>corruption is there can you just lay it<br>all out uh because I think that's an<br>it's an important part of the picture<br>here it's totally corrupt every Hermes<br>leader who's uh now dead died a<br>billionaire with a B with a B to say<br>that<br>they used Gaza's resources or the the<br>the resources that came into Gaza for<br>their own ends is to just vastly<br>understate matters<br>um Hames used everything that came in to<br>build the infrastructure of terror that<br>allowed them to do the seventh and<br>everything<br>since um they militarized the whole of<br>the Gaza they um by the estimations of<br>troops I've been with there they every<br>second to third house had weaponry<br>stashed there bombs RPGs Kashnikovs<br>rockets tunnel entrances<br>uh<br>the network that they just embedded all<br>these years was was total they they they<br>they you know one of the many many<br>tragedies of this is that whatever<br>you're reading of the rights and wrongs<br>of the Israeli withdrawal in<br>2005 it was an opportunity for the Gaza<br>to become something else it could have<br>become a thriving state it could have<br>been a thriving Palestinian state it's<br>just that<br>Hamas like the PLO before<br>them decided that they wanted to destroy<br>Israel more than they wanted to create a<br>Palestinian state and that is to the<br>great great detriment of the<br>Palestinians of Gaza to put it at its<br>mildest so just to outline here<br>leadership of Hamas are stealing the<br>money that gets sent by Qatar by<br>everybody so they're putting in their<br>pocket and then the by the American<br>taxpayer by the European taxpayer as<br>well yes well yeah but I mean it's not<br>just about the stealing the money it's<br>it's about using the the money and the<br>infrastructure to annihilate your<br>neighbor i mean that's those those two<br>things but the corruption is uh a signal<br>from an economic perspective but it's<br>also a signal of deep moral corruption<br>because<br>they're screwing over the Palestinian<br>people yes a cynicism assassinate yeah<br>okay and then with the money they do<br>spend on the Palestinian cause they're<br>not doing that to uh build up no Gaza<br>they're doing it to uh strengthen the<br>militaristic capabilities yes of the<br>terrorist organization of Hamas<br>you<br>have maybe you can correct me on this um<br>has said<br>that the people of Gaza have some<br>significant responsibility for the<br>actions of Hamas because they've elected<br>them they elected them the whatifs are<br>endless but very unwise of the George W<br>bush administration to push for<br>elections in Gaza<br>um after '05<br>but Hamas were elected and<br>they then 2007 killed the other<br>Palestinian faction that was their main<br>challenger Fata uh killed them threw<br>them off rooftops dragged their bodies<br>behind motorbikes through the Gaza and<br>from that point they had total control<br>and you know this is is difficult<br>because<br>you you can get into the realm of being<br>accused of advocating or in any way<br>justifying collective punishment<br>uh if you talk about this but it should<br>be borne in mind<br>that you know Hamas had effectively 18<br>years to run the<br>Gaza and that's that's the time that it<br>takes from the birth of a child to the<br>end of their formal<br>education and in 18 years they could<br>have presided over and<br>produced a generation of young<br>gazins who were<br>productive productive for their people<br>for their society for their neighbors<br>for the rest of the world and they<br>didn't they spent 18 years<br>indoctrinating the children of Gaza into<br>a death cult and into a genocidal hatred<br>which obviously is was most dangerous to<br>the<br>Israelis<br>but it was obviously disastrous for the<br>people of Gaza<br>and you know there is um there's just if<br>you speak to soldiers who were there in<br>2014 when Hermes started a war again<br>um one of a set of rounds of war since<br>2005 if you speak to the soldiers who<br>were there in 2014 going house to house<br>and who were also involved in the war<br>since<br>2003 they all say the same thing which<br>is the marked radicalization of the<br>Gazin population<br>the marked increase in just I mean the<br>most I mean it's so benile in a way to<br>even cite it but you know<br>like the numbers of copies of mine camp<br>in Arabic in an average Gazen household<br>the protocols of the learned elders of<br>Zion there are so many whatifs and other<br>paths that Heramaz could have taken but<br>that was the one they took they decided<br>to take the path of using their time in<br>power to build up their infrastructure<br>radicalizes population and encouraged<br>them to believe that they could destroy<br>the state of<br>Israel and then on October the 7th they<br>gave it their best shot uh and by the<br>way there is no organized collective<br>punishment of the citizens of Gaza<br>collective punishment would just be<br>dropping bombs with no purpose across<br>civilian areas carpet bombing this sort<br>of thing this is simply not what the<br>IIAF and the IDF have done since the<br>7th um they have been fighting a<br>house-to-house war against this<br>terrorist group they do do aerial<br>strikes gaza is is is very very badly<br>beaten up as a the buildings I mean the<br>the infrastructure that that existed<br>um it's uh there aren't many buildings<br>standing but this is not the result of<br>just wild and imprecise bombing by the<br>Israelis it's been extremely<br>uh<br>concerted it's extremely uh difficult<br>but when people say well this must be<br>collective punishment I think that the<br>people who say<br>that simultaneously that's not<br>true and<br>also you<br>know there is not a hostage who's come<br>out who Donald Trump made this President<br>Trump made his point recently there is<br>not a hostage who's come out who I've<br>spoken with<br>who found any<br>gazen<br>Palestinian who expressed even the<br>slightest human kindness to<br>them if you if you look at the footage<br>from the seventh that Hamas recorded<br>themselves of them taking young Jewish<br>women into Gaza and so<br>on you will notice<br>that the trucks and the motorbikes and<br>so on are not stopped by horrified<br>guards and civilians saying "Why have<br>you got this this Israeli girl who<br>you've whose tendons you've cut and why<br>are you bringing her here?" It's all<br>celebration<br>it's all<br>celebration and it's the same with there<br>are a couple of cases of hostages who<br>managed to escape from the civilian<br>houses they were being held in who were<br>immediately returned by the citizens<br>they<br>met yeah the celebration I do wonder<br>what percent of the the population they<br>represent but there's something really<br>dark there's several ways to explain the<br>celebration<br>it could be that there's a deep<br>indoctrination where you do legitimately<br>hate<br>Jews and there also could be a place of<br>just deep<br>desperation and it's it's a kind of<br>relief that you have to convince<br>yourself that you're um on the side of<br>fighting for<br>freedom in order to justify to yourself<br>that this is the right way to fight out<br>of desperation<br>out of extremely harsh conditions<br>because the way we're kind of speaking<br>about this with the celebration it's<br>very easy to project a kind of evil on<br>the<br>populace that I just am very hesitant to<br>project especially on the general<br>populace you don't have to project it<br>onto them you can just listen to their<br>own words<br>what i'm sure you've heard the one of<br>many audio recordings you hear from the<br>morning but I'm sure you've heard the<br>audio recording of the young man who<br>ends up in one of the communities in the<br>south of Israel and uh calls home calls<br>back home have you heard that yes I've<br>heard it i quoted in the first chapter<br>of the book he he calls back home and he<br>says uh to his father who picks up it's<br>on WhatsApp i think he's he's on the<br>phone he's saying "Turn on to WhatsApp<br>because I can show you." He says "Um<br>I've killed 10 Jews with my own hands oh<br>father your son has killed 10 Jews." And<br>his father is is saying "Where are you<br>where are you?" Go "I want to show you<br>Dad i want to show you i've killed Jews<br>with my own hands your<br>son put mother on the phone." Mother<br>comes on the phone the brother comes on<br>the phone<br>um this is<br>um one of many<br>many stories from the<br>day that suggest<br>uh something which I would say is not<br>just indoctrination but yes evil first<br>of all those phone calls are somehow<br>uniquely horrific but I've also heard<br>recordings of phone calls made by<br>Ukrainian soldiers to their parents and<br>Russian soldiers to their parents and<br>they have not as intense and not as<br>horrific but they have a similar nature<br>to<br>them<br>which there is an aspect of war where<br>you uh dehumanize the other side right<br>sure in order to fight that<br>war so we have to remember that that<br>element is going to be there in a time<br>of war in a time of desperation it would<br>be a strange type of um uh simple sort<br>of I don't know pride in<br>war to go into an 80-year-old woman's<br>house and kill her on her<br>floor and then film her dead body and<br>her body in its final moments and send<br>it round to all of that woman's friends<br>on her phone on her Instagram<br>account<br>um it's it's you may have heard<br>different things from me but I mean I I<br>would be surprised if there were even<br>the most viciferous of Russian<br>soldiers phoning back home to Moscow and<br>saying "Mom you won't believe my luck i<br>managed to rape and kill this<br>80-year-old<br>woman." It's that's that's quite unusual<br>even in warfare<br>um and and that's one of the things<br>about Hamas and the what I describe as<br>the death cult<br>types which makes them different from<br>other people but that's the channeling<br>of evil and hatred and anger in the<br>human spirit but that doesn't make that<br>person evil no I disagree<br>you commit that once i think that there<br>is such a force as evil in the world and<br>I think it uh it can descend and it can<br>be used and it's very hard to find a<br>non- theological way to talk about this<br>but of everything I've seen um there are<br>actions that people like Hamas committed<br>on the 7th that cannot be described as<br>anything other than<br>evil the things that happened at the<br>Nova party were especially appalling i<br>mean it was all appalling but it was<br>especially appalling because first of<br>all it's a sort of party which people<br>like you and I or at least you and I<br>when we were younger might have been<br>at and so everyone knows you know the<br>the world of a dance party in all night<br>you know rave in the desert to commune<br>with nature and the universe and to take<br>some psychedelics and to you know expand<br>your consciousness and your love and all<br>of that sort of thing<br>the the fact that people doing<br>that at 6:30 in the morning then<br>encountered people coming in to the<br>party<br>on trucks and military vehicles and<br>just massacring them and raping them and<br>I mean I I give examples of the<br>firsthand accounts of people who<br>survived but I mean it's beyond belief<br>of almost anything else I've covered in<br>war and it's because it seems<br>so I mean an armed an army facing<br>another army is one thing<br>a terrorist group in civilian clothing<br>facing an army is another<br>thing but a terrorist group facing a<br>group of young<br>people at a dance<br>unarmed and doing what they did is is<br>is pretty hard to comprehend unless you<br>use the lexicon of evil somewhere<br>so that<br>stated can you empathize with the<br>suffering of uh Palestinians in Gaza<br>with the destruction that resulted as a<br>response yes um what has happened in<br>response is terrible terrible for the<br>citizens of Gaza<br>i was there in um on the first time<br>couple of days early in into the the<br>ground invasion<br>uh when the citizens of Gaza were coming<br>south i was in the middle of the strip<br>and the um the humanitarian corridor had<br>been set up to try to stop the hostages<br>being taken south deeper into Gaza and<br>to try to stop the leadership from<br>making it south it actually it didn't<br>really work because they just they'd<br>already got a lot of the hostages south<br>it was an attempt to keep Hamz there and<br>fight them in the north so as not to be<br>dragged all the way in in the end<br>dragged all the way in anyway but uh yes<br>and I mean watching the the citizens of<br>Gaza moving through the humanitarian<br>corridor and you know they everyone was<br>check being checked for for bombs<br>suicide vests checked for you know<br>particularly young men of military age<br>um and uh you know I mean you look at<br>this tide of human misery and you think<br>this is terrible but this is a<br>terrible thing that had been brought<br>upon them by the people who've been<br>misgoverning the place that they lived<br>in<br>and of course on a human level you feel<br>terrible that these people are going<br>through this at the same time human<br>empathy for them can coexist<br>beside an unspeakable<br>anger that they had come to this point<br>because of the the fact that they had<br>elected a terror group to run their<br>territory and one of the things<br>obviously is that you know a lot of<br>people like to say and it's true of<br>course that that you know this didn't<br>all start on October the 7th absolutely<br>true uh this particular round this<br>particularly intense round of war<br>started on October the 7th without doubt<br>Hamas did not have to attack on October<br>the 7th it wasn't wasn't like they were<br>forced<br>to liberate themselves or something as<br>some of the defenders of Hamas<br>claim uh but the conflict of course goes<br>back a lot earlier but it you you will<br>have to always keep on contending with<br>this fact that there is one<br>central issue to the paradigm of that<br>conflict what used to be called the Arab<br>Israeli conflict and now has<br>become interestingly rebranded the<br>Israeli Palestinian conflict but there<br>is one absolutely essential issue to<br>this which cannot be forgotten which<br>is do the<br>Palestinians want a<br>state or do they want to destroy the<br>Jewish<br>state and if they want to destroy the<br>Jewish state as they've tried many<br>times it's a disaster for them it's a<br>total disaster for them<br>if they want to create their own state<br>they've already had several very good<br>shots at it one of which is Gaza post<br>2005 but they've never shown in their<br>leadership the desire to live with a<br>Jewish<br>state and that's a catastrophe for the<br>Palestinians<br>can you steal me out the case of the<br>lived experience of Palestinians and pro<br>Palestinian voices that describe the<br>Gaza situation as a occupation the West<br>Bank do and uh in the case of Gaza open<br>air prison the to take them in order um<br>there's nothing about Gaza that was an<br>open air prison they had ability to<br>trade they had the ability to um to move<br>in and out in increasing numbers<br>egypt wasn't so keen on allowing<br>Palestinians from Gaza into Egypt still<br>isn't but uh at the time the seventh<br>there was actually an interesting that<br>one of the things the international<br>community was pushing for was for more<br>Palestinians to be coming into Israel<br>every day through the crossing and<br>others to work in Israel because they<br>can make a a better living in Israel<br>than they can in Gaza<br>and uh this the the as it were<br>normalization route was slowly being<br>attempted was being pushed on Israel by<br>the international community a little bit<br>too fast for Israel's uh comfort but it<br>happened that completely came to an end<br>and that that dream is done gone since<br>the 7th of October can you clarify the<br>dream the normalization relation<br>normalization dream between Gaza and<br>Israel<br>gone uh there will be yeah no<br>normalization no not after that and one<br>of the reasons is the number of people<br>again who I've spoken with who employed<br>Palestinians worked with Palestinians<br>worked alongside Palestinians encouraged<br>more Palestinians to be coming from Gaza<br>in order to work in Israel and these<br>were their brothers and sisters and so<br>on and so forth one of the reasons why<br>the massacres of the seventh was so<br>successful in the kibbut sim the<br>communities in the south was because of<br>the number of the terrorists who came in<br>with detailed houseto-house maps of<br>those<br>communities i I spoke with uh with one<br>man who his community they had a<br>security officer chief and uh Hamas came<br>in they knew to go and kill him and his<br>family first and then which families it<br>was just I've seen the maps myself they<br>were they came in with incredibly<br>um accurate information about these<br>communities how did they have them<br>because it was given to them by the by<br>the brothers by the workers by the<br>people of Gaza who were coming in and<br>out so there is nobody that will trust<br>that ever again there's a lot of<br>Palestinians that have lived and<br>flourished inside<br>Israel uh what are they saying what are<br>they feeling and what are the Israelis<br>feeling about them is there still<br>camaraderie to some degree or is it<br>completely destroyed my observation at<br>the beginning was that everyone was<br>extremely<br>wary uh I mean you know if if you've<br>worked beside somebody and then found<br>out they sold out your<br>family you you will never trust again<br>and that in particular in a small<br>country like Israel the word of that<br>happening goes out very fast<br>the very beginning there was intense<br>intense fear about that including of the<br>you know 20% or so of the population who<br>are Arab um<br>Israelis i actually think one of the few<br>sort of positive news stories of the<br>period is that that population within<br>Israel has has by and large held it's<br>not there hasn't been an inifardada<br>[Music]<br>um one of the reasons why there hasn't<br>been more activity terrorist activity in<br>the West Bank and Judea and Samaria is<br>because the Israelis have been very<br>careful along with the Palestinian<br>Authority to some extent cooperating to<br>keep that down but you know there wasn't<br>a a war on a full war on three fronts<br>for instance which was at risk of<br>happening um so I think that the sort of<br>coexistence within Israel has pretty<br>much held there are some terrible<br>examples far too<br>regular but not as regular as it could<br>happen of um Muslim Arab Israelis<br>carrying out acts of terror in as it<br>were sympathy with Hamas i was in the<br>middle of one such attack myself uh uh<br>late last year<br>um and in a town called Hideera and<br>those things have happened but they it<br>it's it's not that that particular<br>catastrophe has not occurred can we talk<br>about Benjamin Netanyahu for a lot of<br>people who spoke of evil they refer to<br>him as evil on the spectrum between good<br>and evil as a leader where does<br>Netanyahu fall well he's certainly not<br>evil interesting if people uh looking at<br>this conflict were to be reluctant to<br>use the word evil of Hamz and eager to<br>use it of the Israeli prime minister it<br>would be sort of telling I would say can<br>we just actually linger on that point<br>there is a point you've made uh multiple<br>times which is we're more eager to to<br>criticize and maybe even uh<br>overexaggerate the criticism of<br>democratically elected leaders yes it's<br>a dark weird other quality of uh<br>discourse at parties at for mentioned<br>parties isn't it also I mean not be to<br>be flippant for a moment it's a little<br>bit<br>like who do you show your worst sides to<br>the people you<br>love you it's like you know my intense<br>irritability is something that tends to<br>be felt most by people who are closest<br>to me because I I'm if I express it to<br>absolutely everybody I met at a party or<br>a social setting it would be it would be<br>hard I<br>there's a tendency to lean heavily on<br>the people who are closest to you the<br>people<br>who will put up with<br>it um and something similar happens in<br>international politics you you pressure<br>the people who will listen i mean it's<br>it's one of the I mean one of the things<br>you hear a lot in the last years you<br>know people sort of ignoramuses and the<br>governments in places like Britain you<br>know will say we need to put more<br>pressure on the Israelis to do X and you<br>go well you know in part that's because<br>they will listen if you go we need to<br>put more pressure on the Ayatollah in<br>Iran to persuade them that Hammas are<br>really bad and they shouldn't be doing<br>this right what the hell do you think<br>they're going to do they're going to<br>listen to you they're going to give a<br>damn you're talking totally different<br>worlds not just a different language is<br>a different world and by the way that<br>happens in Israel i mentioned it earlier<br>but happens in Israel when the hostage<br>families forum came about uh I spent a<br>lot of time there a lot got to know a<br>lot of the families and um they're<br>remarkable but one of the things you did<br>notice from them as well was that a lot<br>of<br>them they protest outside Netanyahu's<br>house they clack and horns make sure Y<br>doesn't can never sleep they uh will you<br>know put up great big posters by his<br>house of him with bloodied hands and and<br>so on<br>and I have si you know I think as much<br>sympathy as you can for these families<br>the plight of knowing that your child is<br>sitting in a tunnel in Gaza for a year a<br>day an hour is<br>intolerable but there's a reason why the<br>families protested<br>Netanyahu and that's because<br>Sinoir didn't care<br>that wouldn't work if you<br>said are you you know understand my<br>plight i'm a Jewish mother and my<br>daughter is thing you think Sinoir and<br>the heads of Hamas<br>care you think the leaders in Qatar who<br>host them<br>care the Qatari Amir's mother when<br>Sinoir was killed praised<br>Sinoir you couldn't talk that language<br>to these people but you can talk that<br>language to the elected prime minister<br>of Israel because that first of all he's<br>somebody who might listen to your<br>pressure could be pressured and secondly<br>is simply the only person you can<br>pressure there's no one else hamas<br>doesn't care hezbollah doesn't care the<br>Iranian revolutionary government doesn't<br>care yeah so let's just sort of say once<br>again the uh the obvious thing that uh<br>while it is possible to discuss<br>uh Hamas uh soldiers as freedom fighters<br>I'm not one of the folks that can take<br>that perspective it's a tough one to<br>take i don't see how you can call them<br>freedom fighters so this goes to the man<br>from the land of peace and the man from<br>the land of war there is a lived<br>experience of what it means to grow up<br>in Gaza and if you fully load that into<br>your brain in a in a real way not in not<br>using the words of good and evil but in<br>a in a very deep human sense from that<br>place from that place of desperation<br>when your home and your family is<br>destroyed doesn't matter why doesn't<br>matter if there's evil all around you<br>that caused it doesn't matter the the<br>facts are the facts and from that<br>place somebody who's fighting for you<br>can feel like a freedom fighter i think<br>it should be called out that yes it can<br>feel that way from the lived experience<br>but Hamas is very clearly since we're<br>talking about Netanyahu Hamas is<br>evil okay now you can still in that<br>context discuss the degree to which<br>Netanyahu is the right leader for this<br>moment and whether<br>he goes too far whether he's too<br>politically selfish in the decisions he<br>makes whether he's too much a<br>wararmonger whether he's utilizing the<br>war<br>uh for his own political gains and is uh<br>not caring about the death of civilians<br>in Gaza for example but more caring<br>about his own political uh maintaining<br>power that's a perspective that I could<br>steal man that's a perspective worth<br>discussing and that's a perspective many<br>in Israel hold when they criticize<br>Netanyahu he's increasingly less and<br>less popular that's wrong polls last<br>month when he was in Washington he<br>showed him at an all-time high you know<br>but you were saying I I make my own poll<br>and according to my poll um I'm the<br>greatest i'm the nicest and the coolest<br>person in the world<br>100% of people agree so I didn't mean to<br>laugh that much<br>you laughed a little too much it's more<br>than the joke yeah but you were saying I<br>mean the Yeah okay let's steal man the<br>criticism of Netanyahu can you and then<br>steel man the case for him that he's the<br>right leader actually at this moment the<br>the the most devastating thing that<br>anyone could come up against Netanyahu<br>is is uh that the seventh happened on<br>his watch<br>um after the Yam Kapoor war in 1973 gold<br>mayor who was a very distinguished prime<br>minister of Israel and a remarkable<br>woman but she effectively took the the<br>political hit for the Yamapour invasion<br>um by Israel's Arab neighbors happening<br>on her watch And um and I would have<br>thought that most critics fair-minded<br>critics of Netanyahu inside Isra without<br>would always hold that against<br>him<br>um the<br>uh I suppose that the one of the<br>criticisms you hear a lot as well is<br>this thing of Israel being divided in<br>the year before the 7th because of the<br>judicial reforms um I think there's a<br>strong case for judicial reforms in<br>Israel but um it's a sort of niche<br>Israeli governance issue which we don't<br>have to get into the point is is that<br>Netanyahu and his government were<br>pushing these reforms through judicial<br>reforms and uh it was very divisive and<br>on the streets of Tel Aviv and other<br>cities every weekend there were protests<br>and the uh police were tired because<br>they'd spent week after week on overtime<br>policing these protests which often<br>turned rockous not to say violent or<br>sometimes violent and uh you could say<br>well if you see that something is<br>dividing your country this much mightn't<br>you stop there is a claim by some people<br>that one one of the things that prompted<br>the seventh was that Hamas and its<br>backers in Qatar and Iran saw the<br>division in Israeli society saw the<br>Israeli population you know a<br>significant chunk of it every week on<br>the streets shutting down highways<br>shutting down services and so on and<br>thought good now's the time in other<br>words what I quoted Sinoir as saying<br>earlier when he was in um in prison in<br>Israel was you know this thing one day<br>you'll be weak and then I'll<br>strike maybe that is one of the things<br>that<br>Sinoir thought israel was very weak it<br>had been divided and therefore the time<br>to strike there's an argument against<br>that which is that this the seventh was<br>in preparation and being planned before<br>the judicial reform process in Israel<br>began so you can look at it several ways<br>but you could use that you could say<br>"Look this is you know if you your your<br>your nation was divided don't push<br>through anymore on that." There's<br>there's lots of things like that you<br>could say that that Netanyahu was one of<br>the people responsible for the<br>conception you could uh there were<br>critics of his including critics who<br>were in the war cabinet who thought that<br>he was too focused on on uh Hamas and<br>not focused enough on Hezbollah other<br>people think he was too focused on<br>Hezbollah and not enough on<br>Hamas um so I there's them and many<br>other criticisms that people make of him<br>i would say I've interviewed I think<br>every political leader in Israel from<br>right to left pretty much and um I have<br>to say I don't think there's any of them<br>that wouldn't have responded similarly<br>to the 7th of October to the way he has<br>can we okay so that's inside Israel<br>outside of<br>Israel you know uh despite what he said<br>uh he is one of the most hated people in<br>the world just the raw quantity relative<br>he's by a lot of people but there's a<br>lot of people<br>that you know there's a lot of<br>psychological effects that might explain<br>that i mean it's sort of strange to to<br>to if if if there is a widespread global<br>loathing of the prime minister of a<br>country of 8 to 9 million people yeah<br>that that might mean something more than<br>uh a hatred of the the military actions<br>and the policies of the one person yeah<br>i mean you know there's a there's an<br>awful lot of people to hate in the world<br>there's a lot of wars in the world<br>it's it's always of interest to me and<br>obviously some of the one things I go<br>into on democracies and death cults is<br>this question of like why is this so<br>galvanizing for so many people and I<br>think that is a very very interesting<br>question like<br>why by the way let me do a quick<br>addendum to that you can notice<br>something else like that when people<br>talk about the Republican failures in<br>foreign policy in the last 30 years or<br>So it's very interesting there's a<br>certain type of person who will<br>immediately mention Paul<br>Wolfwitz yeah um and they will say well<br>you know Wolitz you go you mean deputy<br>under secretary of defense under George<br>W<br>bush you think<br>he guided<br>everything why would that be other than<br>the fact that his name as Mark Stein<br>once said starts with a nasty animal and<br>ends Jewish<br>i mean that's a good one so I do and I<br>do so I do think that the<br>the there are very deep things at play<br>it's a good line you know the the the<br>there are very deep things at play<br>netanyahu irrespective of anything he<br>does for a lot of people is a kind of<br>devil and you have to say well why is<br>that now of course some people will say<br>well that's because he uh his terrible<br>hawkishness and his actions and so on<br>and so forth<br>the case for Netanyahu is that he sees<br>it as his historic purpose to defend the<br>only homeland of the Jewish people and<br>that that's his life's<br>mission<br>and on that basis I think he's been by<br>any measure historic<br>leader he<br>has warned the world about the threat<br>from the Mullers in Tehran he warned<br>about Iranian revolutionary expansionism<br>across the region across Iraq Lebanon<br>Syria<br>Yemen and after the 7th he has held<br>together a very very difficult set of<br>challenges to keep um international<br>pressure at a tolerable level<br>to do all sorts of things but most<br>importantly to oversee the two war aims<br>that he set out at the beginning i<br>thought let me just express this i<br>thought like a lot of people when I<br>heard about the<br>hostages my immediate instinct was<br>they're all dead they're all going to be<br>dead we'll never see them<br>again and that was the attitude of a lot<br>of<br>Israelis but although there are still<br>hostages being held and as I've always<br>said the war could end tomorrow if they<br>were handed back<br>um or at least the beginning of the end<br>of the war could begin tomorrow if they<br>were handed back uh nevertheless because<br>of the actions of not just Netanyahu but<br>the Israeli government<br>um most of the hostages have been<br>returned did not expect this to<br>happen and hemaz has not been completely<br>destroyed but it has been very very<br>significantly degraded and you end up in<br>the definition of what a total<br>destruction of Hemaz would look like<br>but<br>they are not anywhere near the<br>capability they<br>were in November of<br>2023 their leadership has almost all<br>been killed<br>uh the second tier of leadership almost<br>all<br>gone and um this is a just response to<br>what Hamas<br>did the moment Netanyahu's reputation in<br>Israel was at a low early on because of<br>what had<br>happened but and there's no doubt and as<br>I I say in the final chapter of the book<br>I mean there's general Slim had this<br>phrase uh you know from defeat into<br>victory israel isn't at victory yet in<br>this conflict but uh when in September<br>last year there were a set of<br>operational successes so<br>extraordinary that I mean it was just<br>like every day's news was there was one<br>day I remember when after the um after<br>the Assad regime fell when um the<br>Israeli air force took out the entirety<br>of the Syrian air force uh in a day<br>because they didn't want it falling into<br>the hands of the new jihadist<br>administration in Syria it was story<br>number four on the BBC news<br>website um the leadership of Hezbollah<br>gone gone the the the second and third<br>tiers of<br>Hezbollah gone or<br>wounded iran's<br>Rolls-Royce<br>destroyed um these are very very<br>significant military<br>achievements<br>and are in my mind a just response to<br>the attempts by Hezbollah Hamas and<br>other Iranian proxies to destroy the<br>Jewish<br>state um would another Israeli leader<br>have been able to<br>hold<br>firm as Netanyahu<br>has i don't know but I do know that any<br>of them would have done something<br>similar or would have tried to do<br>something similar because there's no<br>country on earth no democracy on earth<br>which could possibly not respond to such<br>an<br>atrocity to the point the underlying<br>point you<br>made of<br>why do so many people want to call him<br>evil and so the implication is it's not<br>just a hatred of Israel there's an ocean<br>of hatred for the Jews yes<br>why is there so much hatred for Jews in<br>the world i would say there's one reason<br>in particular it's a stupid and gullible<br>person's easy<br>answer why is why do certain things<br>happen in the world<br>what is what is our explanation of<br>chance or unfairness<br>or any number of<br>things easiest easiest stupidest<br>person's explanation is there's a small<br>group of people doing it let's not say<br>stupidest because there's something in<br>the human mind that craves a nice clean<br>theory of everything right that explains<br>all the pro it's not just stupid let me<br>rephrase lowest grade right cuz I lowest<br>I have that I have that desire too to<br>simplify everything like be a bit<br>anti-Semitic what<br>uh we've all<br>we've all been bit anti-semitic here and<br>there and just get a few vodkas i mean<br>no uh to find I mean maybe as a<br>mathematician I mean it's like to find a<br>simple explanation for everything right<br>actually it's that's nice for every<br>historians do this absolutely i agree<br>analyzing why the Roman Empire collapsed<br>it's so nice to have one especially if<br>it's a counterintuitive explanation it's<br>one of the favorite go-tos right is an<br>explanation for all the problems in the<br>world it's the lowest resolution<br>analysis imaginable why is there traffic<br>why did my wife leave me why did my wife<br>cheating on me why did I lose my job why<br>did I not get the job because So even on<br>the personal level oh especially on the<br>personal level why did I not get<br>everything somebody must have held me<br>back yeah and it's just that hatred of<br>Jews has been such a popular go-to<br>throughout history you just always<br>return back to the hits I guess and I<br>What is it special about the Jews as a<br>group that people love to hate is it<br>just cuz it's small number of people i<br>think several things successful well one<br>is small and um<br>um without by any means saying this is a<br>general rule but um uh<br>disproportionately highly accomplished<br>uh in certain fields at certain<br>times um uh prominent is a word I would<br>use prominent slightly beyond their<br>numbers in certain places um it's not a<br>full explanation i mean um you know all<br>sorts of historic reasons why Jews were<br>involved in banking um but then there<br>are lots of historic reasons why the<br>Scottish people my own were involved in<br>banking and to this day you don't find<br>many people who blame all international<br>finance problems on the Scots um so<br>there are just like easy grooves for<br>people to fall into it seems to me we<br>should also mention you know banking for<br>some reason money is a thing that people<br>go to but um Jews have been<br>disproportionately successful in the<br>sciences and uh engineering mathematics<br>yes in the arts and so on a sensible<br>person would try to work out why that is<br>and and see what is replicable<br>uh a um<br>uh I don't want to use the word stupid<br>again now a different type of person I'm<br>triggered already a different type of<br>person would look at that and say "That<br>must mean they took something from me<br>and uh that's you know the the the most<br>zero sum game there is i I it's an<br>endlessly fascinating subject because it<br>seems to me that anti-semitism is almost<br>certainly a sort of ineradicable<br>um temptation of the<br>human spirit at its ugliest and<br>cheapest um<br>but but it it because it's back in our<br>day it bears some analysis<br>again um and I would say two things<br>about it what one is<br>um as I and others have said many times<br>in the past one of the fascinating<br>things about anti-semitism is that it it<br>it it can cover everything at once so<br>the Jews get hated for being rich and<br>for being poor<br>both for being the Rothschilds and for<br>being Eastern European Jews escaping the<br>pograms they can be hated for being<br>religious and for being anti-religious<br>and producing Marxism for<br>instance hated for religiosity and<br>secularism<br>uh they can be<br>hated for most recently not having a<br>state and therefore being ruthless<br>cosmopolitans and also hated for having<br>a<br>state and that makes it something very<br>unusual actually in the history of human<br>bigotry and<br>um you know bias and<br>ugliness but the real thing is one of my<br>great heroes Vasley Gman says at the<br>center of life and fate almost<br>everything that is worth saying about<br>anti-semitism and it's Gman's<br>genius that he could say in three to<br>four pages what most people couldn't say<br>in an entire life even after life of<br>study but there's this passage in the in<br>life and fate that I quote in my book<br>which is just bowled me over when I read<br>it some years ago<br>when he says you know the interesting<br>thing about anti-semitism he says you<br>can meet it everywhere in the um in the<br>academy of sciences and in the games<br>that children play in the yard but<br>Gman's great insight is he says<br>everywhere it tells you not about the<br>Jews but about the person making<br>the claim and the most important gift he<br>gives in his analysis is when he says<br>describes it as a mirror to the person<br>who is making the<br>claims culminating in this phrase I've<br>been trying to make popular which is he<br>said he says tell me what you accuse the<br>Jews of I'll tell you what you're guilty<br>of it's a searingly brilliant insight um<br>the<br>uh the the Iranian revolutionary<br>government accuses Israel of being a<br>colonial<br>power the Iranian revolutionary<br>government has been colonizing the<br>Middle East throughout our<br>lifetimes the Turkish government accuses<br>uh uh uh the Jewish state of being uh<br>guilty of occupation<br>do you know northern Cypress the Turks<br>have been<br>occupying half of Cyprus since the<br>1970s cypress is an EU member state and<br>Turkey is in<br>NATO so you can do this on and on the<br>people who accuse the Jewish state like<br>the people who accuse Jews of something<br>almost without fail is the thing they're<br>guilty<br>of look at um the supporters of Hamas<br>and Hamas one of the things they say is<br>that Israel is guilty of indiscriminate<br>killing<br>hamz hello<br>what were you doing on the 7th you see<br>there are these crazy guys online who<br>claim repeatedly claim that for some<br>reason Israeli soldiers will rape<br>Palestinians when they meet them whether<br>in a prison or on the battlefield or in<br>a hospital it's just it erupts<br>occasionally these these people go<br>around and saying "Oh my god the IDF are<br>rapists." Excuse<br>me you<br>You're the<br>ones who spent the years after 2016<br>saying "Believe all women." Then from<br>the 7th of October said "Believe all<br>women except for Jewish women who say<br>they've been raped or seen their friends<br>raped." And then you say "Aha the Jews<br>are rapists." You've been carrying water<br>for rapists and then go and accuse the<br>Jews of rape i mean it just works every<br>way you do it it works<br>i do think the thing of psychological<br>projection in the case of Israel is is<br>is wild i mean it is wild by the way<br>there's an interesting thing on this<br>that I try to get into in the book which<br>is this thing of why did so much of the<br>world respond the way it did i mean<br>we're sitting in New York there was not<br>one protest against Hamas in New York<br>after the 7th of October the Believe All<br>Women crowd didn't come out against<br>Hamaz's rapes the um Black Lives Matter<br>movement did not turn their attention to<br>the killing of Israeli children or<br>anything nobody did it nobody did<br>it the one thing that did<br>happen very prominently was that people<br>came out to attack the people who' been<br>attacked and as I say in the opening of<br>the book I saw that myself down the road<br>from here in Time Square on October the<br>8th october the freaking 8th the<br>protests are in Times Square against<br>Israel justifying the attacks that were<br>still going<br>on and this is this is something that<br>deserves deep self-examination on behalf<br>of people in the West who who've seen<br>this movement overwhelm parts of our<br>society i mean degraded parts but parts<br>bits of the universities and so on<br>and I think there's an explanation for<br>it by the way which again goes back to<br>that issue of projection when you and I<br>last talked on camera um we were talking<br>about my last book The War on the West<br>and I remember saying to you there that<br>um one of the things I was talking about<br>in that book was the deeply<br>deeply wildly biased unfair and<br>inaccurate estimation of the western<br>past whereby you know America's original<br>sin had to be identified and the<br>original sin is slavery so America has<br>an original sin does Ghana have an<br>original sin no one knows no one really<br>would think polite to point one out um<br>and you know you go on and on with these<br>these things that I identified in the<br>war in the west these these these sins<br>of the west and they have in recent<br>years been reduced to the claim that<br>countries like the one we're sitting in<br>are guilty of<br>what<br>colonialism settler colonialism white<br>supremacy slavery<br>uh<br>genocide and a couple of others you can<br>throw in<br>probably one of the things I remember<br>saying to you when we spoke about that<br>was the the one of the deep problems of<br>setting up that system of thought pseudo<br>thought non-thought would be<br>thought is that there's nothing you can<br>do about it even if it was true there's<br>nothing you can do about it<br>um if it turned out that your ancestors<br>in the 18th century once owned a slave<br>what are you going to do there's no<br>mechanism to forgive or be forgiven<br>because you didn't do it and there's no<br>one alive who could accept the<br>apology and I remember setting it up<br>there in the war in the West set up like<br>this this very<br>very<br>risky<br>dangerous unforgivable unforgiving thing<br>that had been set up about our<br>societies but I would say that since<br>October the<br>7th there has been an answer for a<br>certain type of person which<br>is I am from a society where I have been<br>told I am guilty of settler colonialism<br>white supremacy uh uh genocide ethnic<br>cleansing and more i've been told all of<br>these things i have been put in<br>an ungetoutable of situation of<br>moral burden that can never be relieved<br>because I can't ask anyone's forgiveness<br>and nobody can forgive<br>me but<br>ah here's a<br>country which I can accuse of all of<br>these things in the here and now<br>load my energies my guilts my<br>burdens onto and what's more I might be<br>able to end it and by doing<br>so would relieve myself and in other<br>words to like just to I quote I tweak<br>Grossman with the people<br>in America and elsewhere who've fallen<br>into this trap i tweak him by<br>saying "On this occasion tell me what<br>you accuse the Jews of and I'll tell you<br>what you've been told you're guilty<br>of." Yeah it's an interesting kind of<br>projection uh just to observe some of<br>the<br>uh sociological phenomena here on top of<br>all this it does seem that hatred of<br>Jews gets a lot of engagement online mhm<br>is this so I watch it like a curiosity<br>like I'm an alien observing Earth uh is<br>this dangerous to you or is it just a<br>bunch of trolls and grifters you know<br>let's say cosplaying as Nazis it's just<br>could be both fun to trigger the libs it<br>could be all of those things i think it<br>is and a lot more<br>um I mean<br>taboos you know taboos can be fun to<br>break I suppose and I suppose there are<br>some people<br>online who have grown up knowing that<br>you know since the Holocaust<br>anti-semitism was taboo and they've run<br>out of goes back to what we were saying<br>earlier a bit you know the they sort of<br>run out of they've got bored of that you<br>know holocaust schmolicourse they'd say<br>you know I got I heard enough about<br>that and maybe those people have gone<br>off in a<br>direction as a result but I don't think<br>that's the main I think that's like a<br>detail compared to the real thing the<br>real thing is that anti-semitism is back<br>and uh there is a certain type of person<br>who's loving it is it really back so I I<br>watch Well it never goes away it's just<br>that it's just that it's it's<br>it's since the seventh I think that it's<br>had a great resurgence this isn't to say<br>and still man that doesn't mean that any<br>criticism of Israel is anti-Semitic no<br>it doesn't but as I have often said if<br>you don't ever express any interest in<br>the murder of Muslims in Syria not any<br>interest in uh genocide in<br>Sudan killing of hundreds of thousands<br>of people in Yemen but on the 8th of<br>October you're on the street with a<br>plard attacking Israel i'm sorry you're<br>an anti-semite for sure you may not know<br>you are but that's what's motivating you<br>it gets a lot of engagement i watch it<br>it does i watch it but I mean it's one<br>of several things you can always see get<br>huge engagement i It's like if you if<br>you say that there's like a massive<br>pedophile ring run by prominent<br>politicians it might be to total<br>horseshit likely be total horseshit but<br>it'll also get a hell of a lot of<br>engagement yeah but that's still so the<br>pedophile ring like Epstein Island that<br>kind of stuff which is very interesting<br>it's like great all right cool let's<br>let's get behind that conspiracy<br>uh but the Jews thing the hatred of Jews<br>is still that's the greatest hits still<br>it is and I mean you see it with I mean<br>some of the people who've made minor<br>celebrities of<br>themselves with a sort of madeup version<br>of history with a smattering of this and<br>a little bit of that and then the just<br>asking questions and you know I'm not<br>saying but and all there are certain you<br>know rhetorical sites of hand that have<br>have helped this along but as I said<br>earlier it's just a the lowest grade<br>explanation of a certain type of mind<br>looking for a pattern and looking for<br>meaning and I mean I can give you just<br>one quick example of why that in the<br>case of Israel is so<br>extraordinary is the number of otherwise<br>semi-intelligent people who will tell<br>you that the problem is<br>simply that the Israelis need to give<br>the Palestinians another<br>state and that if they do it will solve<br>the problems of the region and the wider<br>world<br>and irrespective of the fact that the<br>Parisian has been given to several<br>states<br>the explan the claim that this<br>particular land dispute would unlock<br>every other injustice in the world<br>should be seen on its face to be<br>preposterous<br>there is no reason why if uh the<br>Palestinians got another state either in<br>Gaza or in parts of Judea and Samaria<br>the West Bank there is no reason why we<br>should expect the economy of Yemen to<br>boom it would not inevitably lead to the<br>mullers in Tehran giving equal rights to<br>women or anything else it it it would<br>solve the the most likely thing is you'd<br>simply have another failed Arab state<br>run by a sort of proxy of Thran that's<br>the best case scenario and by the way<br>even lifelong defenders of the<br>Palestinian cause like Salman Rushi he<br>said recently he said there he said<br>"I've always been a supporter of the<br>Palestinian people and their cause but<br>it is an unavoidable fact that if<br>another state was given to the<br>Palestinians it would simply be at best<br>another front for the Iranian regime in<br>Iran at best." So why the passion about<br>why the unbelievable wild passion about<br>this why the and and I say some of it<br>can be should be argued out and so on<br>and some of it can be explained but but<br>there's definitely a realm of it a layer<br>of it which is simply at that level of<br>this excites something within<br>me this excites something within me yeah<br>there there's some there's some there's<br>something compelling to people about<br>hating Jews look at the look at the<br>prominence of of of or you know<br>semi-prominent people who are willing to<br>play around with the idea that 9/11 was<br>an inside job and somehow it's done by<br>the<br>Israelis or the Jews i mean I mean look<br>at the like this this is going<br>around i have to admit you know I'm<br>there's a part of my brain that's pulled<br>towards conspiracies there's something<br>compelling and fun about a simple<br>explanation for things what's really<br>going on behind the scenes because the<br>real world when you don't look at the<br>conspiracies first of all it's<br>complicated and second of all it's kind<br>of boring it's a bunch of incompetent<br>people usually opening up Pandora's<br>boxes they don't understand yeah it's<br>pushing buffoons and I've been uh I mean<br>I've I've uh walked around and hung<br>around with a lot of powerful and rich<br>people and like the thing I learned is<br>they're just human beings there's not<br>I'm yet to be in a room where<br>exceptionally brilliant psychopaths are<br>plotting<br>you never got that invite no in fact<br>like a lot of people in the positions of<br>power they're just not good i mean I'm<br>just continuously disappointed<br>that they're not ultra I love competence<br>yeah the places where I've seen<br>competence inklings of it is in uh<br>lowlevel like soldiers like lowlevel uh<br>what do you call that people that do<br>stuff with their hands so uh builders of<br>different kinds like engineering like<br>craftsman like I've seen Yes because you<br>got because you've got a very specific<br>task that could be highly complicated<br>yes but you get to apply yourself to and<br>to solve yeah over years you master it<br>it's passed across generations and so on<br>but like state craft and like that that<br>kind of stuff well it's because there's<br>so many variables i mean this is this is<br>one of the when you were trying to lure<br>me on to prognostications on Ukraine<br>earlier i was saying I just I've seen<br>enough to know that I just don't know<br>because I know of the amount of things<br>that can change all the time i I was<br>some years ago I was talking to a a<br>former public servant in the UK when um<br>uh uh Boris Johnson was prime minister<br>and co started and I mentioned to this<br>friend I said well you know it's it's<br>pretty bad luck for Boris that you know<br>he came in to do one thing which was<br>Brexit and then there's a global<br>pandemic from Wuhan you know and he's<br>got to like mug up on that and then gets<br>it really wrong<br>Anyway and I was really struck by the<br>fact this man a man man of great insight<br>who happened to disagree politically but<br>said to me "But Douglas is always like<br>this." And he said you know look at Tony<br>Blair came into power in 1997 wanting to<br>reform education in the UK ends up<br>trying to remake the Middle<br>East and I I I do I mean as I say one of<br>the reasons why I am scornful of<br>conspiracy theorists and most conspiracy<br>theories not to say that there aren't<br>some that do actually turn out to be you<br>know to have something in them and that<br>happens a lot of things are called<br>conspiracy theories that turn out to be<br>true lab league um but but in<br>general the the suspicion and the scorn<br>I have for people who fall into this is<br>as I say it's a very lowgrade<br>lowresolution look at the world by<br>people who clearly have never seen<br>the wildness of actions in the world and<br>the way that they reverberate and the<br>number of events i mean I once spoke<br>some years ago to a politician who<br>literally said to me I won't name the<br>country but said to me c can you help us<br>out with with just how to cope on the<br>about with the the day to and understand<br>the<br>daytoday struggle we're having with the<br>cycle and I said what are you talking<br>about and they said our experience in<br>government is that every day something<br>comes up which we have to<br>firefight and that's what we do that day<br>and then the next day something else<br>comes up which we have to firefight and<br>we we're not<br>getting our policies done and I and I<br>just thought for me that rings an awful<br>lot truer than that that country gets<br>the odd phone call from a member of a<br>Jewish<br>family telling them yeah I just you know<br>it's like come on<br>so you know that's I I do before I<br>forget want to ask you about Iran what<br>role do they play in this conflict such<br>a It's fascinating how it seems like<br>Iran is uh fingerprints are everywhere<br>in the Middle<br>East and it's also fascinating that you<br>know I have a lot of friends my best<br>friend is Iranian it's fascinating that<br>the Islamic Revolution in Iran took the<br>country from the leadership perspective<br>backwards in such a drastic way and that<br>they're still in power that confuses me<br>because I know now it's possible I don't<br>know the people of Iran<br>sorry to make the obvious statement but<br>I just have a lot of friends in Iran and<br>a lot of them everybody I know there<br>opposes the regime and they're brilliant<br>yes educated thoughtful worldly<br>people and it confuses me that there's<br>this is one of the I would say<br>uh one of the greatest nations on earth<br>certainly one of the great cultures of<br>earth cultures like the peoples of Iran<br>and then you look at that and then you<br>look at the leadership<br>when they're behind most of the terror<br>groups in the region certainly yeah can<br>you just speak to that and how is it<br>still the same regime since 1979 i know<br>as you know I start on democracies and<br>death cults with the the flight taking<br>the<br>Ayatollah from Paris to Thran the flight<br>that you say you wish never happened i<br>think it's one of the two worst journeys<br>of the 20th century what's the other one<br>was it Lenin's train getting to Petrorad<br>it's always about the transportation<br>it's Yes I know i'm I'm really a<br>transport guy no I<br>um wait till my book of 10 best journeys<br>um across the world no um just as the<br>train to the Finland<br>station brought the basselus of<br>bulcheism into<br>Russia so the flight coming from Paris<br>bringing the ayati to Thran brought the<br>bassilus of Hmenanism the most radical<br>form of Shiite<br>Islam to Thran and to Iran and it's one<br>of the great tragedies of the modern era<br>what happened there like you actually I<br>have a lot of Persian friends and I had<br>the great good fortune early in my life<br>to have a very close late friend who had<br>grown up in pre-revolutionary Iran was<br>very fond of the sha and and and so on<br>her father had been an ayatollah before<br>the the overthrow of the sha but and you<br>know everyone had criticisms of him but<br>um when you saw what came after him it<br>just uh it was among other things uh<br>what I learned from her and other<br>friends from that region was that I<br>suppose two things one is of course is<br>that it's a sort of central conservative<br>insight you know things can always be<br>worse they can always be worse never say<br>this is rock bottom<br>because yeah you know like you might<br>have a sh with hundreds or even<br>thousands of political prisoners in<br>cells but you could always have<br>butchering them<br>all and um including the people who<br>helped him get to power like the<br>communists and the trade unionists who<br>who simply were fighting against the sha<br>and then were very useful for the idler<br>until he didn't need them anymore<br>um but the other thing I learned from<br>that particular friend and and others<br>was<br>that was this this thing<br>that and again it's very hard for the<br>western mindset very hard for the<br>American mindset in particular that<br>there is such a thing as fanaticism real<br>fanaticism and real ideological and real<br>religious fanaticism and the thing that<br>I describe leads to the death cult<br>mindset that fanaticism is something<br>which is very easy for the west to<br>forget get because we haven't seen it in<br>a while you know we get very um distant<br>echoes of it in our own societies really<br>and we're highly attuned to hear them<br>which is good in some<br>ways um but<br>homism not only vastly set<br>back the Persian people the Iranian<br>nation but has managed to keep it in<br>subjugation since 1979 and your question<br>of why gets to one of the<br>really the biggest questions really that<br>that has to be unders the answer to<br>which has to be understood which is it's<br>what Soljan Nitsson says at one point in<br>Gulag archipelago in that passage where<br>he describes when we heard the footsteps<br>on the<br>staircase and the knock was on our<br>neighbor's<br>door and we knew our neighbor was being<br>taken<br>way why did we not stop<br>them<br>and in the case of the revolutionary<br>government in<br>Iran you know it's the same answer as<br>whether it's governing Gaza with the the<br>people whoever the people in Gaza are<br>who would have liked to have seen them<br>overthrown you<br>know people don't<br>realize that despite the rhetoric and<br>everything else everything changes if<br>the other guy might kill<br>you and that you know when the green<br>revolution in 2009 started in<br>Iran why was it put down why didn't it<br>work<br>why like you my the sort of Iranians who<br>I really hope one day get their country<br>back why did all these smart young<br>students and others why after they came<br>out why was it put down it was put down<br>because the Bas militia will shoot you<br>in the<br>head and they'll take you to a prison as<br>they did with the Iranian students and<br>they'll rape you with bottles and kill<br>you<br>and even a little bit of that goes an<br>awfully long way to tell the rest of<br>society not to do it again you know we<br>know it happens like that from<br>films but too few people<br>understand that regimes like that in<br>Thran operate like that on a grand<br>scale on the biggest of scales and with<br>the ultimate of brutality<br>and that's how they stay in power and<br>one other thing on that by the way which<br>is I was I was reminded of this the<br>other day but you know thinking about<br>this sort of you know what I've just<br>described as a sort of a problem in<br>democracies is that we just you know we<br>like to think everyone thinks like us<br>and you know we'd like everyone to sort<br>of be like us and we we believe fictions<br>that we're taught in films like you know<br>everyone basically wants the same things<br>as us and you go you haven't stepped<br>outside the walls of the city if you<br>think that but the second thing is this<br>thing of the death cults of<br>why why we sort of sing singly fail to<br>understand that this is<br>possible<br>and homism is both very specific and<br>also very strongly linked to<br>totalitarian and radical and extremist<br>death cult movements that are not that<br>far in our past<br>i mean you know there's a moment in uh<br>um when Ariana Falachi interviewed in<br>1979 one of the very few Western<br>journalists to do<br>so she says to him "These people in the<br>street this movement this revolution<br>you've<br>begun it's guided by hate it's hate it's<br>all<br>hate." And Hani says "No no it's love<br>it's<br>love<br>and and it's actually a scene that that<br>that appears in the satanic verses of<br>Rushi where that exact same thing<br>happens but I was thinking about this<br>recently because I was thinking what how<br>can you explain to a western mindset<br>that that's that's something that's<br>going on there are people directed by<br>this hate that calls itself love this<br>this and I was reminded of a book I<br>haven't read since I was probably a<br>teenager or something made a great<br>impression on me then did you ever read<br>the the tragic sense of life uh Miguel<br>de Unimuno great Spanish existentialist<br>philosopher died in the 30s unamuno had<br>a encounter with students at the<br>university in the 30s when he realizes I<br>mean this is the the the early period of<br>the<br>Francoists Da and all those people you<br>know is at this meeting and the chant<br>goes up from the eager students who have<br>fallen into this sort of<br>philangist Francoist ideology already<br>they end up chanting in front of him as<br>he's trying to defend the principles by<br>which he has lived his life they end up<br>chanting in front of him viva<br>leuete long live<br>death long live<br>death and he tries to explain to them<br>this<br>is this is a necrophilic chant yeah but<br>those young<br>men in prefranist Spain shouting long<br>live death they have their counterparts<br>today they are the people who who taunt<br>Americans Westerners Israelis and others<br>with lines<br>like "We love death more than you love<br>life." Yeah that's the line you return<br>to that's a really difficult line to<br>load<br>in because if you base your whole<br>existence on that<br>notion then um well you're a danger to<br>the<br>world that's a good foundation for<br>committing<br>evil um I I have to ask because you<br>mentioned that interview you had a good<br>interview with Benjamin Netanyahu after<br>October<br>7th and I've been very fortunate to get<br>the opportunity to interview a few world<br>leaders it looks like I'll interview<br>Vladimir Putin and others one I have a<br>general question about how do you<br>interview people like<br>this maybe to put your historian hat on<br>of like how do you approach the<br>interview of world<br>leaders such that you can gain a deeper<br>understanding in the hope that that adds<br>to the compassion in the world so I have<br>I have a deep sense that understanding<br>people you might<br>hate helps in the long arc of history<br>add compassion to the world but even<br>just to add understanding is difficult<br>in those kinds of<br>contexts<br>and you know maybe it's more useful to<br>think about from a historian perspective<br>of how you uh need to interview somebody<br>like Hitler or Stalin or<br>Churchill FDR during World War II<br>m it's not you know I think about this a<br>lot especially if it's uh you know 2 3 4<br>5 hour conversation well there's a lot<br>of uh weight on you when you do those<br>conversations isn't from where so like<br>where who's watching is it historians 20<br>years from then who knows I mean the<br>whole data might be wiped I<br>I I suspect there's a wait on you<br>because every major a world leader you<br>interview and you've done some amazing<br>ones but I mean you you<br>presumably you have a set of people<br>saying you've got to ask him about this<br>you you can't not address this and and<br>that's a very challenging one because of<br>course although in an interview with a<br>politician should not should not be<br>supine nor can it be endlessly<br>interrogative because like you're not<br>the prosecutor and they don't have to be<br>the guilty party answering to you and<br>I've noticed the number of people who<br>interview people world leaders and<br>others who go in with a set of sort<br>of those things and and they and and at<br>some point the other party can<br>just I don't need this and people<br>criticizing you don't realize that you<br>just can't do that yeah i suppose why<br>journalists behave the way they do<br>although I have increasingly less and<br>less respect for the journalist um the<br>average journalist i have more and more<br>respect for the great journalists as my<br>respect for the average journalist<br>decreases uh because a lot of the<br>journalists seem to be s signaling to<br>their own in in group<br>but there is a lot of pressure on uh<br>people in that situation to ask the what<br>I would say is the dumb question why is<br>it the dumb question uh the adversarial<br>question<br>that the the world leader the person is<br>ready for they've answered that question<br>and what you're trying to do is I guess<br>one to signal that you've asked the<br>question and to push them yes uh two<br>you're trying to like just create drama<br>because really what people that ask you<br>to ask that question they want you to<br>embarrass that person they hate them and<br>they want you to like make them piss<br>their pants or something or just start<br>crying and run out yeah walk out in a<br>way that it's embarrassing for them they<br>could be like "Look at that pathetic<br>person." Uh and that reveals to me<br>nothing except maybe the weakness of the<br>interviewee that they can't stand up to<br>a tough question yes but mostly like I'm<br>I'm starting I I have to do a lot of<br>thinking because you get attacked a lot<br>if you ask questions from a place of<br>curiosity that actually have a chance to<br>reveal who the person is there's a very<br>interesting line that Robin Day who was<br>quite a distinguished interviewer back a<br>very distinguished interviewer back in<br>the day said about Jeremy Paxman who was<br>a very interrogative interviewer in the<br>UK robin Day who was quite good at being<br>rude to politicians but carefully said<br>the problem with the new approach as he<br>saw it from the ' 90s of political<br>interviewing was he said "If you think<br>the person you're speaking to is a<br>liar you should get them to reveal that<br>they're a liar don't just call them a<br>liar." Yeah y and I think that is again<br>it's something that a lot of people<br>sitting on the other side of the screen<br>don't realize is that it may satisfy<br>them that you call a person a liar to<br>their face but it doesn't do anything<br>and it actually reveals nothing<br>if somebody is a liar and they reveal<br>themselves to be a liar then that's<br>that's something else but yes I mean I<br>can I I hear you you're obviously you<br>have lot of different<br>voices telling you what to<br>do it's also difficult cuz one of the<br>things that I don't think anyone really<br>understands is that is that in the end<br>it's just you<br>i'm sure they you have this about Putin<br>like people say I I know exactly how you<br>can you know they could give endless<br>advice the end is you sitting down<br>talking to him<br>it's it's like everybody knows how to<br>behave on the presidential debate stage<br>but only a few people have done it in<br>person it's actually pretty difficult as<br>I mean it's very difficult because<br>you've got all this weird behind thes<br>scenes stuff as well you've got all of<br>the games that people play i mean yeah<br>with uh you know I interviewed Zilinski<br>you know I'm pretty fearless in general<br>and he was a very human and fascinating<br>human but there is soldiers with guns<br>standing all around<br>and you didn't have anyone you no one<br>was packing on your side I I had one<br>friend security person who's also<br>Ukrainian so you never know you could<br>turn on<br>you've been infiltrated yeah exactly no<br>I mean that doesn't have any effect and<br>by the way I should mention that uh<br>because it's it's hilarious to me but um<br>process-wise with Narajod and with<br>anyone they don't they said it was<br>scripted and all this kind of stuff i<br>would never do anything scripted they<br>don't get to have a say in anything I<br>asked i have complete freedom uh<br>sometimes you'll have people on the team<br>very politely nudge like hey can you uh<br>and I'll very politely say thank you you<br>know like smile but that doesn't mean I<br>have to do it I I could do<br>whatever the hell I want you the comm<br>this actually by the way with world<br>leaders it doesn't happen it happens<br>more with CEOs because they have like<br>usually PR and comms people they'll just<br>be like very politely hey you know that<br>thing<br>about you know when they that sexual<br>assault harassment charges they've had<br>could we just There's no reason to<br>really linger on that we don't have to<br>do that yeah one of my favorite things<br>anyone has ever said in adver or it's<br>only ever happened I know a couple of<br>cases of this happening in private some<br>friends some a friend of mine once years<br>ago was debating against the this is<br>before the the war the civil war in<br>Syria was debating something to do with<br>the Middle East and one of the people on<br>the other side was the then Syrian<br>ambassador in London the then Syrian<br>ambassador in London says something<br>about the Israeli treatment of the<br>Palestinians and my friend stands up and<br>starts talking about Assad senior's<br>massacre of the Palestinians in Hammer<br>where they killed like 10,000<br>Palestinians in a day um And my friend<br>starts talking about the hammer massacre<br>by uh Assad senior and the the big fat<br>Syrian ambassador like stands up to<br>respond and he says that is that is none<br>of your<br>business and my friend was like oh I<br>thought we were going to get into denial<br>uh let me just ask you one more thing<br>about Netanyahu<br>um cuz I also have the opportunity to do<br>a 3-hour interview with him at this<br>stage and I've been if I'm just being<br>honest very hesitant to do it and I just<br>don't<br>know how a conversation there could um<br>help add compassion to the world and<br>that particular topic no matter how well<br>you do it you do take on a very large<br>number of people that will just make it<br>their daily activity to hate you and to<br>write about it and to post about it and<br>to accuse you of things in some sense I<br>don't want to lose the part of me that's<br>that's v vulnerable to the world people<br>have very little understanding of things<br>if they're willing to say that because<br>you're sitting down and talking with<br>somebody you are ego platforming them uh<br>um advancing their cause being used<br>being a shill or whatever like that you<br>might be actually just finding some<br>things out which I I think something you<br>do expertly and another thing that your<br>critics wouldn't realize is is that like<br>you know life is long and you know<br>hopefully God willing both around for a<br>long time and therefore you don't blow<br>everything up at the request of some<br>online mhm but I do think that a<br>superpower of a kind is to identify the<br>people whose opinion you care for and<br>worry about their opinion and no one<br>else's really and and keep and just you<br>just keep your own guiding light that's<br>what's always done it for for me is that<br>I I I've always said I just don't really<br>I wouldn't care if I was the only person<br>with my opinion and billions of people<br>disagreed i mean I might be curious if<br>the whole planet disagreed with me it<br>doesn't fundamentally that's not<br>why I'll send you Churchill's great<br>speech on the death of Chamberlain<br>i mean it he says the He says one of the<br>most wise and brilliant<br>things i was thinking about it slightly<br>earlier when you were talking about<br>Zilinski but he because because one of<br>Churchill's<br>greatnesses was his<br>magnanimity and um when his great<br>political opponent Chamberlain<br>died in 1940 and Churchill had just<br>taken over as prime minister he could<br>have used the opportunity and we might<br>even say that some politicians in our<br>day won't be able to resist the<br>opportunity he could have used the<br>opportunity to say "You see I was right<br>and Chamberlain didn't know what the<br>hell he was doing and he' let us into<br>this mess and you should have all<br>listened to me because that would have<br>been a good time." Yeah it would have<br>been a good time to say that that would<br>have been one for the win as they say<br>but Churchill doesn't do that in his<br>great eulogy for Chamberlain he talks<br>about how hard it is for mankind to<br>operate in the world and how you can do<br>it successfully he very movingly says he<br>doesn't even mention the name of Hitler<br>he says what were Neville Chamber's<br>flaws he says desiring of human peace to<br>be seeking peace and he says and he his<br>the curses he had was he was led astray<br>by a very wicked man and then but then<br>he has this great<br>passage where he Churchill<br>says beautiful resonant passage about<br>how he says it's not given to men<br>happily for them for otherwise life<br>would prove intolerable to foresee or to<br>predict to any great extent the<br>unfolding course of<br>events and he says in for one phase men<br>seem to have been right and in another<br>they're proved wrong and then there's a<br>a and there's a different scale of<br>values emerges and he said he says what<br>is the worth of all this he says the<br>only guide to a man is his conscience<br>the only shield to his memory is the<br>rectitude and the sincerity of his<br>actions and he he says it doesn't matter<br>what happens if you have this finishes<br>he says with however the fates may play<br>that if you have this<br>shield to guard you he says you march<br>always in the ranks of honor<br>all that can guide a man is is<br>that if you lose sight of it and some<br>people do and maybe everyone does at<br>some point then it's a challenge and<br>then you get buffeted by the twos and<br>fros of the waves of popular<br>opinion but um and that's<br>dangerous but if you keep<br>sight and hold on to what you<br>believe a million billion foes don't<br>matter yeah that is the path we were<br>talking offline about a great biography<br>of<br>Churchill uh Churchill himself made<br>mistakes and admitted the mistakes and<br>was we can even say was proud of the<br>mistakes i mean learn from them learn<br>from them that's all the best you could<br>do the worst you could probably do is<br>being afraid of making mistakes that's<br>what TR famous said about them in the<br>man in the arena speech<br>tr yeah ah the old TR those two have<br>made quite a few mistakes but are in the<br>end some of the greatest humans ever<br>created norm McDonald<br>Churchill and TM<br>i think we did it before coming on air<br>oh before coming on air yeah well he's<br>always an everywhere in the in the air<br>around<br>us one of the one of the great<br>comedians um all right what gives you<br>hope about this whole thing we have<br>going<br>on human civilization<br>you've uh been covering some of the<br>darker aspects the madness of crowds the<br>madness of geopolitics the madness of<br>wars sometimes when the sun shines<br>through the clouds and and there's a<br>smile on Douglas Murray's face what's<br>the source of the smile the the<br>warmth endless numbers of<br>things endless numbers of things i get I<br>get enormous<br>encouragement from smart young people<br>actually that's one of the way that's<br>just the best thing ever<br>um I was in Kiev the other week and I<br>was asked to speak to students at the<br>university and irrespective of the<br>rather you know tricky situation that<br>they are in it's just great to as you<br>know to speak to a room full of students<br>about things and then hang around<br>afterwards and just answer all the<br>questions you can and hear from them<br>about their lives and what they want to<br>do and remembering what you were like at<br>their age and<br>how goofy you were and how much you were<br>going to get wrong and how much you know<br>you had to learn and how much you were<br>going to enjoy it and and seeing the the<br>opportunities they have in front of them<br>if if things go right and and uh just<br>smart young people giving enormous<br>encouragement all the time it's it's<br>that's the best thing i mean it's just<br>yeah they're uh you can see endless<br>possibility in their eyes and there's uh<br>they're not like burdened by<br>um let's say uh the cynicism that builds<br>up even the cynicism though I mean you<br>can resist that i mean I've got quite a<br>deep wellspring of it but I mean you<br>can't only fall into that because<br>there's so much else it doesn't cover<br>it' be like spending your life being<br>ironic you know<br>[Laughter]<br>uh so that said you have seen a lot of<br>war especially recently and directly<br>Ukraine Israel<br>Has that changed<br>you has that dimmed some of that warmth<br>and light uh that's a very difficult<br>question to<br>answer i don't<br>know differs day to day so sometimes<br>there's a heaviness there because of the<br>things you've seen yeah i I at times at<br>times you regret some going as much as<br>you have to the front lines<br>no<br>no one of the reasons why war is for a<br>writer kind of the ultimate<br>subject is because you<br>see life weirdly at its<br>ultimate very very strange strange thing<br>but you know it just it is is the truth<br>death when it's in front of you is<br>something<br>which gives uh a terrible clarity to<br>everything and<br>uh it it you see how people will love<br>and even sometimes<br>laugh<br>more how they'll<br>um there's an essay by Montaigne that's<br>always on my mind why we weep and laugh<br>at the same time<br>uh everything's just more and<br>um and people the real thing is that<br>people you see the the very very best of<br>people and the very worst and they're<br>beside each other there's some<br>uh so I've gotten a bunch of chance to<br>interact with soldiers on the front line<br>in Ukraine and there is some level of<br>like all the nicities or<br>whatever it is of of uh civilian life is<br>all stripped away it just seems more<br>honest somehow yes absolutely absolutely<br>well I mean<br>I couldn't agree more and and there's<br>the wild clarity about things not<br>because of enemies or anything like that<br>but because of the<br>of I joked I think I mentioned I joked<br>about this to some Ukrainian soldiers in<br>22 because one of the cigarette and uh<br>and and we and we stepped outside i<br>accompanied them outside because they<br>weren't allowed to smoke<br>indoors in this hotel which there were<br>rockets<br>falling yeah<br>and I said to him "Isn't it strange that<br>fear of secondhand<br>smoke has<br>superseded this?" But I I don't know<br>it's and seeing the humor in that<br>uh when you're on the front line when<br>you're fighting in a war the humor of<br>that is somehow just perfectly delicious<br>you could just laugh all day about that<br>and the absurdity of life is just Yes<br>right there and it's so honest and it's<br>so beautiful and that's why a lot of<br>soldiers are traumatized they're<br>destroyed by war but they also miss it<br>that's right that's right absolutely oh<br>my god yes yes yes yes yes there's an<br>intimacy to the whole thing absolutely<br>worse i mean everyone says you never<br>felt more alive you<br>know yeah and I wouldn't uh I wouldn't<br>do anything<br>different well I hope just like<br>Churchill you keep fighting the good<br>fight and uh not listening to anybody<br>and I'll try to uh learn to do the same<br>douglas I'm a huge fan thank you for<br>doing this been a great pleasure right<br>back at you thank you<br>thanks for listening to this<br>conversation with Douglas Murray to<br>support this podcast please check out<br>our sponsors in the description and now<br>let me leave you with some words from<br>Bertrren Russell the problem with the<br>world is that fools and fanatics are<br>always so certain of<br>themselves and wiser people so full of<br>doubts thank you for listening and hope<br>to see you next time - They end up chanting in front of him,<br>"Viva la muerte."<br>Long live death.<br>They have their counterparts today.<br>They are the people who<br>taunt Americans, westerners,<br>Israelis, and others with lines like,<br>"We love death more than you love live."<br>- The following is a<br>conversation with Douglas Murray,<br>author of "The War on the West,"<br>"The Madness of Crowds," and his new book,<br>"On Democracies and Death Cults."<br>We talk about Russia and Ukraine<br>and about Israel and Gaza.<br>Douglas has very strong<br>views on these topics,<br>and he defends them<br>brilliantly and fearlessly.<br>As I always try to do for all topics,<br>I will also talk to people<br>who have different views from Douglas,<br>including on the next<br>episode of this podcast.<br>We live in an era of online<br>discourse where grifters,<br>drama farmers, liars, bots,<br>sycophants, and sociopaths<br>roam the vast, beautiful<br>dark land of the internet.<br>It's hard to know who to trust.<br>I believe no one is in<br>possession of the entire truth,<br>but some are more correct than others.<br>Some are insightful and<br>some are delusional.<br>The problem is it's hard<br>to tell which is which<br>unless you use your mind<br>with intellectual humility and with rigor.<br>I recommend you listen to many sources<br>who disagree with each other<br>and tried to pick up wisdom from each.<br>Also, I recommend you visit<br>the places in question,<br>as Douglas has, as I have,<br>or at least talk face to face<br>with people who have spent most<br>of their lives living there,<br>whether it's Israel,<br>Palestine, Ukraine, or Russia.<br>Let's try together to not be<br>cogs in the machine of outrage<br>and instead to reach toward<br>reason and compassion.<br>There is no Hitler, Stalin, or<br>Mao on the world stage today.<br>Plus, there are thousands of<br>nuclear weapons ready to fire.<br>Human civilization hangs in the balance.<br>The 21st century is a<br>new geopolitical puzzle<br>all of us are tasked with solving.<br>Let's not mess it up. This<br>is a Lex Fridman podcast.<br>To support it,<br>please check out our<br>sponsors in the description.<br>And now, dear friends,<br>here's Douglas Murray.<br>What have you understood<br>about the war in Ukraine<br>from your visits there?<br>Just looking at the big<br>picture of your understanding<br>of the invasion of February 24th, 2022,<br>and the war in the three years since?<br>- Well, I mean, several things.<br>There's political angles,<br>which are forever changing.<br>But on the human level, as you know,<br>if you visit troops, frontline troops,<br>you have that admiration for<br>people defending their country,<br>defending their homes,<br>defending their families.<br>I'm struck by the way in<br>which that is at a remove<br>from the sort of political<br>noise, and the media noise,<br>and much more.<br>It's very easy to get caught up<br>in the tos and froes of today's news.<br>But that to my mind,<br>that's the single thing<br>that struck me most in my visits there<br>is just the people I've met<br>who are fighting for a cause<br>which at that level is<br>unavoidable, undeniable.<br>- So the thing that struck<br>you that's different<br>from the media turmoil is<br>just the reality of war?<br>- Yeah, of course.<br>I mean, you know, people<br>who have either lived<br>under Russian occupation<br>from invading armies<br>and then come back out into the world<br>having been liberated as in late 2022,<br>or the people now organized<br>most recently there in recent weeks<br>who were just getting on<br>with their job as soldiers<br>whilst the world was talking about them.<br>- When were you there?<br>Early on in this escalated war of '22?<br>- Yes, first time was in,<br>I was with the Ukrainian armed forces<br>when they retook Kherson,<br>and I was back in recent weeks,<br>and was there when the<br>Trump-Zelensky blowup happened.<br>In fact I was in a Ukrainian<br>dugout at the front lines<br>when I was watching it.<br>- How's the morale?<br>How's the way the content of<br>the conversations you've heard<br>different from the two visits<br>separated by, I guess, two years?<br>- At one level, I mean,<br>nothing has changed much,<br>you know, it's not a total standoff<br>because intermittently<br>each side gains territory<br>from the others.<br>But, I mean, there'd been no<br>very significant military gains<br>by either side in the interim period.<br>- I think my experience of the soldiers,<br>the people of Ukraine early on in the war,<br>there's a intense optimism<br>about the outcomes of the war.<br>There's a sense that they're going to win.<br>And the definition of what win means<br>was like all the territory<br>is going to be won back.<br>- Yeah, I certainly on the<br>front lines facing Crimea<br>became quite familiar with people<br>who thought that the<br>Ukrainians in late 2022<br>would even be able to get Crimea back.<br>And that struck me even at the time.<br>And I said I thought that<br>that was an overreach.<br>- And now I think the<br>people, the soldiers,<br>at least in my experience when<br>I visited the second time,<br>are more exhausted.<br>The morale, the dreams,<br>the certainty of victory<br>has maybe faded from the<br>forefront of their minds.<br>- Well, three years of<br>war will tire out anyone.<br>- What did you think of the blowup<br>between Zelensky and Trump<br>as you're sitting there in the dugout?<br>- Well, it is, huh,<br>it was a very disturbing<br>place to watch it from,<br>perhaps anywhere would've been.<br>And, I mean, obviously it was a meeting<br>that shouldn't have happened.<br>It was far too early.<br>- Why do you think so?<br>There's not enough actual<br>pathways to peace on the table?<br>- Well, I think the mineral deal,<br>I mean, I love the fact that<br>everyone's now an expert<br>in Eastern Ukrainian mineral deposits.<br>- I think as I've learned,<br>and we'll talk about Israel and Palestine,<br>I'm learning that everybody's<br>an expert on geopolitics<br>and the history of war on the internet.<br>- And now mineral<br>deposits, obviously. Yes.<br>I'm really speaking of the edge<br>of my mineral deposit knowledge here.<br>No, I mean, from what I could see<br>the deal that the American administration<br>was trying to get the<br>Ukrainian government to sign,<br>it was sort of too early, too forced.<br>The Ukrainians were ready to sign a deal,<br>but we're obviously<br>under intense pressure.<br>And I think certainly Zelensky<br>actually wasn't expecting to go<br>until pretty much the day before,<br>was obviously visibly tired and<br>exhausted, again, as you are<br>after that amount of<br>pressure for that long time.<br>And no, I mean, the thing that struck me,<br>and said this in my column<br>in the "New York Post" from there,<br>that the thing that struck me<br>was I said to some of<br>the soldiers I was with,<br>you know, "What do you make of this?"<br>And you know, one of them just said to me,<br>"Well, you know, we're advised<br>not to follow too closely<br>the ins and outs of the<br>politics of this," you know?<br>But of course everyone<br>has Instagram or scrolls,<br>and among dog pictures and the, you know,<br>the hot women or whatever is, you know,<br>what happened in the Oval.<br>But what struck me was<br>this same guy, and saying,<br>"I've got a job to do."<br>- Right, and there's a<br>clarity and a wisdom to that.<br>But your job is bigger than that, right?<br>Is to understand the politics as well.<br>And what do you think about<br>the politics of that moment?<br>Because that was a real<br>opportunity to come together<br>and make progress on peace, right?<br>And it, by all accounts, was<br>not a successful step forward.<br>- I don't think by any account<br>it was a successful step forward,<br>unless to some extent it was<br>play from DC to say to Putin,<br>"Look, we duffed off<br>Zelensky, and, you know,<br>now give us something."<br>That's the only remedial idea I have<br>about what might have been behind it.<br>But I think it was just<br>one of those extremely,<br>I mean, just awful political moments.<br>Zelensky was obviously deeply irritated<br>by the interpretation of the war<br>that he was hearing from Washington.<br>It was only a week<br>after the Trump comments<br>about Zelensky being a dictator<br>and people in the administration<br>implying that Ukraine has started the war.<br>And I think that must be for Zelensky<br>a pretty "Alice in Wonderland"<br>situation to be in.<br>And I had significant sympathy for him<br>in finding it bewildering<br>because it would be bewildering.<br>- I think the sad thing to me also<br>on the mundane details of that meeting<br>and just the unfortunate<br>way that meetings happen,<br>I think it's true that<br>he was also exhausted.<br>There was a dickhead of a reporter<br>that asked the question<br>about outfit in a way that.<br>Listen, Zelensky, everybody<br>has their strengths<br>and weaknesses.<br>He's an emotional being,<br>for better or for worse.<br>And there's a dumb dickhead of a reporter.<br>- Marjorie Taylor<br>Greene's boyfriend. He is.<br>- The things, you know. See,<br>you're a real journalist.<br>- He's from one of the new.<br>I'm all for opening up<br>the White House press pool<br>and all that sort of thing,<br>but it means that you get some people in<br>who are sort of, yeah, from a blog land.<br>There's nothing wrong with that,<br>but it means that you get somebody<br>who will do something like that.<br>The problem with that<br>interaction, as I saw it,<br>was that that guy asked that,<br>well, disrespectful question.<br>And I think it was disrespectful,<br>and I'll very quickly say why.<br>I mean, I think that when a<br>man comes from the realm of war<br>into the realm of peace,<br>the people in the realm of peace<br>should have some respect<br>or at least concession<br>that the other man has<br>come from the realm of war.<br>And that if you're sitting<br>in a political environment<br>where you talk about people<br>being destroyed, and decimated,<br>and defenestrated, and much more<br>to a man for whom none<br>of that is metaphorical,<br>I think that's extremely hard to accept.<br>And I think that probably<br>also at that moment<br>there was a sort of sense of, you know,<br>Zelensky is being disrespected<br>by being asked about what he's wearing<br>when, as everyone knows, you know,<br>Churchill during World War II<br>used to wear his fatigues<br>on foreign visits.<br>And it's sort of just that.<br>It's to remind people<br>that you're coming from the realm of war.<br>And I think that probably in that moment,<br>one of the things that would've been<br>going through is head would be,<br>but I mean, if this was Putin sitting here<br>being insulted by a journalist, you know,<br>you'd hope your host<br>stepped in and defended you.<br>I mean, let me try this one out.<br>I mean, if a journalist<br>in the Oval Office,<br>if Putin was sitting there,<br>or a putative journalist<br>said to Putin, you know,<br>"Everyone knows you've had<br>a lot of facial work done,<br>and word is you've used the same guy<br>that Berlusconi used to use.<br>Can you comment on that?"<br>You'd say, well, that's a<br>kind of disrespectful question<br>for journalists to ask,<br>and it's a little bit off<br>what needs to be gone over.<br>And it's the same thing with<br>Zelensky with the outfit.<br>I think it was just petty and<br>threw things off in a bad way.<br>- Yeah, and it was probably researched<br>because I think Zelensky explained this<br>like three years ago at<br>the beginning of the war<br>why he wears what he wears,<br>and he is been consistent<br>wearing the same.<br>- It's also, by the way, it's<br>an example of the frivolity<br>of a lot of the attempts to<br>understand what's going on.<br>I mean, my view is that<br>since actually most people,<br>in fact, everybody cannot<br>be an expert on everything,<br>one of the things that we always do<br>is to seize on minor and really<br>quite unimportant things.<br>I mean, every site does it.<br>Look at the way in which<br>the American right for years<br>talked about the Churchill bust<br>leaving the White House Oval<br>Office in the Obama years.<br>I didn't want to hear another darn thing<br>about the Churchill bust after eight years<br>because it was in lieu<br>of trying to understand<br>and actually critique<br>Obama's foreign policy.<br>It was just an easy shorthand.<br>I think it's the same. We're<br>always tempted to that.<br>- But the thing is, I<br>think you mentioned Putin,<br>I think Putin would've been<br>able to respond himself<br>to that journalist effectively,<br>and he would've done it in Russian.<br>- Oh yeah. The language thing.<br>- Yeah, so I wanted to sort of lay out<br>several just unfortunate things<br>that happened in these situations.<br>And I think it happens in<br>all peace negotiations.<br>And it's funny how history<br>can turn in moments like this.<br>I do think there's a dickhead reporter<br>combined with the fact that the,<br>you know, with all due respect,<br>but Zelensky's English<br>sometimes is not very good.<br>- Yes, and apart from anything else,<br>if he had have agreed to<br>have not done it in English,<br>he would've bought<br>himself the extra seconds<br>in some of his replies<br>that he needed, yeah.<br>- Yeah, and have the wit.<br>The guy's funny, witty,<br>intelligent, you know,<br>he could do that in the native language<br>of whether it's Ukrainian or Russian<br>to be able to respond<br>and get the interpreter.<br>So all of that is really unfortunate<br>'cause I think in those<br>little moments, it's a dance,<br>and there's an opportunity there.<br>You know, the Republicans,<br>the right wing in the United States,<br>have a general kind of<br>skepticism of Zelensky,<br>but that doesn't mean<br>it has to be that way.<br>It can turn, it can change, it can evolve.<br>- It's very interesting<br>why it has happened.<br>Why do you think it's happened?<br>- Politics in the United States is so dumb<br>that at the very beginning<br>it could just be reduced to,<br>well, the left went, "Putin<br>bad, Zelensky good, rah rah,"<br>Ukrainian flags, therefore the<br>right must go the opposite.<br>Sometimes it's literally as dumb as that.<br>Let's each pick side<br>and call the other dumb.<br>- I had a line I used recently<br>with the necessity of people<br>who live too long online<br>to try to wade their way out of the memes<br>because it is sort of like that, isn't it?<br>Because yes, I mean, I<br>can understand the people<br>who find it very irritating<br>that so many people<br>who would put BLM flags,<br>or pride flags or,<br>you know, trans flags in their bio<br>then put Ukrainian flags in their bio<br>despite almost certainly not<br>knowing where Ukraine was.<br>And if that happens,<br>the inevitable instinct of a lot of people<br>who aren't really thinking is to say,<br>"That's really annoying.<br>These people are really<br>annoying. I'll sock it to them."<br>But that's why you've got<br>to try to rise above that,<br>and say, "Actually, funnily<br>enough, the fate of a country<br>doesn't depend on my tolerance<br>for memes online today."<br>- Yeah, so I think the<br>memes can be broken through<br>in meetings like the one that happened<br>between Zelensky and Trump.<br>There could've been real comradery.<br>I've seen the skill of that just recently<br>having researched deeply and<br>interacted with Narendra Modi.<br>Here's somebody who has<br>the skill of, you know,<br>for his country, for his situation,<br>being able to somehow<br>be friends with Putin,<br>and friends with Zelensky,<br>and friends with Trump,<br>and friends with Biden,<br>and friends with Obama.<br>- [Douglas] It was very skillful.<br>- And that while still<br>being strong for his country<br>and from like fundamentally<br>a nationalist figure<br>who's like, you know, very non globalist.<br>Not anything but pro India,<br>India first, nation first.<br>In fact, nation first<br>with a very specific idea<br>what that nation represents.<br>And that, you know, Zelensky<br>could do all of those things,<br>but have the skill of<br>navigating the Trump room.<br>Because every single leader<br>has their own peculiar quirks<br>that need to be navigated.<br>- Yes, the obvious one,<br>I mean, I don't wanna make it sound like<br>it was all Zelensky's fault,<br>but I mean the obvious one<br>was at the beginning of the<br>meeting to say, yet again,<br>as he has done for three years,<br>"Thank you to America,<br>and the American people,<br>and American politicians<br>from across the aisle<br>for your support for my<br>country in it's hour of need,<br>we're deeply grateful."<br>And because he for once<br>forgot to say that.<br>- I think it's not that simple.<br>- It's not that simple? It's one reason.<br>- I think saying thank you. He<br>didn't need to say thank you.<br>- Well, that was what Vance leapt in on.<br>- He's just picking a thing to leap on.<br>There's a whole energy.<br>You have to acknowledge<br>in your way of being<br>that you have been very Biden<br>buddy buddy with the left<br>for the last four years.<br>There's ways to fix that.<br>Listen, these people are<br>complicated narcissists,<br>all of them, Biden, Trump.<br>You have to navigate<br>the complexity of that.<br>And you basically have to<br>say a kind word to Trump,<br>which is like showing, there's<br>many ways of doing that.<br>But one of them is feeding the ego<br>by acknowledging that<br>he is one of the world's<br>greatest negotiators, right?<br>"I'm glad we're able to come to the table<br>and negotiate together<br>because I believe you<br>are the great negotiator,<br>mediator, that can actually<br>bring a successful resolution."<br>- Yeah, yeah, yeah.<br>- As opposed to have an energy of like<br>it should be obvious to everybody<br>that Ukrainian are the good<br>guys and Russia is the bad guys.<br>There's this whole energy of<br>entitlement that he brought.<br>He forgot that there's a new guy.<br>You gotta like convince the new guy<br>that this global mission<br>that this nation is on,<br>this war that is in many ways<br>the west versus the east.<br>That there's ideals, there's<br>whole histories here,<br>that this is a war worth winning.<br>You have to convince them, right?<br>- Yeah, no, sure.<br>And he obviously failed on that occasion.<br>But as I say, it must be bewildering<br>to have landed in a place<br>where people were seriously talking about<br>Ukraine starting the war<br>and Zelensky not Putin being the dictator.<br>I did the front page<br>of the "New York Post"<br>the day after the president's<br>comments on that saying that.<br>There's a big picture<br>of Putin just saying,<br>right, this is a dictator.<br>And you know, I think the<br>people can be lithe enough<br>to be able to recognize that, you know,<br>you can make criticisms of<br>Zelensky or the Ukrainians,<br>but it doesn't mean you<br>have to fall full Putin.<br>And again, unfortunately,<br>a lot of people in our time<br>don't have that capability.<br>- Can we go right into it?<br>What is your strongest criticism of Putin?<br>- He's a dictator who's very bloody,<br>as repressive as you can<br>be of political opposition,<br>internal opposition.<br>He's kleptomaniac of<br>his country's resources,<br>has enriched himself as much as he could,<br>as he has with the cronies around him.<br>He's not just acted to destroy<br>internal opposition in Russia,<br>but has gone to other countries,<br>including my own country of birth,<br>and killed people on their, our, soil<br>using as it happens weapons<br>of mass destruction.<br>The use of polonium in the<br>center of London, not good.<br>The use of incredibly<br>dangerous nerve agents<br>that could kill tens<br>of thousands of people<br>in a charming cathedral city<br>like Salisbury, not good.<br>If the sort of apologist of Putin say,<br>"Well, he is just a sort of tough man<br>who's looking after his house business."<br>Well, I don't think even if you think<br>he has the right to do that,<br>he should be doing it in third countries<br>deliberately using weapons<br>that are meant to show<br>that you could take out<br>tens of thousands of British citizens.<br>Yeah, I mean that's just for starters.<br>- Do you think he's<br>actually popularly elected?<br>- No.<br>- Do you think the results of<br>the elections are fraudulent?<br>- Yes, I mean.<br>- Do you think it's possible<br>that it's just that the<br>opposition has been eliminated<br>and he's legitimately popularly elected?<br>- It definitely helps a chap<br>if he's killed all of his opponents.<br>- Something about using the<br>term chap in that context<br>is just marvelous.<br>- But, you know, but I mean, seriously,<br>if people are worried about.<br>This is another of the sort of slightly<br>"Alice in Wonderland" things<br>recently about Zelensky<br>is people are saying,<br>"He's a dictator because<br>he hasn't held elections<br>during a total war of self-defense."<br>And it's like, well, you know,<br>if you're really, really passionate<br>about free and fair elections<br>in that neck of the woods,<br>you'd at least notice<br>that Russian elections<br>are not free and fair<br>in any meaningful sense.<br>But this doesn't mean that you have to say<br>that therefore they should have<br>western-style elections and freedom,<br>that Russia is ready to go and become<br>a western liberal democracy.<br>It doesn't mean any of that at all.<br>It's just at least note<br>that this is what Putin is.<br>- What do you think is the motivation<br>for his invasion of Ukraine in '22?<br>- It's what he's said for years,<br>which is basically the<br>reconstitution of the Soviet Union.<br>- Do you think there's<br>empire building components<br>to that motivation?<br>- I would trust most my friends<br>in East and Central Europe<br>who certainly do think that.<br>There's a reason why the Baltic countries<br>are the countries that<br>are spending highest<br>in percentage of GDP on defense,<br>and it's because they're very worried.<br>I don't think they're faking it.<br>I don't think they're faking<br>it for me or for anyone else.<br>I think the Lithuanians,<br>the Latvians, the Estonians,<br>and others are genuinely worried<br>for the first time in some decades.<br>- Do you think there's a possibility<br>that the war continues indefinitely,<br>even if there's a ceasefire<br>and a peace reached,<br>the war will resume?<br>He will seek expansion<br>even beyond Ukraine.<br>- Yes, and the most obvious<br>thing is that if Trump<br>manages to negotiate a ceasefire,<br>it'll be a temporary pause.<br>And whoever comes in as<br>president after Trump,<br>Putin will use the opportunity<br>to advance again, yes.<br>Again, one of the things that I have heard<br>from parts of the<br>American right and others<br>is that all he wants is Ukraine.<br>That that's all he wants,<br>and that he has no history<br>of rhetoric or actions<br>that suggest anything else.<br>And again, it's one of the<br>reasons why it's useful<br>traveling to places and seeing<br>things with your own eyes<br>'cause I very much remember<br>being in the country of Georgia<br>after Putin tried to invade in 2008.<br>Again, people don't have to<br>be the greatest supporters<br>of the Ukrainian cause just to recognize<br>that it doesn't seem to be the case<br>that Ukraine is the only<br>thing in Putin's vision.<br>- Do you see value and<br>maybe depth and power<br>to the realist perspective of all this?<br>You know, somebody like John<br>Mearsheimer's formulation<br>of all this that in these<br>invasions of Georgia, of Ukraine,<br>it's using military power to<br>expand the sphere of influence<br>in the region in a cold<br>calculation of geopolitics.<br>- It's interesting.<br>One of the fascinating things<br>about the last few years<br>is that there's been an<br>act of sort of necromancy<br>of certain figures were<br>totally, totally debunked.<br>In the area of Ukraine, Mearsheimer,<br>and in the case of Israel,<br>people like Finkelstein.<br>And it's been interesting<br>'cause these are people<br>that one hadn't heard of for some years<br>because they were not listened<br>to, usually for good reason.<br>But by the way, first of all,<br>I'm very skeptical of the<br>term realist in foreign policy<br>because most people to some extent<br>will say that they are a<br>realist in foreign policy.<br>Very few people are<br>surrealists in foreign policy.<br>Very few people are unrealists.<br>- I would like to meet them.<br>- A surrealist foreign<br>policy analyst. (laughs)<br>- We did mention "Alice<br>in Wonderland," so.<br>- Yeah, I mean maybe we<br>should introduce the term.<br>I mean if you wanna say,<br>if you want to, look,<br>gimlet it, eye it out across<br>the world, you're a realist.<br>I think the steel man of their argument<br>would be Russia has or believes it has<br>a sphere of influence<br>and it is regrettable,<br>but there's very little<br>we can do about that.<br>That would be about the best<br>version of that argument<br>that you can make.<br>- Well, to expand on that steel man,<br>isn't this how superpowers operate<br>in the dark realist/surrealist way,<br>meaning the United States<br>uses military power<br>to have a sphere of influence<br>over the whole globe, really?<br>China appears to be willing<br>to use military power<br>to expand its sphere of influence.<br>- And it's political power, yeah,<br>more importantly in the case of China.<br>- Political power.<br>- Non-kinetic warfare to take over areas.<br>Hong Kong being the obvious one.<br>- Behind that, isn't there<br>always a kinetic threat?<br>- Oh yeah, of course. Yeah.<br>I mean, you disappear some booksellers<br>and students who are<br>protesting, of course.<br>But to go back to this, yeah, of course.<br>Okay, countries believe they<br>have or would like to have<br>spheres of influence.<br>I do think at some point<br>that the so-called realists on that<br>have to try to decide how much leeway<br>that allows you to give to<br>a fairly rapacious regime.<br>I mean, it's not the easiest<br>calculation always to make.<br>You have to work out whether<br>or not, for instance,<br>it is true that if Putin had<br>managed to go all the way<br>to Kyiv in the first<br>weeks of the war in '22,<br>he would've gone straight<br>on to other places.<br>And, you know, maybe he would've done,<br>maybe he would've taken his time,<br>maybe he wouldn't have done.<br>And this is a very fine calculation<br>that changes every week,<br>let alone every year.<br>You know, my friends in Georgia<br>I thought were wildly off the mark<br>when they were believing that<br>after 2008 they could get,<br>for instance, either NATO<br>membership or EU membership.<br>And I thought that was<br>completely unlikely.<br>And I still think it's unlikely<br>and almost certainly undesirable<br>for Europe and for NATO<br>because you've gotta be very careful.<br>And obviously this is one<br>of the issues with Ukraine<br>and has been since the 90s, is, you know,<br>are you gonna set up a trip<br>wire to start World War III?<br>And that's not a small thing to consider.<br>- So what do you think the<br>peace deal might look like?<br>And what does the path to<br>peace look like in Ukraine<br>in the coming weeks and months?<br>- I just thought it would be, regrettably,<br>the Ukrainians ceding<br>some territory in the east<br>and then making sure they re-arm<br>during whatever peace<br>period comes afterwards.<br>- And probably all four territories<br>of Donetsk, Luhansk,<br>Zaporizhzhia, Kherson?<br>- You couldn't lay any of that out<br>because it has to be negotiated on.<br>But I mean, and I think the ease<br>with which non-Ukrainians<br>are currently speaking about<br>the Ukrainians ceding<br>territory is concerning<br>because these territories<br>include hundreds of thousands<br>of Ukrainian citizens<br>who do not want to live<br>under Putin's rule,<br>and people who have families<br>in the rest of Ukraine,<br>and much more.<br>And you know, I recently<br>interviewed children<br>who had managed to get out of<br>the Russian occupied areas,<br>and it's brutal for the Ukrainian<br>to be growing up in that territory.<br>So when people say, "Well,<br>obviously, you know,<br>Donetsk has to be given to Putin,"<br>I think that that is not as easy a thing<br>if you're in Ukraine<br>as it is if you're<br>sitting in New York, say.<br>And by the way, I think<br>that on the issue of,<br>there is a school of thought<br>that obviously President Trump<br>to some extent was<br>floating in recent weeks,<br>which is that if a deal<br>is done, a business deal,<br>in relation to minerals or anything else,<br>you get a kind of buffer zone<br>of American businesses and investment,<br>and therefore American<br>business people in the region,<br>which would effectively<br>warn Putin not to invade.<br>I don't follow that idea<br>because not least there were<br>Americans in the regions<br>that were invaded in<br>'22 and they left fast.<br>And we know from Hong<br>Kong and other places,<br>just because there are<br>international financial interests<br>in the region does not<br>mean that a dictatorship<br>will not either militarily<br>or covertly take over.<br>I don't see American miners<br>as being an effective<br>buffer zone against Putin.<br>- By the way, what did you learn<br>from talking to the<br>children, Ukrainian children,<br>from those regions?<br>- Well, I mean, it's heartbreaking<br>because the only schooling<br>is Russian schooling,<br>obviously teaching the Russian language,<br>Putin's view of history, and<br>effectively indoctrination.<br>And people can quibble with that term,<br>but it's Putinesque<br>indoctrination schools.<br>And any children or families<br>that do not want that<br>effectively have to hide and not go out.<br>And I spoke to children and parents<br>who'd had school friends<br>who, for instance,<br>the Russians set up in<br>'22 and '23 summer camps<br>for the children of some of the areas<br>that have been occupied.<br>And the children went off to the camps<br>and then they didn't come back,<br>but they were just stolen.<br>I mean, it's thought that<br>around 20,000 Ukrainian children<br>have been stolen in this fashion.<br>That's not a small thing.<br>It's not got very much attention,<br>but yes, I mean, children who would hide<br>whenever the Russian<br>troops came to the door.<br>One teenage boy who described to me<br>how when his mother was out,<br>a woman came around to the<br>house, knocked on the door,<br>and gave him his papers,<br>and said that he had<br>to attend the next week<br>to sign up for the Russian army.<br>I mean this is not good.<br>And that's obviously what life is like<br>for thousands of people behind<br>the Russian lines in Ukraine.<br>I just have it in mind<br>when people say things like, you know,<br>"Well, obviously these regions<br>have to be handed over."<br>It's very, very hard if you're a Ukrainian<br>to concede to that.<br>- Yeah, and even if they are<br>as part of the negotiation<br>to hand it over,<br>I think it'll probably<br>be generations or never<br>that that could be accepted<br>by Ukrainian people.<br>- Absolutely. And I<br>would've thought never.<br>- What do we know about<br>this kidnapping of children?<br>The stories of the thousands of children<br>that the Russian forces kidnapped?<br>- Some of them were in<br>orphanages in Eastern Ukraine,<br>not all by any means, but some were,<br>and it's a very complicated story actually<br>because many children were<br>taken from their families.<br>The Russians said, "Well,<br>look at these Ukrainians.<br>They don't even look after their children,<br>therefore we will look after them."<br>And recently when I was<br>there looking into this story<br>because it's a very interesting question<br>as to why it hasn't had more attention.<br>You know, one thinks of, for instance,<br>the abduction of the Chibok school girls<br>some 12 years ago now in northern Nigeria.<br>And the appalling abduction<br>of 300 girls by Boko Haram<br>completely gained the world's attention.<br>And I was very interested into<br>why the Ukrainian children<br>who'd been taken by the Russians<br>have not gained similar attention.<br>There's a slight similarity<br>with the war in Israel,<br>which I'm sure we'll come on to,<br>but I do think that one reason<br>is that they were effectively hostages,<br>and the Ukrainians knew,<br>this is my estimation of the terrain,<br>is that the Ukrainians knew<br>that if they made a great deal about this,<br>as it were more than they did,<br>that the children would effectively be<br>the most effective bargaining chip.<br>And I do think there's<br>considerable truth in that<br>because if you look at, for instance,<br>the way in which pressure<br>has been put on the Israeli government<br>by the Israeli population<br>about the kidnapped Israelis,<br>you'll see that it's a<br>pretty effective tactic<br>for any totalitarian<br>regime or terrorist group<br>to operate in a way that<br>means that the population<br>of the country you're attacking<br>pressure their government<br>to do something in terms of concession.<br>It's a very effective tool.<br>And I think that story<br>was partly played down,<br>not just outside of Ukraine,<br>but also within Ukraine,<br>partly for that reason.<br>- As a truth seeker, as a journalist,<br>how do you operate in that<br>world where, at least to me,<br>it's obvious that there's<br>just a flood of propaganda<br>on both sides?<br>Now of course, when you go there<br>and directly experience<br>it and talk to people,<br>but those people are still also<br>swimming in the propaganda.<br>So unless you witness stuff directly,<br>sometimes it's hard to know.<br>Like I speak to people on the Russian side<br>and they're clearly, first<br>of all, hilariously enough,<br>they almost always say that<br>there's no propaganda in Russia.<br>- [Douglas] Of course.<br>- Which makes me realize, I mean,<br>you can be completely lied to,<br>maybe I am in the United States as well,<br>and just be unaware.<br>Maybe earth is run by aliens.<br>Maybe the earth is flat.<br>So I don't know.<br>- Maybe you've taken mushrooms.<br>- I have before this and<br>I finally see the truth.<br>And it's you that are diluted, Douglas.<br>Okay, but back to our<br>round earth discussion,<br>round earth shills that we are,<br>how do you know what is true?<br>- You can tell it when the<br>bare facts become not true.<br>Like you can tell it when<br>somebody is willing to claim<br>that everything caused<br>the invasion of 2022,<br>except for Vladimir<br>Putin invading Ukraine.<br>- Yeah, there's a hilarious<br>thing that happens,<br>and I think you've<br>actually speak about this,<br>that people are generally<br>just much more willing<br>to criticize the<br>democratically elected leader.<br>- Always. Always.<br>- So the interesting thing that happens<br>is these wise sages that do the narratives<br>of like NATO started the war, right,<br>which there is some<br>interesting geopolitical depth<br>and truth to that, like<br>that NATO expansion<br>created a complicated<br>geopolitical context, whatever.<br>But they forget to say like<br>other parts of that story.<br>- Well, yes, of course.<br>And I mean, of course to some extent,<br>it's well that, you know,<br>there's the most irritating<br>type of question asker<br>at any event is the person who says,<br>"I was disappointed that<br>in your 30-minute talk<br>you didn't address X."<br>And I tend to say,<br>"Well, looking forward to<br>coming to your next talk,<br>where in 30 minutes<br>you'll cover everything<br>that could possibly be covered."<br>There's always stuff that's<br>gonna be left on the sides.<br>There's always gonna be stuff<br>that's left unaddressed.<br>There's always gonna be other angles.<br>There's always gonna be somebody else<br>who has this interesting<br>perspective and you can't cover it.<br>Nevertheless, if you cover everything<br>other than the central<br>things, then it's suspicious.<br>Many years ago at a debate in London,<br>and there was a debate about<br>the origins of World War II<br>and Pat Buchanan, talking of necromancy,<br>was one of the speakers.<br>And Andrew Roberts, the historian,<br>was one of the people on the other side.<br>And at one point, you know,<br>they got so completely stuck into issues<br>of iron ore mining in Poland in the mid,<br>you know, something like this.<br>And the moderator, I<br>remember, it was just a melee.<br>And the moderator turns to<br>Andrew Roberts and says,<br>"Andrew Roberts, why<br>did World War II begin?"<br>And he says, "World War II began<br>because Hitler invaded Poland."<br>And it was a magnificent moment<br>because everything had been a mush.<br>They were just so lost in all<br>the intricate, and clever,<br>and interesting things<br>that you can talk about<br>about the origins of a war<br>that you forget to mention the<br>thing that's most important.<br>And certainly my experience<br>as a journalist and writer<br>is that one of the reasons why<br>you need to go and see things<br>with your own eyes<br>is because people are certain to tell you<br>that what you've seen with your own eyes<br>didn't happen or hasn't happened,<br>and it helps to steel you for that moment.<br>- It's a gradual thing that happens<br>where the obvious thing<br>starts being taken for granted<br>and people stop saying it<br>because it's like the boring<br>thing to say at a party.<br>And then all of a sudden over time,<br>you just almost start<br>questioning whether, you know,<br>like the obvious thing is even true.<br>I don't know how that<br>happens from psychology.<br>- Yeah, I think it does think.<br>I've observed it in a<br>lot of different places,<br>which is the important thing<br>is the only thing you do forget.<br>Everything else is what you remember.<br>And some of us are for<br>some reason wise in a way<br>where we try not to forget<br>the important thing.<br>- Remember the obvious thing, yeah.<br>- Yes, and as you say,<br>and not wanting to be the<br>boring guy at the party<br>who reiterates what is true<br>because what a douche bag<br>you'd be if you were that guy.<br>- Nobody likes captain obvious at a party.<br>Okay, is it possible that<br>Donald Trump is a mediator,<br>a successful negotiator,<br>that brings a stable peace to Ukraine?<br>- It's possible. We'll have to see.<br>I think it's just too early<br>and complicated to tell.<br>That he wants to bring a peace<br>seems to me to be obvious.<br>He stated it a lot of times.<br>Whether he can, we're<br>just gonna have to see.<br>It's extremely hard to<br>see some of the parameters<br>of the peace deal.<br>And I would suggest that<br>one, not the most difficult,<br>but one of the most difficult<br>is that there is no<br>peace guarantee on paper<br>that the Ukrainians can possibly believe.<br>It doesn't matter because we in the west,<br>some of the countries in the<br>west, have said it before,<br>that we'd secure their<br>peace and we haven't.<br>And so what other than NATO membership,<br>which is not possible in my view,<br>what other than NATO membership<br>would reassure the Ukrainians<br>that they are gonna have<br>their borders secured<br>and the peace of Ukraine secured?<br>I can't see.<br>- I think there's not<br>gonna be ever a guarantee<br>that you can trust.<br>I think the way you have a<br>guarantee, implicit guarantees,<br>by having military and<br>economic partnerships<br>with as many partners as possible.<br>So you have partnerships<br>with the Middle East,<br>you have partnerships with<br>India, perhaps even with China,<br>with the United States,<br>with many nations in Europe.<br>- All of which still suggests<br>that if there's enough<br>financial interests in Ukraine,<br>they would prevent<br>another Russian invasion.<br>- There would be financial pressure, yeah.<br>There would be, you know,<br>Russia needs to be friends with somebody,<br>either China or the west.<br>I think a world that's flourishing<br>would have Russia<br>trading and being friends<br>with the west and the east.<br>- Thought would be ideal.<br>It would be ideal if the<br>regime in Moscow wanted it.<br>I mean, there again, you get<br>into the thing of, you know,<br>people accused of Russophobia.<br>But I mean, I do believe that<br>after the fall of the Wall,<br>Russia was ill treated by the west,<br>not treated with some of the<br>courtesy that it required.<br>I do think that, and at the same time,<br>that doesn't justify the actions of Russia<br>in the last 20 years.<br>- Right, but let's descend<br>from the surrealist<br>to the realist.<br>It's very possible for Russia<br>to be on the verge of military<br>invasion of these nations,<br>and that being wrong,<br>while also not doing it<br>because they're afraid<br>to hurt the partnerships<br>with the west and with China.<br>- It's possible, but<br>the alliance they formed<br>with this sort of rogue<br>alliance with China<br>to a considerable extent,<br>North Korea, not useful,<br>and Iran is something they<br>seem to find bearable.<br>It's not a very good alliance<br>in most people's analysis,<br>but it's an alliance.<br>- It's bearable, but I don't think,<br>maybe you disagree with this,<br>I don't think the Russian<br>people or even Putin<br>wants to be isolated from the west.<br>I think it wants to be<br>friends with the west,<br>and with the East, and with everybody.<br>He just also wants Ukraine, right?<br>And there's, well, how does<br>the Rolling Stones song go?<br>- Which one?<br>- Not the satisfaction one.<br>- "Sympathy with the Devil."<br>- That's the one. You got me on that one.<br>No, like there's interests,<br>whether it's expanding<br>the sphere of influence,<br>that's one thing on the table.<br>But that can be put aside<br>if you want to maintain the<br>partnerships with these nations.<br>And if Ukraine has strong<br>economic partnerships<br>with those nations, then that<br>prevents Russia from invading.<br>- I think the premise is<br>one that I've seen before.<br>There was a famous, what<br>was his name? Norman Angell.<br>He wrote this book,<br>which was a fantastic<br>bestseller in his day,<br>where he believed that Europe<br>would be in a period of<br>endless Kantian peace<br>because the prospect of<br>European powers going to war<br>was so economically unviable.<br>The book was reissued after World War I,<br>and I never got the second edition,<br>but I assume it was<br>significantly rewritten.<br>- That's a very kind of cynical take<br>that just because the book is wrong.<br>- I'm not saying just the book wrong,<br>I'm saying that the idea that cooperation<br>on an economic and other levels<br>is any significant preventative device<br>to madness breaking out<br>is not something I see.<br>Could deter some people.<br>It could deter some very, very rational<br>economically driven actors,<br>but it fails to take into<br>account all of the other things<br>that motivate people to go to war,<br>and to invade, and to go mad.<br>- Okay, well, I would argue<br>that in the 21st century,<br>one of the reasons we have much fewer wars<br>is because of the much more.<br>- The bomb.<br>- Well, so there's a few tools here<br>on the geopolitical stage.<br>One of them is that we're just much more<br>interconnected economically,<br>globally interconnected,<br>and that that is always a present pressure<br>on the world to keep peace.<br>There's a lot of money<br>to be made from peace.<br>There's also a lot of<br>money to be made from war.<br>There's a lot of interest, attention.<br>And I'm just presenting one of the tools<br>that a leader should be using.<br>The alternative is what, military force?<br>That is an interesting one,<br>sometimes a useful one,<br>but unfortunately it<br>has its downsides also.<br>And after three years of war<br>and the hundreds of thousands dead,<br>you have to start wondering<br>what are the options on the table.<br>- I agree.<br>I'm obviously for economic cooperation,<br>but my only caveat is not<br>to think that is something<br>which is of ultimate interest<br>or even at the top of the<br>list of interests of despots,<br>tyrants, extremists who<br>want something else.<br>- Yeah, but can you read<br>the mind of Vladimir Putin?<br>- No.<br>- A lot of the ideas I hear<br>about peace is Putin bad,<br>victory must be achieved,<br>NATO membership required.<br>But you have to come to the table<br>to end the killing is one,<br>and two, have different ideas<br>of how to have a non-zero chance<br>of peace so that, you know?<br>It seems to me the only option,<br>not the only option, but<br>the likeliest option,<br>is a lot of strong economic partnerships.<br>There's of course other radical options.<br>There's Russia joining NATO<br>or something like this.<br>Or there's giving, you know,<br>flirting with World War III essentially,<br>giving nukes to Ukraine<br>or something like this.<br>There's like crazy stuff.<br>Or a totally new military alliance<br>with France, and Britain, and Germany,<br>and European nations, and Ukraine,<br>or some weird network of military power<br>that threatens Russia in some way,<br>or maybe some big breakthrough<br>partnership between India,<br>China and Ukraine, something like this.<br>Just some really out there ideas.<br>And I think that's how the<br>world finds the balance<br>and realigns itself in interesting ways.<br>- Look, it could be. I<br>hope your idea is right.<br>I think it's about,<br>well, it's certainly the most peaceful way<br>for this to be resolved.<br>My only caveat, as I say, is,<br>and also never forget to factor in<br>that people want different<br>things in this world,<br>and some people don't dream as you dream.<br>- I think we'll talk about that,<br>something in your new book, "Death Cults."<br>That one is an easier<br>one for me to understand<br>to the story that you're describing.<br>I am more hesitant to assign psychopathy<br>to leaders of major nations.<br>- Sure. Yeah, yeah, yeah.<br>I'm not by any means urging<br>you to regard Vladimir Putin<br>as millenarian madman who<br>cannot be in any way understood.<br>- I think he could be<br>negotiated and reasoned with.<br>- From your lips to God's ears.<br>- Can you steer me on the case<br>for and then against Zelensky<br>is the right leader for<br>Ukraine at this moment?<br>Is he the right person to<br>take it to the point of peace?<br>- We'll see. If he can,<br>then of course he is.<br>You know, he deserves enormous respect<br>for galvanizing his people,<br>for being elected in the first place,<br>for galvanizing his nation at<br>a time of incredible peril,<br>for playing the international game<br>of getting support for his country well.<br>And sometimes the person who does that,<br>not there are many people like that,<br>can be the person who also<br>brings about a peace deal<br>and sometimes not.<br>- I think there's a degree<br>to which he may have<br>seen too much suffering<br>of the people of the land he loves<br>to be able to sit down at a table<br>with a world leader<br>who did the destruction<br>and to be able to.<br>- [Douglas] That is very hard.<br>- Compromise on anything.<br>- That's possible. Again, it<br>puts the onus on him though.<br>Sort of slightly presupposes<br>that Putin doesn't have the<br>same human instinct on that.<br>It is extremely hard,<br>I've noticed this in a lot of conflicts,<br>it's extremely hard the way<br>in which outsiders come in<br>and others who haven't<br>seen what you've seen<br>or gone through what you've gone through,<br>and say, you know,<br>"It's time to get round the<br>negotiating table and just,"<br>you know, and you think,<br>"You didn't see what I saw.<br>You didn't go through what I went through.<br>Who are you to tell me?"<br>Goes back to that thing<br>with the visitor from the land of war<br>and the visitor from the land of peace.<br>The visitor from the land of peace<br>can easily talk about getting<br>around negotiating tables,<br>but the visitor from the land<br>of war has seen other things.<br>And it's very hard for<br>somebody who hasn't seen it<br>to tell the person who has that<br>they should act differently.<br>- And the sad thing about humanity<br>is both the person from the land of peace<br>and the person from the<br>land of war are right.<br>- Yes, that's a struggle.<br>That's definitely a struggle.<br>It's like asking somebody to forgive.<br>I've seen that at a lot<br>of ends of conflicts.<br>People say, you know,<br>"The important thing is that<br>we forgive and move on."<br>And then the other person says, you know,<br>"Your child didn't die<br>of shrapnel wounds."<br>- Yeah, you know, I got a lot of heat<br>for an interview I did with Zelensky.<br>By the way, people privately,<br>the people that message me,<br>is all love and support.<br>Even the people that disagree<br>in Ukraine, soldiers.<br>People online are ruthless.<br>They're misrepresenting me. They're lying.<br>- People online are ruthless?<br>Misrepresenting and lying?<br>Good god, Lex, you've<br>discovered a new phenomenon.<br>- I'm a real radical intellectual.<br>- (laughs) Nothing misses your eye.<br>- I see the truth and I'm<br>unafraid to point it out.<br>No, there's a degree.<br>This idea that you need to<br>compromise with the person,<br>with the leader of a<br>nation you're at war with,<br>and in so doing to some degree<br>are forgiving their actions.<br>Because the actual feeling you have<br>is you want it to be fair,<br>and the definition of fair<br>when you've seen that much suffering<br>is for him and everybody around him,<br>and maybe even all of the<br>people on the other side,<br>to just die because you've<br>seen to much suffering.<br>But the other side of that<br>is, yes, there's children that have died,<br>but you coming to the negotiation table.<br>- Will stop other children<br>from dying. Yes, of course.<br>- And so like there is just,<br>you had this kind of<br>way of speaking about it<br>embodying that perspective that it's naive<br>to say to come to the negotiation table.<br>And it is for a person<br>from the land of war,<br>but the very smart, intelligent,<br>and not naive person<br>from the land of peace<br>that is often right in some deep sense<br>about the long arc of history,<br>for them it is the right thing<br>to come to the negotiation<br>table to end more killing.<br>- The one thing I would add<br>to that though is, you know,<br>don't forget that it also<br>depends on whether or not<br>there's a clear shot of winning.<br>- [Lex] Sure.<br>- If there's a clear shot of winning,<br>and that's the most important.<br>The most important thing in wars<br>is not final negotiations<br>or anything like that,<br>it's simply winning and losing.<br>And if you have a clear shot of winning,<br>and you can take it, and you're near it,<br>then having somebody<br>else come in and saying,<br>"Why not stop just before<br>victory?" is very hard.<br>That's one of the complex,<br>one of the many many complexities<br>of the conflict we're talking about.<br>- You know, the other<br>big complexity of that?<br>Because the clear shot of winning<br>is like a man walking through<br>the desert seeing water.<br>During war, it really is an illusion.<br>So here's what happens.<br>The really complicated<br>aspect of negotiation<br>is in order to negotiate peace<br>from a place of strength,<br>you have to have victory in sight.<br>- Yes.<br>- And so the temptation from that position<br>is to not negotiate,<br>is to keep pushing forward<br>to achieve victory.<br>And this, I would say, hindsight is 20/20.<br>But this is the failure<br>in '22 and two occasions<br>to achieve to negotiate<br>a ceasefire and peace.<br>One in the spring because<br>Ukraine was in a real big,<br>I would say position of strength,<br>having fended off the<br>Russian forces around Kyiv.<br>That's one.<br>And then as you mentioned<br>in the fall of '22<br>with Kherson and Kharkiv, had<br>a lot of military success.<br>They were in a place of strength.<br>And from that place, they've<br>decided to keep going<br>because victory was in sight.<br>But that was also an<br>opportunity to make peace.<br>- It's perfectly possible, yes.<br>- That's the hard thing.<br>- It's very hard.<br>It's all hard, but again,<br>victory can be won in wars<br>and is often won in wars.<br>And you're right, they can also grind on<br>because nobody has the capability<br>to make a breakthrough.<br>I mean, the wisdom about civil wars<br>tends to be that they sort of burn out<br>after about 10 years or<br>so for similar reasons.<br>- When you're in the war,<br>can you actually know<br>that a victory can be won?<br>- It's a very good question.<br>You mean troops on the battlefield<br>or military leaders or political leaders?<br>- Military and political leaders.<br>It just feels like, like I said,<br>man in the desert seeing water.<br>I think there's a sense<br>that victory's so close.<br>There's times in a war when<br>you feel like victory is close.<br>- [Douglas] No, you're right.<br>- And then it slips away.<br>- Yes, it's an interesting insight.<br>It's like the way in which<br>there's a force in nature,<br>which is that if you amass an army,<br>amassing it will pull you in to using it.<br>Extremely hard to amass an<br>army somewhere and then say,<br>"Let's go back."<br>Yes, you're right.<br>No, it's one of many, many<br>interesting aspects to warfare.<br>- I think the sad thing<br>about successful wars,<br>at least in the modern day,<br>is it takes a great military leader,<br>which I would argue that<br>Zelensky really unified Ukraine<br>in this fight in the beginning of the war.<br>You have to be that, and like you said,<br>after you amassed the army<br>and have military success<br>to be able to step back and make peace.<br>Those two just don't<br>often go hand in hand.<br>Because again, as a wartime leader,<br>especially one who has seen<br>the suffering firsthand,<br>walking away is tough.<br>Especially also combined with that,<br>just the realities of war<br>where there is probably corruption.<br>That there is things, you<br>know, once the war ends,<br>there has to be investigations.<br>Because the war wasn't won,<br>you might not turn out to<br>be, when history looks at it,<br>the good guy, and a leader<br>always wants to be the good guy.<br>So there's just all<br>psychological complexities.<br>And you look at this whole<br>picture, in the basic sense,<br>if you want Ukraine to flourish,<br>if you want humanity to flourish,<br>you just ask the question,<br>"Okay, so what is the<br>thing I would like to see?"<br>- There's so many historical<br>analogies that you can give,<br>but just surely<br>not rewarding Putin's actions in any way<br>would be a good way to deter<br>him and other dictators<br>from trying to grab land in the future.<br>- So yeah.<br>And it's nuanced because<br>like it's very probably good<br>to be the boring person at the party<br>that says dictatorships are<br>bad, democracies are good.<br>Many of the ideals of the west are good.<br>- Democracies are better.<br>- Better, yes. That<br>sounds like "Animal Farm."<br>But yes, two legs better,<br>but yes, democracy's better<br>and invading countries is bad.<br>But World War III is bad too.<br>So after you say something<br>is bad, what's the next step?<br>Because military intervention<br>in a lot of these conflicts.<br>- It'll be about deterrence.<br>- Yeah, but what's effective deterrence?<br>- That we're gonna have to keep going over<br>for a long time to come.<br>- My question is how can we achieve peace<br>in April, in May, right?<br>The adults at the table<br>all seem to tell me,<br>"Well, it's a process. It's complicated."<br>You know, it just feels<br>like this is a thing<br>that might go into the next winter,<br>and there's still maybe initial ceasefire,<br>and the ceasefire is broken,<br>and there's more people dying.<br>And it's that mess.<br>It seems like civility and politeness<br>ignores the fact that people<br>are dying every single day.<br>- I mean, of course,<br>like almost everybody,<br>not everybody, but almost everyone<br>would like the thing to<br>stop immediately of course.<br>- No, like I think that is<br>the boring thing at the party.<br>Yes, but they don't say it often enough.<br>- They should say it more.<br>- There has to be a frustration.<br>I don't understand why<br>Putin, Zelensky, and Trump<br>can't just meet in a room<br>together without signing anything.<br>Leaders meeting and discussing,<br>and like the human connection.<br>There's so many layers of diplomats.<br>It's the problem I have<br>with the managerial class.<br>They schedule meetings really well.<br>They don't get shit done.<br>And I would love it if<br>people got shit done.<br>So the soldiers get shit done.<br>They're fighting the reality of the war.<br>And then the leaders have<br>the capacity to get shit done<br>on the scale of nations and geopolitics.<br>But like these diplomatic meetings.<br>- No, I agree. Look, I share<br>your frustration about it.<br>At the same time, I think.<br>I share your frustration<br>because I've seen it all.<br>A lot of it, you know, with my own eyes.<br>I mean, there was a battalion<br>I was with the other week<br>and they were hit just<br>after I left their base.<br>And you wouldn't believe<br>what a thermobaric bomb<br>can do to the human body.<br>And I share your frustration with that.<br>At the same time,<br>one of the things that<br>happens if you are rushing<br>is that you do, and I've<br>seen this elsewhere,<br>you will put pressure on the<br>people you can pressurize<br>and you will not put enough pressure<br>on the people you can't pressurize.<br>And that is one of the worrying things<br>that could happen with this.<br>Simply, America can put extraordinary<br>diplomatic, financial, intelligence,<br>military pressure on Ukraine.<br>And it can put significant<br>pressure on Putin,<br>but it's much easier to pressure Zelensky.<br>And that's one of the many<br>things that makes it harder<br>is that the temptation to rush for peace,<br>accepting that peace is<br>the most desirable thing,<br>accepting the horrors of war,<br>which, you know, we can linger<br>on, but accepting all that,<br>if somebody says, "We've<br>got to get peace today,<br>and the three of them around a table,"<br>the most likely thing is<br>that it'll be the person<br>who you can pressure most easily<br>who will be the person that you pressure.<br>And as a result have<br>an outcome, which yes,<br>might stop the killing<br>as soon as possible,<br>but might also set up a situation<br>which rewards the aggressor<br>and effectively punishes the victim.<br>And that's an extremely ugly<br>and common thing to happen.<br>- Yeah, and that's the<br>other boring thing to say,<br>the boring truth, that<br>the easy shortcut here<br>is to punish your Ukraine, and<br>you just have to not do it.<br>- Let's keep being the<br>boring people at the party.<br>- Yeah. Well, nobody's gonna invite us.<br>All right, let's go from<br>one complicated conflict<br>to perhaps an even more complicated one,<br>Israel and Palestine.<br>Can you take me through<br>what happened on October 7th<br>as you understand it<br>and as you outline at the<br>beginning of the book?<br>- Well, the book, "On<br>Democracies and Death Cults,"<br>is a mixture of firsthand<br>reporting and observation,<br>interviews, and a wider reflection,<br>not just on the war that's been going on<br>since the 7th of October,<br>but the war that's been<br>going on a lot longer.<br>And also, I suppose on the what for me<br>is one of the overwhelming questions,<br>which I'm sure we'll get to,<br>which is the reaction in<br>the rest of the world.<br>Obviously on the 7th itself,<br>it was a brigade-sized<br>attack on Israel from Gaza.<br>Hamas broke through the security fence<br>and attacked all the<br>softest targets they could.<br>They swiftly overwhelmed things<br>like the observation base in Nahal Oz.<br>They ran through the<br>communities in the south,<br>very peaceful peacenik,<br>effective free communities,<br>of the kibbutzim as they're<br>called, the communities,<br>and murdered, and raped,<br>and burned, and kidnapped.<br>And of course, they,<br>from their point of view,<br>had the great good fortune<br>of also coming across<br>hundreds of young people<br>dancing in the early hours of<br>the morning at a dance party<br>and rampaged through that<br>with RPGs, and Kalashnikovs,<br>and grenades, and hammers, and more.<br>And got within, well, 20<br>kilometers into Israel<br>places like Ofakim and<br>Sderot, important towns,<br>and carried out their<br>massacres there as well.<br>We now know that the<br>plan was that Hezbollah<br>did the same thing from the north.<br>Hezbollah joined in<br>the war within 24 hours<br>by starting firing rockets again<br>in very large numbers into northern Israel<br>from southern Lebanon.<br>But the plan was that they would do<br>the same thing from the north<br>and carry out similar massacres there<br>and effectively be able<br>to meet in the middle<br>and garrot Israel from the center.<br>The interesting reason why I think,<br>it'll be found out in the future,<br>but why they didn't coordinate<br>better was Hamas didn't trust<br>any line of communication to Hezbollah<br>to let them know exactly<br>when they were gonna do it<br>that wouldn't be intercepted.<br>The Iranian revolutionary<br>government in Tehran,<br>which obviously funds Hamas and Hezbollah,<br>and trains and arms, knew of the plan.<br>It was a very successful<br>attempt to annihilate the state,<br>but they didn't get close to that.<br>But they got worryingly closer<br>than people might have<br>thought they were capable of.<br>I think from the Israeli side side,<br>it was obviously one of<br>the most, if not the most,<br>catastrophic intelligence<br>and military failure<br>since the foundation of the state.<br>And I think there are several reasons why.<br>One is a perception problem.<br>What a lot of military<br>commanders and others<br>described to me as the conception,<br>the conception that had prevailed<br>in Israel for some years<br>in the security military establishment,<br>was that Hamas were<br>content with being corrupt,<br>and governing Gaza and, you<br>know, lining their pockets,<br>and living in Qatar, and<br>becoming billionaires.<br>But that like many other terrorist groups<br>and, you know, cults<br>that they would end up<br>becoming just corrupt and<br>not losing their ideology,<br>but the ideology becomes secondary.<br>That's the first thing was<br>there was just a massive error<br>of the conception in Israel.<br>And then there are the multiple, manifold<br>security and military failures of the day<br>and leading up to the day.<br>And there already have<br>been quite a lot of people<br>held to account for that,<br>and there doubtless will<br>be in the future as well.<br>The single thing I heard,<br>which I heard most and which<br>was most distressing in a way,<br>was the number of people who<br>described to me, you know,<br>who survived the massacres in the south,<br>who said that, you know,<br>they'd said to their children,<br>"Don't worry, the army<br>will be here in minutes."<br>And they weren't, you know.<br>In many places, it was many<br>hours till the army got there.<br>And there are reasons for that.<br>There are some reasons that<br>will be military failings,<br>leadership failings.<br>Other things, I discovered,<br>were very human failings.<br>I don't want to overstress<br>the failure of the army<br>because actually certain units and things<br>got down very fast.<br>There's a unit who got down<br>to the junction, you know,<br>by within about an hour, 90 minutes,<br>of the massacres starting<br>and joined in the fight.<br>And then there were self-starters,<br>who I write about in the book,<br>extraordinary people who<br>just like broke orders,<br>and just realized the magnitude<br>of what was happening,<br>and said, "We're needed in the south, go,"<br>and fought very hard for<br>hours, days in some cases.<br>But the complexities on the<br>ground were unbelievable.<br>I mean, as usually happens in warfare,<br>but what they call the fog<br>of war is a very real thing.<br>You can see it in hindsight,<br>but you can't see when you're in it.<br>And one of the things that<br>made it very complicated<br>was, for instance, Hamas coming in,<br>taking uniforms off dead<br>Israelis, wearing them,<br>coming in with Israeli<br>style apparatus on them.<br>There's a Muslim doctor I<br>quote in the book I interviewed<br>who describes how he was going to his,<br>he's an Israeli Muslim Arab,<br>and he was going to, he's a doctor.<br>He was going to his shift at the hospital<br>at 6:30 in the morning.<br>The rockets start coming in<br>because the rockets started first<br>and then the full invasion.<br>And he described to me how, you know,<br>he's one of the members of this group,<br>the United Hatzalah, which<br>is a first responders group,<br>and they sort of, you<br>know, they get an alert<br>and it tells them that, you<br>know, a car has crashed nearby,<br>and they put on their,<br>you know, first aid kit,<br>and so on and go.<br>And he got one of those alerts<br>at one of the junctions,<br>and realized there was a car<br>that something had happened<br>and there was some dead bodies.<br>And he stops and he sees<br>these men dressed as soldiers,<br>and they start, and he's<br>wearing his Hatzalah gear,<br>and they start firing at him.<br>And he just thinks, "What the hell?<br>What the hell is going on?"<br>And they turned out to be Hamas<br>dressed as Israeli soldiers.<br>They used him as a human shield<br>to try to protect from any air assault.<br>And in the end, they shot him<br>and left him, and he survived.<br>He was a very, very brave man.<br>So there was a lot of confusion like that.<br>There was a girl whose<br>father I interviewed,<br>she was at the Nova party,<br>and I met him at one of<br>the reunions of the party<br>in the weeks after,<br>the reunions of the survivors<br>and the family and so on.<br>And he described how<br>in the last moments of<br>his daughter's life,<br>she phoned him on her<br>phone like a lot of people,<br>and he reassured her that army<br>would get there and so on.<br>And her boyfriend was shot in the head<br>and was lying on her lap, and<br>she was obviously panicked.<br>And they'd managed to get into<br>a car and escape the party,<br>but they went to a community<br>where they thought they'd be<br>safe in the south of Israel.<br>And they were told to stay where they were<br>by somebody who she said was a policeman.<br>And he wasn't a policeman,<br>he was Hamas dressed<br>as police and she died.<br>She was shot and killed as well.<br>And so there was a lot<br>of confusion like that.<br>Hopefully, you know,<br>the world will find out<br>exactly what went wrong,<br>Israel will find out<br>exactly what went wrong<br>that led to this catastrophe.<br>But I mean, it was a complete catastrophe.<br>- Do you have a sense of how<br>such an intelligence failure<br>could have happened?<br>So there's a bit of a temptation<br>to go into conspiracy land<br>because it's such a giant<br>intelligence failure.<br>It seems that there is some manipulation<br>on the inside for political reasons, or.<br>- You don't need to go<br>into conspiracy land.<br>I mean, I think there are people who say<br>that there were parts of the<br>intelligence network and so on<br>that were withholding the information.<br>I don't know. Again, people will find out.<br>There's an awful lot of<br>politics inside Israel<br>and it's hard to know that at this stage.<br>I think most people are sort of still,<br>Israeli and not Israeli,<br>including people who are anti-Israel,<br>who just believe that, you know,<br>Israeli military and particularly<br>intelligence dominance<br>is so, so strong<br>that there must have been<br>some kind of conspiracy,<br>otherwise how could this have happened?<br>I don't think you need to go into that.<br>I think that, I mean, for instance,<br>some of the young women<br>at the observation base<br>are on the record.<br>They've said, I've spoken to myself,<br>who said that they had been warning<br>in the weeks running up the 7th<br>that they were seeing maneuvers<br>and training by the border,<br>which suggested that Hamas<br>was going to do something like this.<br>And they say that they were ignored.<br>You speak to some of the more<br>senior commanders about that,<br>and they say the thing is that this stuff<br>was happening all the time,<br>so it's very hard to know at the moment.<br>- Can you talk through your understanding<br>of who and what Hamas is,<br>its history and the governing<br>ideology of this group?<br>- Well, Hamas, in a way<br>quite easy to understand<br>because they say what their ambitions are.<br>They say what their beliefs are.<br>They've said it from their<br>governing charter onwards.<br>And you also have the<br>advantage with Hamas that they,<br>as it were in trying to understand them,<br>is that they tend to do what they say<br>and act on what they believe.<br>The primary aim of Hamas is<br>to destroy the state of Israel<br>and then see.<br>They're not an unusual group, sadly.<br>The bit of it that is hard<br>for some people to understand, I think,<br>is that they really do mean what they say<br>and that they really do mean<br>what they say they want to do.<br>And I give a number of<br>examples in the book of this,<br>but I mean, the most obvious<br>is the case of Yahya Sinwar,<br>the Hamas leader, who<br>is generally regarded<br>as having orchestrated and<br>arranged the 7th of October.<br>We know a fair amount about him<br>because he was in prison<br>in Israel in the 2000s<br>for murdering Palestinians in Gaza.<br>And he was released in the prisoner swap.<br>He was one of the more than<br>1000 Palestinian prisoners<br>inside Israel who was released<br>in a swap for Gilad Shalit,<br>the abducted Israeli soldier.<br>And Yahya Sinwar, in prison in Israel,<br>talked to among others a dentist<br>who ended up saving his life<br>because Yahya Sinwar had a brain tumor.<br>And this dentist identified this<br>and actually sent him to the hospital.<br>And the Israelis famously<br>removed the tumor<br>and saved Sinwar's life.<br>But this dentist used to<br>speak to him in prison<br>fairly regularly and has related,<br>not least to "The New York Times,"<br>his conversations with Sinwar.<br>And Sinwar said in one of<br>those conversations, he said,<br>you know, he said,<br>"At the moment, you, Israel, are strong,<br>but one day you'll be<br>weak and then I'll come."<br>And that's what he did.<br>- Is it a hatred of Israel<br>or is it a hatred of Jews?<br>Is it on the level of nations<br>or the level of religion?<br>- Both. It's both.<br>I mean, it originates<br>from a religious mindset,<br>but it's of course political as well.<br>I mean the Hamas charter, of course,<br>some people sort of<br>think the Hamas charter<br>is of no significance.<br>And I often notice this sleight<br>of hand that that people do.<br>Again, it goes back to what<br>we were saying earlier.<br>Forget everything other than<br>the most important basic things.<br>But the Hamas charter, among other things,<br>quotes the hadith that, you know,<br>the end times will not come<br>until all of the rocks<br>and the trees shout out,<br>"Oh Muslim, there's a Jew<br>behind me, come and kill him."<br>And so Hamas is both obviously<br>anti-Israeli obviously<br>and anti-Jewish obviously.<br>And by the way,<br>I mean one of the many painful<br>stories I tell in the book<br>is of the fact that so many of the people<br>in the communities that they attacked,<br>it's not as if there'd be<br>a right community to attack<br>and a wrong community to attack,<br>but that many of the<br>communities they attacked<br>were communities which deeply,<br>deeply dreamed of the idea<br>of living in peace with<br>their Palestinian neighbors.<br>There's a woman whose name<br>has become relatively famous since,<br>certainly famous inside<br>Israel, Vivian Silver,<br>who was a peace activist<br>who spent every weekend<br>driving Gazan children from the border<br>if they had very like rare medical needs<br>that could not be seen or<br>attended to with inside Gaza<br>would drive them to Israeli hospitals.<br>And she spent every weekend doing that.<br>Worked for all of the sort of left wing<br>peacenik organizations in Israel.<br>And, you know, for a while after the 7th,<br>her neighbors and others<br>thought that she had been<br>taken captive into Gaza.<br>And actually there was<br>a hostage poster for her<br>and there were appeals by the<br>various peacenik organizations<br>for Hamas to hand her over,<br>but it turned out she'd been<br>burned alive in her home.<br>And this wasn't discovered<br>for quite a long time<br>because there was so<br>little DNA left of her<br>that it was very hard to identify<br>the remains as being hers.<br>So there were just a lot of<br>people in the Gaza envelope,<br>as it's called in Israel,<br>in the area around Gaza<br>who would've been the<br>people who, you know,<br>wanted to live peacefully<br>with the Gazans someday.<br>There's a certain among the<br>many, it's not an irony,<br>but just among the sort<br>of pains of the days<br>is that so overwhelmingly<br>these are the people<br>that Hamas brought hell to.<br>- The response to October 7th by Israel,<br>can you steel man the case<br>that Israel went too far?<br>- Well, the case that<br>started from very early on<br>that critics of Israel<br>had was the claim that,<br>I mean I think I first heard<br>it on about the 8th of October<br>before Israel had done<br>anything in response,<br>was the claim that Israel must act<br>proportionately in response.<br>And I have a critique of this<br>that I've often expressed,<br>which is that there is such a thing<br>as proportionality in<br>warfare, and at the same time,<br>Israel is always accused of<br>acting disproportionately.<br>And the proportionality that<br>much of the rest of the world<br>seems to think Israel<br>should express in warfare<br>is to have an equal level<br>of suffering or killing<br>on both sides.<br>I don't think there's any law of war<br>that says that, you know,<br>if you kill 1200 people<br>and you kidnap another 250,<br>that as it were,<br>the other side's allowed<br>to do the same back.<br>But that's what a lot of people think.<br>And then when they see the death toll<br>escalating on the Gazan side,<br>they say Israel has<br>acted disproportionately<br>and has overreacted.<br>That one is tricky because,<br>you know, it's my belief that,<br>I mean, again, this is a basic thing,<br>but it has to be stated that<br>9 million citizens of Israel,<br>if you extrapolate that out<br>to what the 7th of October<br>would've meant in American terms,<br>you'd be talking about a day on which<br>if the attack had happened in America<br>where 44,000 Americans<br>were killed in one day<br>and 10,000 American<br>citizens taken hostage.<br>Nobody can tell me that if<br>such an atrocity occurred<br>that America would not<br>do whatever it needed<br>to destroy the groups that had done that<br>and to retrieve the<br>hostages who'd been taken.<br>- So just on that point,<br>I agree with you 100%.<br>America would hit hard back,<br>and I think a lot of Americans<br>would feel justified in that.<br>But it's also possible<br>that the military industrial<br>complex and the politicians<br>would do something like the<br>war in Iraq and Afghanistan,<br>which means extend far beyond hitting back<br>and actually do a thing that's<br>destructive to everybody,<br>including America financially,<br>and the flourishing of America,<br>and the flourishing of humanity<br>broadly, and the region,<br>and the stability, and<br>the war on terrorism,<br>if that's a real thing.<br>The war in Iraq and Afghanistan<br>did not maybe succeed<br>in defeating terrorism<br>or even making progress.<br>It probably made more terrorists than not.<br>So there's a justified<br>feeling of hitting back<br>and going after somebody like<br>Bin Laden in the case of 9/11.<br>And there's just the<br>actual implementation.<br>And it seems like the<br>implementation can sometimes,<br>intended or unintended, have consequences<br>that are bordering on war crimes,<br>if not downright war crimes.<br>Now this is a general statement,<br>and now we'll look at Israel<br>where things are small land,<br>everything is very compact.<br>There's a lot of complexities<br>that are well studied<br>that we've talked about extensively.<br>- Well, the two stated aims<br>of the Israelis after the 7th<br>were to get the hostages<br>back and to destroy Hamas.<br>And many people said that you<br>could do one, but not both.<br>And I actually think they've<br>gone a long way to doing both,<br>by no means everything,<br>there are still hostages as<br>were speaking held in Gaza,<br>including a young American.<br>And Hamas is not completely destroyed.<br>It's very, very significantly degraded,<br>but it's not completely destroyed.<br>But those are the two aims.<br>I believe that, I mean I've<br>seen as much of the war<br>as any outside observer.<br>I don't know if there are<br>some exceptions maybe,<br>and so I think I can say<br>with considerable certainty<br>what the Israelis have and haven't done.<br>There were various<br>operations at the beginning,<br>various plans which didn't happen,<br>like storming straight in<br>and getting, for instance,<br>as many hostages as possible<br>out of the Shifa complex,<br>which is called a hospital,<br>but it's also at the very least<br>a Hamas command headquarters.<br>And there was a plan to<br>maybe go and do that fast,<br>but it was avoided<br>because of the number<br>of deaths on all sides<br>that would be likely to happen.<br>The Israelis did actually<br>hold back at the beginning.<br>There was a period of making sure<br>that when they went into Gaza,<br>they didn't do so in any way blind.<br>But Gaza is a very built<br>up area population wise,<br>is densely populated.<br>Something, by the way,<br>which the people who claim frivolously<br>that Israel has been committing genocide<br>never take account of,<br>which is the fact that the<br>Gazan population has boomed<br>since the Israeli withdrawal in 2005.<br>It's almost doubled.<br>But yeah, it's a densely populated area,<br>and it's an incredibly difficult<br>place for the train of war<br>because of one thing in<br>particular, which is that Hamas,<br>goes back a bit to our<br>conversation earlier,<br>but this is a much more extreme example.<br>I mean, Hamas really<br>don't play by the rules.<br>In fact, they use the rules<br>of war, the laws of war,<br>completely to their own advantage.<br>You know, it has to be reiterated.<br>You are not meant to disguise<br>your army as civilians.<br>You're not meant to use<br>places of care like hospitals<br>as bases for your military operations.<br>You're not meant to use<br>schools and places of worship<br>as operating centers of war.<br>And Hamas does all of these<br>things and has always done so.<br>And it does so with the very<br>obvious reason that for them,<br>the whole thing is a two-for-one offer.<br>You get to operate everywhere<br>and if the Israelis operate anywhere,<br>you claim that this is a war crime<br>because how could they attack<br>this group of civilians,<br>these people who are dressed as civilians,<br>these people merely fighting<br>from a mosque and so on.<br>And that's why everybody<br>who's been to Gaza,<br>who's seen the fighting,<br>knows the same thing,<br>which is this is just<br>incredibly difficult, difficult warfare<br>of a kind that American troops have seen<br>in the last 20 years in<br>Fallujah and elsewhere.<br>Kurdish militia, the Peshmurga,<br>saw when they were fighting<br>as our frontline troops<br>in the war against Isis.<br>Similar house to house,<br>but by no means with the<br>same entrenched bases.<br>You know, again, it<br>can't be stressed enough<br>that Hamas has used the years<br>since the Israeli withdrawal from 2005<br>to build this vast<br>underground tunnel network.<br>And again, it's obvious,<br>but it has to be remembered,<br>and I quote one of Hamas<br>leaders in the book<br>saying this in an interview,<br>when they build their tunnels,<br>they do so in order that their<br>tunnels are used by them,<br>Hamas, to store their weaponry,<br>to secure their fighters,<br>and to hold hostages.<br>They do not build their<br>underground tunnel networks<br>for the safety of Gazan civilians<br>avoiding aerial bombardment.<br>And you know, every<br>difference in the world<br>seems to me to exist between a country<br>which does build bomb<br>shelters for its citizens<br>and a government which builds<br>bomb shelters for its bombs.<br>- Can you discuss the flow of money here?<br>So how does Hamas, the<br>leadership, use the money?<br>So you started to talk about the tunnels,<br>but how much corruption is there?<br>Can you just lay it all out?<br>Because I think that's an important part<br>of the picture here.<br>- It's totally corrupt.<br>Every Hamas leader who's now dead<br>died a billionaire.<br>- With a B?<br>- With a B.<br>To say that they used Gaza's resources<br>or the resources that came<br>into Gaza for their own ends<br>is to just vastly understate matters.<br>Hamas used everything that came in<br>to build the infrastructure of terror<br>that allowed them to do the<br>7th and everything since.<br>They militarized the whole of the Gaza.<br>By the estimations of<br>troops I've been with there,<br>every second to third house<br>had weaponry stashed there,<br>bombs, RPGs, Kalashnikovs,<br>rockets, tunnel entrances.<br>The network that they just<br>embedded all these years<br>was total.<br>You know, and one of the<br>many, many tragedies of this<br>is that whatever you're reading<br>of the rights and wrongs of<br>the Israeli withdrawal in 2005,<br>it was an opportunity for the<br>Gaza to become something else.<br>It could have become a thriving statelet.<br>It could have been a<br>thriving Palestinian state.<br>It's just that Hamas,<br>like the PLO before them,<br>decided that they wanted to destroy Israel<br>more than they wanted to<br>create a Palestinian state.<br>And that is to the great, great detriment<br>of the Palestinians of Gaza,<br>to put it at his mildest.<br>- So just to outline here,<br>leadership of Hamas are stealing the money<br>they get sent by Qatar, by everybody.<br>So they're putting in<br>their pocket and then.<br>- By the American taxpayer<br>and by the European taxpayer as well, yes.<br>Well, yeah, but I mean,<br>it's not just about<br>the stealing the money,<br>it's about using the money<br>and the infrastructure<br>to annihilate your neighbor.<br>I mean that's the real.<br>- Yeah, those two things,<br>but the corruption is a signal<br>from an economic perspective.<br>It's just also a signal<br>of deep moral corruption<br>because they're screwing<br>over the Palestinian people.<br>- Yes. A cynicism, certainly, yeah.<br>- Okay, and then the money they do spend<br>on the Palestinian cause<br>they're not doing that to build up Gaza,<br>they're doing it to strengthen<br>the militaristic capabilities<br>of the terrorist organizational of Hamas.<br>You have, maybe you<br>can correct me on this,<br>have said that the people of Gaza<br>have some significant responsibility<br>for the actions of Hamas<br>'cause they've elected them.<br>- They elected them.<br>The what ifs are endless,<br>but very unwise of the<br>George W. Bush administration<br>to push for elections in Gaza after '05.<br>But Hamas were elected,<br>and they then in 2007<br>killed the other Palestinian faction<br>that was their main challenger, Fatah.<br>Killed them, threw the off rooftops,<br>dragged their bodies behind<br>motorbikes through the Gaza.<br>And from that point,<br>they had total control.<br>And you know, this is difficult<br>because you can get into the realm<br>of being accused of advocating<br>or in any way justifying<br>collective punishment<br>if you talk about this.<br>But it should be borne<br>in mind that, you know,<br>Hamas had effectively 18<br>years to run the Gaza.<br>And that's the time that it<br>takes from the birth of a child<br>to the end of their formal education.<br>And in 18 years they could<br>have presided over and produced<br>a generation of young Gazans<br>who were productive for their people,<br>for their society, for their neighbors,<br>for the rest of the<br>world, and they didn't.<br>They spent 18 years indoctrinating<br>the children of Gaza<br>into a death cult and<br>into a genocidal hatred,<br>which obviously was most<br>dangerous to the Israelis,<br>but it was obviously disastrous<br>for the people of Gaza.<br>And you know, if you speak<br>to soldiers who were there<br>in 2014 when Hamas started a war again,<br>one of a set of rounds of war since 2005.<br>If you speak to the soldiers<br>who were there in 2014<br>going house to house<br>and who were also involved<br>in the war since 2003,<br>they all say the same thing,<br>which is the marked radicalization<br>of the Gazan population.<br>The marked increase in just, I mean,<br>it's so banal in a way to even, you know,<br>the numbers of copies of<br>"Mein Kampf" in Arabic<br>in an average Gazan household,<br>"The Protocols of the<br>Learned Elders of Zion."<br>There are so many what ifs<br>and other paths that<br>Hamas could have taken,<br>but that was the one they took.<br>They decided to take the path<br>of using their time in power<br>to build up their infrastructure,<br>radicalize the population,<br>and encouraged them to believe<br>that they could destroy<br>the state of Israel.<br>And then on October 7th,<br>they gave it their best shot.<br>And by the way, there is no<br>organized collective punishment<br>of the citizens of Gaza.<br>Collective punishment would<br>just be dropping bombs<br>with no purpose across civilian areas.<br>Carpet bombing, this sort of thing.<br>This is simply not what<br>the IAF and the IDF<br>have done since the 7th.<br>They have been fighting<br>a house-to-house war<br>against this terrorist group.<br>They do do aerial strikes.<br>Gaza is very, very badly beaten up<br>as the buildings, I mean, the<br>infrastructure that existed,<br>there aren't many buildings standing.<br>But this is not the result<br>of just wild and imprecise<br>bombing by the Israelis.<br>It's been extremely concerted.<br>It's extremely difficult.<br>But when people say,<br>"Well, this must be<br>collective punishment,"<br>I think that the people who say that<br>it's simultaneously that's not true.<br>And also, you know,<br>there is not a hostage who's come out,<br>President Trump made this point recently.<br>There is not a hostage who's<br>come out who I've spoken with,<br>who found any Gazan Palestinian<br>who expressed even the slightest<br>human kindness to them.<br>If you look at the footage from the 7th<br>that Hamas recorded themselves<br>of them taking young Jewish<br>women into Gaza and so on,<br>you will notice that the trucks,<br>and the motorbikes, and so on<br>are not stopped by horrified<br>Gazan civilians saying,<br>"Why have you got this Israeli<br>girl whose tendons you've cut<br>and why are you bringing her here?"<br>It's all celebration.<br>It's all celebration.<br>And it's the same with,<br>there's a couple of cases of<br>hostages who managed to escape<br>from the civilian houses<br>they were being held in,<br>who were immediately returned<br>by the citizens they met.<br>- Yeah, the celebration.<br>I do wonder what percent of<br>the population they represent,<br>but there's something really dark.<br>There's several ways to<br>explain the celebration.<br>It could be that there's<br>a deep indoctrination<br>where you do legitimately hate Jews,<br>and there also could be a<br>place of just deep desperation.<br>And it's a kind of relief that<br>you have to convince yourself<br>that you're on the side<br>of fighting for freedom<br>in order to justify to yourself<br>that this is the right way<br>to fight, out of desperation,<br>out of extremely harsh conditions.<br>Because the way we're kind<br>of speaking about this<br>with a celebration,<br>it's very easy to project a<br>kind of evil on the populace<br>that I just am very hesitant to project,<br>especially on the general populace.<br>- You don't have to project it onto them,<br>you can just listen to their own words.<br>I'm sure you've heard one<br>of many audio recordings<br>you hear from the morning,<br>but I'm sure you've<br>heard the audio recording<br>of the young man who ends<br>up in one of the communities<br>in the south of Israel and<br>calls home, calls back home.<br>Have you heard that?<br>- [Lex] Yes, I've heard it.<br>- I quote in the first<br>chapter of the book.<br>He calls back home and he says<br>to his father, who picks up.<br>I think he's on the phone.<br>He's saying, "Turn onto WhatsApp<br>because I can show you."<br>He says, "I've killed 10<br>Jews with my own hands.<br>Oh, father, your son has killed 10 Jews."<br>And his father is saying,<br>"Where are you? Where are you?"<br>"I want to show you,<br>dad, I wanna show you.<br>I've killed Jews in my<br>own hands, your son.<br>Put mother on the phone."<br>Mother comes on the phone. The<br>brother comes on the phone.<br>This is one of many,<br>many stories from the day<br>that suggests something which I would say<br>is not just indoctrination,<br>but, yes, evil.<br>- First of all,<br>those phone calls are<br>somehow uniquely horrific.<br>But I've also heard<br>recordings of phone calls<br>made by Ukrainian<br>soldiers to their parents<br>and Russian soldiers to their parents.<br>And they have, not as<br>intense and not as horrific,<br>but they have a similar nature to them,<br>which there's an aspect of war<br>where you dehumanize<br>the other side, right,<br>in order to fight that war?<br>So we have to remember that that element<br>is going to be there in a time of war,<br>in a time of desperation.<br>- It would be a strange type of,<br>simple sort of, I don't know, pride in war<br>to go into an 80-year-old woman's house,<br>and kill her on her floor,<br>and then film her body<br>in its final moment,<br>and send it round to all<br>of that woman's friends<br>on her phone on her Instagram account.<br>You may have heard<br>different things from me,<br>but I mean, I would be surprised<br>if there were even the most<br>vociferous of Russian soldiers<br>phoning back home to Moscow and saying,<br>"Mum, you won't believe my luck.<br>I managed to rape and kill<br>this 80-year-old woman."<br>That's quite unusual, even in warfare.<br>And that's one of the things about Hamas<br>and what I describe as<br>the death cult types<br>which makes them different<br>from other people.<br>- But that's the channeling<br>of evil, and hatred,<br>and anger in the human spirit,<br>but that doesn't make that person evil.<br>- [Douglas] No, I disagree.<br>- You commit that once.<br>- I think that there is such<br>a force as evil in the world,<br>and I think can descend,<br>and it can be used.<br>It's very hard to find<br>a non theological way<br>to talk about this,<br>but everything I've seen there are actions<br>that people like Hamas<br>committed on the 7th<br>that cannot be described as<br>anything other than evil.<br>The things that happened at the Nova party<br>were especially appalling.<br>I mean, it was all appalling,<br>but it was especially<br>appalling because first of all,<br>it's a sort of party which<br>people like you and I,<br>or at least you and I<br>when we were younger,<br>might have been at.<br>And so everyone knows, you know,<br>the world of a dance party<br>and all night, you know,<br>rave the desert to commune<br>with nature, and the universe,<br>and to take some psychedelics,<br>and to, you know, expand your<br>consciousness, and your love,<br>and all of that sort of thing.<br>The fact that people doing<br>that at 6:30 in the morning<br>then encountered people<br>coming in to the party<br>on trucks and military vehicles<br>and just massacring them and raping them.<br>And I mean, I give examples<br>of the firsthand accounts<br>of people who survived,<br>but I mean, it's beyond belief<br>of almost anything else<br>I've covered in war,<br>and it's because it seems so.<br>I mean, an army facing<br>another army is one thing.<br>A terrorist group in civilian<br>clothing facing an army<br>is another thing.<br>A terrorist group facing a group<br>of young people at a dance,<br>unarmed, and doing what they did<br>is pretty hard to comprehend,<br>unless you use the<br>lexicon of evil somewhere.<br>- So that stated,<br>can you empathize with the<br>suffering of Palestinians in Gaza<br>with the destruction that<br>resulted as a response?<br>- Yes.<br>What has happened in response<br>is terrible, terrible<br>for the citizens of Gaza.<br>I was there on the first time<br>a couple of days early<br>into the ground invasion<br>when the citizens of<br>Gaza were coming south.<br>I was in the middle of the Strip<br>and the humanitarian<br>corridor had been set up<br>to try to stop the hostages<br>being taken south deeper into Gaza<br>and to try to stop the Hamas leadership<br>from making it south.<br>Actually, it didn't really work<br>because they'd already got<br>a lot of the hostages south.<br>It was an attempt to keep Haas there<br>and fight them in the north,<br>so as not to be dragged all the way in.<br>In the end they were dragged<br>all the way in anyway.<br>But yes, and I mean watching<br>the citizens of Gaza<br>moving through the humanitarian<br>corridor, you know,<br>and everyone was being checked<br>for bombs, suicide vests,<br>checked for, you know,<br>particularly young men<br>of military age.<br>And you know, I mean, you look<br>at this tide of human misery<br>and you think this is terrible,<br>but this is a terrible thing<br>that had been brought upon them<br>by the people who had been<br>misgoverning the place<br>that they lived in.<br>And of course, on a human<br>level you feel terrible<br>that these people are going through this.<br>At the same time, human<br>empathy for them can coexist<br>beside an unspeakable anger<br>that they had come to this point<br>because of the fact that they<br>had elected a terror group<br>to run their territory.<br>And one of the things<br>obviously is that, you know,<br>a lot of people like to say,<br>and it's true of course,<br>that, you know, this didn't<br>all start on October 7th.<br>Absolutely true.<br>This particular round,<br>this particularly intense round of war,<br>started on October 7th without doubt.<br>Hamas did not have to<br>attack on October 7th.<br>It wasn't like they were forced<br>to liberate themselves or something<br>as some of the defenders of Hamas claim.<br>But the conflict of course<br>goes back a lot earlier.<br>But you will have to<br>always keep on contending<br>with this fact that there<br>is one central issue<br>to the paradigm of that conflict.<br>What used to be called<br>the Arab-Israeli conflict<br>and now has become interestingly rebranded<br>as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.<br>But there is one absolutely<br>essential issue to this<br>which cannot be forgotten,<br>which is do the Palestinians want a state<br>or do they want to<br>destroy the Jewish state?<br>And if they want to<br>destroy the Jewish state<br>as they've tried many times,<br>it's a disaster for them.<br>It's a total disaster for them.<br>If they want to create their own state,<br>they've already had several<br>very good shots at it,<br>one of which is Gaza post 2005.<br>But they've never shown<br>in their leadership<br>the desire to live with a Jewish state,<br>and that's the catastrophe<br>for the Palestinians.<br>- Can you steel man the<br>case of the lived experience<br>of Palestinians and pro-Palestinian voices<br>that describe the Gaza<br>situation as a occupation,<br>the West Bank too, and in the<br>case of Gaza, open air prison?<br>- To take them in order,<br>there's nothing about Gaza<br>that was an open air prison.<br>They had ability to trade,<br>they had the ability to move in and out<br>in increasing numbers.<br>Egypt wasn't so keen on<br>allowing Palestinians from Gaza<br>into Egypt, still isn't.<br>But at the time of the 7th,<br>there was actually an interesting,<br>one of the things the<br>international community<br>was pushing for was for more Palestinians<br>to be coming into Israel every day<br>through the Erez crossing<br>and others to work in Israel<br>because they can make a be<br>a better living in Israel<br>than they can in Gaza.<br>And this, as it were, normalization route<br>was slowly being attempted<br>as being pushed on Israel<br>by the international community<br>did a little bit too fast<br>for Israel's comfort, but it happened.<br>That completely came to an end.<br>And that dream is done, gone,<br>since the 7th of October.<br>- Can you clarify the dream?<br>The normalization.<br>- The normalization dream.<br>- Between Gaza and Israel.<br>- Gone. There will be.<br>- Really?<br>- Yeah, no normalization.<br>No, not after that.<br>And one of the reasons<br>is the number of people,<br>again, who I've spoken with,<br>who employed Palestinians,<br>worked with Palestinians,<br>worked alongside Palestinians,<br>encouraged more Palestinians<br>to be coming from Gaza<br>in order to work in Israel,<br>and these were their brothers and sisters<br>and so on and so forth.<br>One of the reasons why<br>the massacres of the 7th<br>were so successful in the kibbutzim,<br>the communities in the south,<br>was because of the number of<br>the terrorists who came in<br>with detailed house to house<br>maps of those communities.<br>I spoke with one man who, his community,<br>they had a security officer,<br>chief, and Hamas came in.<br>They knew to go and kill<br>him and his family first,<br>and then which families.<br>I've seen the maps myself.<br>They came in with incredibly<br>accurate information<br>about these communities.<br>How did they have them?<br>Because it was given to<br>them by the brothers,<br>by the workers, by the people of Gaza<br>who were coming in and out,<br>so there is nobody that<br>will trust that ever again.<br>- There's a lot of Palestinians<br>that have lived and<br>flourished inside Israel.<br>What are they saying,<br>what are they feeling,<br>and what are the Israelis<br>feeling about them?<br>Is there still comradery to some degree<br>or is it completely destroyed?<br>- My observation at the beginning<br>was that everyone was extremely wary.<br>I mean, you know, if you've<br>worked besides somebody<br>and then found out they<br>sold out your family,<br>you will never trust again.<br>And that, particularly in a<br>small country like Israel,<br>the word of that happening<br>goes out very fast.<br>The very beginning<br>there was intense,<br>intense fear about that,<br>including of the, you know,<br>20% or so of the population<br>who are Arab Israelis.<br>I actually think one of the few<br>sort of positive news<br>stories of the period<br>is that that population within Israel<br>has by and large held, there<br>hasn't been an intifada.<br>One of the reasons why there<br>hasn't been more activity,<br>terrorist activity, in the<br>West Bank, in Judea and Samaria<br>is because the Israelis<br>have been very careful<br>along with the Palestinian authority<br>to some extent cooperating<br>to keep that down.<br>But, you know, there wasn't<br>a full war on three fronts,<br>for instance, which was<br>at risk of happening.<br>So I think that the sort of<br>coexistence within Israel<br>has pretty much held.<br>There are some terrible<br>examples, far too regular,<br>but not as regular as it could happen<br>of Muslim Arab Israelis<br>carrying out acts of terror<br>in, as it were, sympathy with Hamas.<br>I was in the middle of one such<br>attack myself late last year<br>in a town called Hadera.<br>And those things have happened,<br>but that particular<br>catastrophe has not occurred.<br>- Can we talk about Benjamin Netanyahu?<br>For a lot of people, we spoke of evil,<br>they refer to him as the evil.<br>On the spectrum between good and evil,<br>as a leader, where does Netanyahu fall?<br>- Well, he's certainly not evil.<br>Interesting if people<br>looking at this conflict<br>were to be reluctant to<br>use the word evil of Hamas<br>and eager to use it of the<br>Israeli prime minister.<br>It would be sort of telling, I would say.<br>- Can we just actually<br>linger on that point?<br>There is a point you've<br>made multiple times,<br>which is we're more eager to criticize<br>and maybe even over<br>exaggerate the criticism<br>of democratically elected leaders.<br>- [Douglas] Yes.<br>- It's a dark, weird, other<br>quality of discourse at parties,<br>aforementioned parties.<br>- Isn't it also is, I mean, not<br>to be flippant for a moment,<br>it's a little bit like who do<br>you show your worst sides to?<br>The people you love.<br>It's like, you know,<br>my intense irritability<br>is something that tends to be felt most<br>by people who are closest to me<br>because if I express it<br>to absolutely everybody<br>I met at a party or a social<br>setting, it'd be hard.<br>I mean, there's a tendency to lean heavily<br>on the people who are closest to you,<br>the people who will put up with it,<br>and something similar happens<br>in international politics.<br>You pressure the people who will listen.<br>I mean, one of the things you hear a lot<br>in the last year is, you know, people,<br>sort of ignoramuses in the governments<br>in places like Britain,<br>you know, will say,<br>"We need to put more pressure<br>on the Israelis to do X."<br>And you go, "Well, you know, in part<br>that's because they will listen."<br>If you go, "We need to put more pressure<br>on the ayatollahs in Iran to persuade them<br>that Hamas are really bad and<br>they shouldn't be doing this."<br>Right, what the hell do<br>you think they're gonna do?<br>They're gonna listen to<br>you? They don't give a damn.<br>You're talking totally different worlds.<br>Not just a different language.<br>It's a different world.<br>And by the way, that happens in Israel,<br>I mentioned it earlier,<br>but it happens in Israel.<br>When the Hostage Families<br>Forum came about,<br>I spent a lot of time there,<br>got to know a lot of the<br>families and they're remarkable.<br>But one of the things you<br>did notice from them as well<br>was that a lot of them,<br>they protest outside Netanyahu's house.<br>They use klaxons and horns and<br>make sure he can ever sleep.<br>They will, you know, put up<br>greatly big posters by his house<br>of him with bloodied hands and so on.<br>And I have, you know, I think<br>as much sympathy as you can<br>for these families.<br>The plight of knowing that your child<br>is sitting in a tunnel in Gaza for a year,<br>a day, an hour, is intolerable,<br>but there's a reason why the<br>families protested Netanyahu.<br>And that's because Sinwar didn't care.<br>That wouldn't work.<br>If you said, you know,<br>"Understand my plight.<br>I'm a Jewish mother and<br>my daughter is thing,"<br>you think Sinwar, the heads of Hamas care?<br>You think the leaders in<br>Qatar who host them care?<br>The Qatari emir's mother,<br>when Sinwar was killed,<br>praised Sinwar.<br>You couldn't talk that<br>language to these people,<br>but you can talk that language<br>to the elected prime minister of Israel<br>because first of all,<br>he's somebody who might<br>listen to your pressure,<br>could be pressured.<br>And secondly he's simply the<br>only person you can pressure.<br>There's no one else. Hamas doesn't care.<br>Hezbollah doesn't care.<br>Iranian revolutionary<br>government doesn't care.<br>- Yeah, so let's just<br>sort of say once again<br>the obvious thing that<br>while it is possible<br>to discuss Hamas soldiers<br>as freedom fighters,<br>I'm not one of the folks that<br>can take that perspective.<br>It's a tough one to take.<br>- I don't see how you can<br>call them freedom fighters.<br>- So this goes to the man<br>from the land of peace<br>and the man from the land of war.<br>There is a lived experience<br>of what it means to grow up in Gaza.<br>And if you fully load that<br>into your brain in a real way,<br>not using the words of good and evil,<br>but in a very deep human sense,<br>from that place, from<br>that place of desperation,<br>when your home and your<br>family's destroyed,<br>doesn't matter why, doesn't<br>matter if there's evil<br>all around you that<br>caused, it doesn't matter.<br>The facts are the facts.<br>And from that place, somebody<br>who's fighting for you<br>can feel like a freedom fighter.<br>I think it should be called out that,<br>yes, it can feel that way<br>from the lived experience,<br>but Hamas is very clearly,<br>since we're talking about<br>Netanyahu, Hamas is evil, okay?<br>Now you can still in that context<br>discuss the degree to which Netanyahu<br>is the right leader for this moment<br>and whether he goes too far,<br>whether he's too politically selfish<br>in the decisions he makes,<br>whether he's too much a warmonger,<br>whether he's utilizing the war<br>for his own political gains<br>and is not caring about the<br>death of civilians in Gaza,<br>for example, but more caring<br>about maintaining power.<br>That's a perspective<br>that I could steel man,<br>and that's a perspective worth discussing,<br>and that's a perspective<br>many in Israel hold<br>when they criticize Netanyahu.<br>He's increasingly less and less popular.<br>- That's wrong.<br>Poll's the last month<br>when he was in Washington<br>showed him at an all time high.<br>But you were saying.<br>- I make my own poll.<br>And according to my<br>poll, I'm the greatest,<br>I'm the nicest, and the<br>coolest person in the world.<br>100% of people agree.<br>- Sorry, I didn't mean to laugh that much.<br>- Yeah, you laughed a little too much.<br>- Too long.<br>- More than the joke, yeah.<br>- But you were saying.<br>- Okay, let's steel man<br>the criticism of Netanyahu,<br>and then steel man the case for him.<br>That he's the right leader<br>actually for this moment?<br>- Well, the most devastating thing<br>that anyone could come<br>up against Netanyahu<br>is that the 7th happened on his watch.<br>After the Yom Kippur<br>war in 1973, Golda Meir,<br>who was very distinguished<br>prime minister of Israel<br>and a remarkable woman,<br>but she effectively took the political hit<br>for the Yom Kippur invasion<br>by Israel's Arab neighbors<br>happening on her watch.<br>And I would've thought that most critics,<br>fair-minded critics, of Netanyahu<br>inside Israel and without<br>would always hold that against him.<br>I suppose that one of the<br>criticism you hear a lot as well<br>is this thing of Israel being divided<br>in the year before the 7th<br>because of the judicial reforms.<br>I think there's a strong case<br>for judicial reforms in Israel,<br>but it's a sort of niche<br>Israeli governance issue,<br>which we don't have to get into.<br>The point is is that<br>Netanyahu and his government<br>were pushing these reforms<br>through, judicial reforms,<br>and it was very divisive.<br>And on the streets of Tel Aviv<br>and other cities every<br>weekend there were protests.<br>And the police were tired<br>because they'd spent week after week<br>on overtime policing these protests,<br>which often turned raucous,<br>not to say violent,<br>was sometimes violent.<br>And you could say, "Well, if you see<br>that something is dividing<br>your country this much,<br>mightn't you stop?"<br>There is a claim by some people<br>that one of the things<br>that prompted the 7th<br>was that Hamas and its<br>backers in Qatar and Iran<br>saw the division in Israeli society,<br>saw the Israeli population, you know,<br>a significant chunk of it<br>every week on the streets,<br>shutting down highways, shutting<br>down services and so on,<br>and thought, "Good, now's the time."<br>In other words, what I quoted<br>Sinwar as saying earlier<br>when he was in prison in Israel<br>was, you know, this thing,<br>"One day you'll be weak<br>and then I'll strike."<br>Maybe that is one of the<br>things that Sinwar thought.<br>Israel was very weak, it had been divided,<br>and therefore the time strike.<br>There's an argument against that,<br>which is that the 7th was in<br>preparation and being planned<br>before the judicial reform<br>process in Israel began.<br>So you can look at it several ways,<br>but you could use that.<br>You could say, "Look, you know,<br>if your your nation was divided,<br>don't push through anymore on that."<br>There's lots of things like that.<br>You could say that Netanyahu<br>was one of the people<br>responsible for the conception.<br>There are critics of his,<br>including critics who<br>were in the war cabinet,<br>who thought that he was<br>too focused on Hamas<br>and not focused enough on Hezbollah.<br>Other people think he was<br>too focused on Hezbollah<br>and not enough on Hamas.<br>So there's them and many other criticisms<br>that people make of him.<br>I would say I've interviewed, I think,<br>every political leader in<br>Israel from right to left,<br>pretty much.<br>And I have to say I don't<br>think there's any of them<br>that wouldn't have responded<br>similarly to the 7th of October<br>to the way he has.<br>- Okay, so that's inside Israel.<br>Outside of Israel, you<br>know, despite what he said,<br>he is one of the most<br>hated people in the world.<br>Just the raw quantity.<br>Relative, he's loved by a lot of people,<br>but there's a lot of<br>people that, you know,<br>there's a lot of psychological effects<br>that might explain that.<br>- I mean, it's sort of strange<br>if there is a widespread global<br>loathing of prime minister<br>of a country of 8 or 9 million people.<br>- Yeah, that might mean something<br>more than a hatred of the military actions<br>and the policies of the one person, yeah.<br>- I mean, you know, there's<br>an awful lot of people<br>to hate in the world.<br>There's a lot of wars in the world.<br>It's always of interest to me.<br>And obviously some of<br>the one things I go into<br>"On Democracies and Death Cults"<br>is this question of like<br>why is this so galvanizing<br>for so many people?<br>And I think that is a very,<br>very interesting question.<br>Like why? By the way, let me<br>do a quick addendum to that.<br>You can notice something else like that<br>when people talk about<br>the Republican failures<br>in foreign policy in<br>the last 30 years or so.<br>It's very interesting.<br>There's a certain type of person<br>who will immediately<br>mention Paul Wolfowitz.<br>And they will say, "Well,<br>you know, Wolfowitz."<br>And you go, "You mean Deputy<br>Under Secretary of Defense<br>under George W. Bush?<br>You think he guided everything?"<br>Why would that be?<br>Other than the fact that his<br>name, as Mark Stein once said,<br>starts with a nasty<br>animal and ends Jewish.<br>- [Lex] That's a good one.<br>- So I do think there are<br>very deep things at play.<br>- [Lex] That's a good line.<br>- You know, there are<br>very deep things at play.<br>Netanyahu, irrespective<br>of anything he does,<br>for a lot of people is a kind of devil.<br>And you have to say, well, why is that?<br>Now of course some people will say,<br>"Well, that's because of<br>his terrible hawkishness,<br>and his actions, and so on and so forth."<br>The case for Netanyahu<br>is that he sees it as his historic purpose<br>to defend the only homeland<br>of the Jewish people<br>and that that's his life's mission.<br>And on that basis, I think<br>he's been by any measure<br>a historic leader.<br>He has warned the world<br>about the threat from<br>the mullahs in Tehran.<br>He warned about Iranian<br>revolutionary expansionism<br>across the region, across<br>Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen.<br>And after the 7th, he has held together<br>a very, very difficult set of challenges<br>to keep international pressure<br>at the tolerable level,<br>to do all sorts of things,<br>but most importantly to<br>oversee the two war aims<br>that he set out at the beginning.<br>I thought, let me just<br>express it this way.<br>I thought like a lot of people<br>when I heard about the hostages,<br>my immediate instinct<br>was they're all dead.<br>They're all going to be dead.<br>We'll never see them again.<br>And that was the attitude<br>of a lot of Israelis.<br>But although there were<br>still hostages being held,<br>and as I've always said,<br>the war could end tomorrow<br>if they were handed back,<br>or at least the beginning<br>of the end of the war<br>could begin tomorrow if<br>they were handed back.<br>Nevertheless, because of the<br>actions of not just Netanyahu,<br>but the Israeli government,<br>most of the hostages have been returned.<br>Did not expect this to happen.<br>And Hamas has not been<br>completely destroyed,<br>but it has been very, very<br>significantly degraded.<br>And you end up in the definition<br>of what a total destruction<br>of Hamas would look like.<br>But they are not anywhere<br>near the capability<br>they were in November of 2023.<br>Their leadership has<br>almost all been killed.<br>The second tier of<br>leadership almost all gone.<br>And this is a just<br>response to what Hama did.<br>The moment Netanyahu's<br>reputation in Israel<br>was at a low early on<br>because of what had happened.<br>And there's no doubt,<br>and as I say in the final<br>chapter of the book,<br>I mean, there's General Slim<br>had this phrase, you know,<br>from defeat into victory.<br>Israel isn't at victory<br>yet in this conflict,<br>but when in September last year,<br>there were a set of operational<br>successes so extraordinary<br>that, I mean, it was just<br>like every day's news was.<br>There was one day I remember<br>after the Assad regime fell<br>when the Israeli Air Force took out<br>the entirety of the<br>Syrian Air Force in a day<br>because they didn't want<br>it falling into the hands<br>of the new jihadist<br>administration in Syria.<br>It was story number four<br>on the BBC News website.<br>The leadership of Hezbollah gone, gone.<br>The second and third tiers<br>of Hezbollah gone or wounded.<br>Iran's Rolls Royce destroyed.<br>These are very, very significant<br>military achievements<br>and are in my mind a just response<br>to the attempts by Hezbollah, Hamas,<br>and other Iranian proxies<br>to destroy the Jewish state.<br>Would another Israeli leader<br>have been able to hold<br>firm as Netanyahu has?<br>I don't know, but I do<br>know that any of them<br>would've done something similar<br>or would've tried to do something similar<br>because there's no country on<br>earth, no democracy on earth,<br>which could possibly not<br>respond to such an atrocity.<br>- To the point, the<br>underlying point, you made<br>of why do so many people<br>wanna call him evil?<br>And so the implication is it's<br>not just a hatred of Israel.<br>There's an ocean of hatred for the Jews.<br>- Yes.<br>- Why is there so much<br>hatred for Jews in the world?<br>- I would say there's<br>one reason in particular.<br>It's a stupid and gullible<br>person's easy answer.<br>Why do certain things happen in the world?<br>What is our explanation<br>of chance, or unfairness,<br>or any number of things?<br>Easiest, easiest, stupidest<br>person's explanation<br>is there's a small group<br>of people doing it.<br>- Let's not say stupidest<br>'cause there's something in the human mind<br>that craves a nice, clean<br>theory of everything, right,<br>that explains all the problems.<br>It's not just stupidest.<br>- Okay, let me reiterate.<br>Lowest grade, lowest grade.<br>- I have that desire too,<br>to simplify everything.<br>- Be a bit antisemitic, what?<br>- We've all been<br>antisemitic here and there.<br>Just get a few vodkas in me. No.<br>To find, I mean, maybe<br>it's a mathematician in me,<br>that it's like to find a simple<br>explanation for everything.<br>Actually, that's nice for<br>everything. Historians do this.<br>- [Douglas] Absolutely. I agree.<br>- Analyzing why the<br>Roman Empire collapsed.<br>It's so nice to have one,<br>especially if it's a<br>counterintuitive explanation.<br>It's one of the favorite go-tos, right,<br>is an explanation for all<br>the problems in the world.<br>- It's the lowest resolution<br>analysis imaginable.<br>- Why is there traffic?<br>Why did my wife leave me?<br>Why did my wife cheating on<br>me? Why did I lose my job?<br>Why did I not get the job?<br>Because, so even on the personal level.<br>- Oh, especially on the personal level.<br>Why did I not get everything?<br>Somebody must have held me back.<br>- Yeah, and it's just that hatred of Jews<br>have been such a popular<br>go-to throughout history.<br>You just always return<br>back to the hits, I guess.<br>And what is it special<br>about the Jews as a group<br>that people love to hate?<br>Is it just 'cause it's<br>small number of people?<br>- I think there's several things.<br>One is small and without by any means<br>saying this is a general rule,<br>but disproportionately highly accomplished<br>in certain fields at certain times.<br>Prominent is a word I would use.<br>Prominent slightly beyond their<br>numbers in certain places.<br>It's not a full explanation.<br>I mean, you know, all<br>sorts of historic reasons<br>why Jews were involved in banking.<br>But then there are lots<br>of historic reasons<br>why the Scottish people, my<br>own, were involved in banking.<br>And to this day, you<br>don't find many people<br>who blame all international<br>finance problems on the Scots.<br>So there were just like easy grooves<br>for people to fall into it seems to me.<br>- We should also mention, you<br>know, banking for some reason,<br>money is a thing that people go to,<br>but Jews have been<br>disproportionately successful<br>in the sciences, and<br>engineering, mathematics,<br>and the arts and so on.<br>- And a sensible person would<br>try to work out why that is<br>and see what is replicable.<br>I don't wanna use the<br>word stupid again now.<br>A different type of person.<br>- I'm triggered already.<br>- A different type of person<br>would look at that and say,<br>"That must mean they<br>took something from me."<br>And that's, you know, the<br>most zero sum game there is.<br>It's an endlessly fascinating subject<br>because it seems to me that<br>antisemitism is almost certainly<br>a sort of ineradicable temptation<br>of the human spirit at<br>its ugliest and cheapest.<br>Because it's back in our day,<br>it bears some analysis again.<br>And I would say two things about it.<br>One is, as I and others have<br>said many times in the past,<br>one of the fascinating<br>things about antisemitism<br>is that it can cover everything at once.<br>So the Jews get hated for<br>being rich and for being poor,<br>both for being the Rothchilds<br>and for being Eastern European<br>Jews escaping the pogroms.<br>They can be hated for being religious,<br>and for being anti-religious<br>and producing Marxism, for instance.<br>Hated for religiosity and secularism.<br>They can be hated for most<br>recently not having a state<br>and therefore being ruthless cosmopolitans<br>and also hated for having a state.<br>And that makes it something<br>very unusual actually<br>in the history of human<br>bigotry and, you know,<br>bias and ugliness.<br>But the real thing is,<br>one of my great heroes<br>Vasily Grossman says<br>at the center of "Life and Fate,"<br>almost everything that is<br>worth saying about antisemitism<br>and it's Grossman's<br>genius that he could say<br>in three to four pages what<br>most people couldn't say<br>in an entire life, even<br>after life of study.<br>But there's this passage<br>in "Life and Fate"<br>that I quote in my book,<br>it just bold me over when<br>I read it some years ago,<br>when he says, you know,<br>the interesting thing about<br>antisemitism, he says,<br>you can meet it everywhere<br>in the academy of sciences<br>and in the games that<br>children play in the yard.<br>But Grossman's great insight is he says<br>everywhere it tells<br>you not about the Jews,<br>but about the person making the claim.<br>And the most important gift<br>he gives in his analysis<br>is when he describes it as a mirror<br>to the person who's making the claims,<br>culminating in this phrase I've<br>been trying to make popular,<br>which is he says, "Tell me<br>what you accuse the Jews of.<br>I'll tell you what you are guilty of."<br>It's a searingly brilliant insight.<br>The Iranian revolutionary government<br>accuses Israel of being a colonial power.<br>The Iranian revolutionary government<br>has been colonizing the Middle East<br>throughout our lifetimes.<br>The Turkish government<br>accuses the Jewish state<br>of being guilty of occupation.<br>Do you know Northern Cyprus?<br>The Turks have been<br>occupying half of Cyprus<br>since the 1970s.<br>Cyprus is an EU member<br>state and Turkey is in NATO.<br>So you can do this on and on.<br>The people who accuse the Jewish state,<br>like the people who<br>accuse Jews of something,<br>almost without fail, is the<br>thing they're guilty of.<br>Look at the supporters of Hamas.<br>One of the things they say<br>is that Israel is guilty<br>of indiscriminate killing.<br>Hamas? Hello?<br>What were you doing on the 7th?<br>Have you seen there're<br>these crazy guys online<br>who repeatedly claim that for<br>some reason Israeli soldiers<br>will rape Palestinians<br>when they meet them,<br>whether in a prison,<br>or on the battlefield,<br>or in a hospital.<br>It's erupts occasionally.<br>These people go around and say,<br>"Oh my God, the IDF are rapists?"<br>I go, "Excuse me?<br>You're the ones who spent<br>the years after 2016<br>saying believe all women,<br>then from the 7th of October said<br>believe all women except for Jewish women<br>who say they've been raped<br>or seen their friends raped.<br>And then you say, 'Aha,<br>the Jews are rapists.'<br>You've been carrying water for rapists<br>and then go and accuse the Jews of rape."<br>I mean, it just works every<br>way you do it. It works.<br>I do think the thing of<br>psychological projection<br>in the case of Israel is wild.<br>I mean, it is wild.<br>By the way, there's an<br>interesting thing on this<br>that I tried to get into in the book,<br>which is this thing of why<br>did so much of the world<br>respond the way it did?<br>I mean, we're sitting in New York.<br>There was not one protest<br>against Hamas in New York<br>after the 7th of October.<br>The Believe All Women<br>crowd didn't come out<br>against Hamas's rapes.<br>The Black Lives Matter movement<br>did not turn their<br>attention to the killing<br>of Israeli children or anything.<br>Nobody did it. Nobody did it.<br>The one thing that did<br>happen very prominently<br>was that people came out to attack<br>the people who'd been attacked.<br>And as I say in the opening of the book,<br>and I saw that myself<br>down the road from here<br>at Times Square on October 8th,<br>October the frigging 8th,<br>the protests are in Times<br>Square against Israel<br>justifying the attacks<br>that were still going on.<br>And this is something that<br>deserves deep self-examination<br>on behalf of people in the<br>west who've seen this movement<br>overwhelm parts of our society.<br>I mean, degraded parts, but parts,<br>bits of the universities and so on.<br>And I think there's an<br>explanation for it, by the way,<br>which again goes back to<br>that issue of projection.<br>When you and I last talked on camera,<br>we were talking about my last<br>book "The War on the West."<br>And I remember saying to you there<br>that one of the things I was<br>talking about in that book<br>was the deeply, deeply, wildly biased,<br>unfair and inaccurate<br>estimation of the western past<br>whereby, you know, America's original sin<br>had to be identified, and<br>the original sin is slavery.<br>So America has an original sin.<br>Does Ghana have an<br>original sin? No one knows.<br>No one really will think<br>it polite to point one out.<br>And, you know, you go on<br>and on with these things<br>that I identified in<br>"The War on the West,"<br>these sins of the west,<br>and they have in recent years<br>been reduced to the claim<br>that countries like the<br>one we're sitting in<br>are guilty of what?<br>Colonialism, settler<br>colonialism, white supremacy,<br>slavery, genocide, and a couple of others<br>you can throw in probably.<br>One of the things I remember saying to you<br>when we spoke about that<br>was that the one of the deep problems<br>of setting up that system of thought,<br>pseudo thought, non-thought,<br>would be thought,<br>is that there's nothing<br>you can do about it.<br>Even if it was true, there's<br>nothing you can do about it.<br>If it turned out that your<br>ancestors in the 18th century<br>once owned a slave, what are you gonna do?<br>There's no mechanism to<br>forgive or be forgiven<br>because you didn't do it<br>and there's no one alive who<br>could accept the apology.<br>And I remember setting it up<br>there in "The War on the West."<br>I set up like this very,<br>very risky, dangerous,<br>unforgivable, unforgiving<br>thing that had been set up<br>about our societies.<br>But I would say that since October 7th,<br>there has been an answer for<br>a certain type of person,<br>which is I am from a society<br>where I have been told I am<br>guilty of settler colonialism,<br>white supremacy, genocide,<br>ethnic cleansing, and more.<br>I've been told all of these things.<br>I have been put in an<br>un-get-out-able-of situation<br>of moral burden that can never be relieved<br>because I can't ask anyone's forgiveness<br>and nobody can forgive me.<br>But, ah, here's a country<br>which I can accuse of all of these things<br>in the here and now,<br>load my energies, my<br>guilts, my burdens onto,<br>and what's more I might be able to end it,<br>and by doing so, would relieve myself.<br>And in other words,<br>I tweak Grossman with the<br>people in America and elsewhere<br>who've fallen into this trap.<br>I tweak him by saying,<br>"On this occasion, tell me<br>what you accuse the Jews of,<br>and I'll tell you what you've<br>been told you're guilty of."<br>- Yeah, it's an interesting<br>kind of projection.<br>Just to observe some of the<br>sociological phenomena here<br>on top of all this.<br>It does seem that hatred of Jews<br>gets a lot of engagement online.<br>So I watch it like a curiosity,<br>like I'm an alien observing earth.<br>Is this dangerous to you or<br>is it just a bunch of trolls,<br>and grifters, you know, let's<br>say cosplaying as Nazis?<br>- Could be both.<br>- It's just fun<br>to trigger the libs?<br>- It could be all of this. I<br>think it is and a lot more.<br>I mean, taboos, you know,<br>taboos can be fun to break, I suppose.<br>And I suppose there are some people online<br>who have grown up knowing that, you know,<br>since the Holocaust,<br>antisemitism was taboo.<br>And they've run out of,<br>it goes back to what we<br>were saying earlier a bit,<br>you know, they sort of run out of,<br>they've got bored of that, you know.<br>"Holocaust, schmolocaust," they'd say.<br>You know, "I've heard enough about that."<br>And maybe those people have gone off<br>in a funny direction as a result,<br>but I don't think that's the main.<br>I think that's like a detail<br>compared to the real thing.<br>The real thing is that<br>antisemitism is back<br>and there is a certain type<br>of person who's loving it.<br>- It really back?<br>- Well, it never goes away.<br>It's just that since the 7th,<br>I think that it's had a great resurgence.<br>And this isn't to say, I just assume,<br>and that doesn't mean that any criticism<br>of Israel is antisemitic.<br>No, it doesn't.<br>But as I have often said<br>if you don't ever express any interest<br>in the murder of Muslims in Syria,<br>not any interest in genocide in Sudan,<br>or killing of hundreds of<br>thousands of people in Yemen,<br>but on the 8th of October<br>you're on the street with<br>a placard attacking Israel,<br>I'm sorry, you're an antisemite for sure.<br>You may not know you are, but<br>that's what's motivating you.<br>- It gets a lot of engagement. I watch it.<br>- It does, it does.<br>- I watch it.<br>- But I mean, it's one of<br>several things you can always see<br>get huge engagement.<br>I mean, it's like, if you say<br>that there's like a massive pedophile ring<br>run by prominent politicians,<br>it might be total total horseshit,<br>it's likely to be total horseshit,<br>but it'll also get a hell<br>of a lot of engagement.<br>- Yeah, but that's still,<br>so the pedophile ring,<br>like Epstein Island, that kind of stuff.<br>- Yeah, all which is very interesting.<br>- Yeah, and it's like,<br>"Great. All right, cool.<br>Let's get behind that conspiracy."<br>But the Jews thing, the hatred of Jews,<br>that's the greatest hits still.<br>- It is, and I mean,<br>you see it with, I mean,<br>some of the people who've made<br>minor celebrities of themselves<br>with a sort of made up version of history<br>with a smattering of this<br>and a little bit of that,<br>and then the just asking questions.<br>And, you know, "I'm not saying, but,"<br>and all, there are certain, you know,<br>rhetorical sleights of hand<br>that have helped this along.<br>But as I said earlier,<br>it's just the lowest grade explanation<br>of a certain type of mind<br>looking for a pattern<br>and looking for meaning.<br>And I mean, I can give<br>you just one quick example<br>of why that in the case of<br>Israel is so extraordinary,<br>is the number of otherwise<br>semi-intelligent people<br>who will tell you that the problem<br>is simply that the Israelis<br>need to give the<br>Palestinians anther state,<br>and that if they do,<br>it will solve the problems of the region<br>and the wider world.<br>And irrespective of the fact<br>that the Palestinians have<br>being given to several states,<br>the claim there, this particular<br>land dispute would unlock<br>every other injustice in the world,<br>should be seen on its<br>face to be preposterous.<br>There is no reason why<br>if the Palestinians got<br>another state either in Gaza<br>or in parts of Judea, in<br>Samaria, the West Bank,<br>there is no reason why<br>we should expect the<br>economy of Yemen to boom.<br>It would not inevitably lead<br>to the mullahs in Tehran<br>giving equal rights to<br>women or anything else.<br>The most likelihood thing<br>is you'd simply have<br>another failed Arab state<br>run by a sort of proxy of Tehran.<br>That's the best case scenario.<br>And by the way, even lifelong defenders<br>of the Palestinian cause,<br>like Salman Rushdie,<br>he said recently, he said,<br>"I've always been a supporter<br>of the Palestinian people and their cause,<br>but it is an unavoidable fact<br>that if another state was<br>given to the Palestinians,<br>it would simply be at best another front<br>for the Iranian regime in Iran."<br>The best.<br>So why the passion,<br>why the unbelievable<br>wild passion about this?<br>And I say some of it can be, should be,<br>argued out and so on, and<br>some of it can be explained,<br>but there's definitely a<br>realm of it, a layer of it,<br>which is simply at that level<br>of this excites something within me,<br>this excites something within me.<br>- Yeah, there's something<br>compelling to people<br>about hating Jews.<br>- Look at the prominence of,<br>you know, semi-prominent people<br>who are willing to play<br>around with the idea<br>that 9/11 was an inside job<br>and somehow it was done by<br>the Israelis or the Jews.<br>Like this shit is going around.<br>- I have to admit, you know,<br>there's a part of my brain<br>that's pulled towards conspiracies.<br>There's something compelling and fun<br>about a simple explanation for things.<br>What's really going on behind the scenes?<br>Because the real world,<br>when you don't look into conspiracies,<br>first of all it's complicated,<br>and second of all, it's kind of boring.<br>It's a bunch of incompetent people.<br>- Usually opening up Pandora's<br>boxes they don't understand.<br>- Yeah, it's pushing buffoons.<br>I mean, I've walked around and hung around<br>with a lot of powerful and rich people,<br>and like the thing I learned<br>is they're just human beings.<br>I'm yet to be in a room<br>where exceptionally brilliant<br>psychopaths are plotting.<br>- (laughs) You never got that invite?<br>- No.<br>In fact, like a lot of people<br>in the positions of power,<br>there's just not good.<br>I mean, I'm just continuously disappointed<br>that they're not ultra.<br>I love competence.<br>The places where I've seen<br>competence, inklings of it,<br>is in low level, like soldiers.<br>Like low level, what do you call that,<br>people that do stuff with their hands?<br>So builders of different<br>kinds like engineering,<br>like craftsmen, like I've seen.<br>- Yes, because you've<br>got a very specific task<br>that could be highly complicated,<br>but you get to apply<br>yourself to and to solve.<br>- Yeah, over years you master it.<br>It's passed across generations and so on.<br>But like statecraft and<br>like that kind of stuff.<br>- Well, because there's so many variables.<br>I mean, this is one when<br>you were trying to lure me<br>onto prognostications on Ukraine.<br>I've seen enough to know I just don't know<br>because I know of the amount<br>of things that can change<br>all the time.<br>Some years ago I was talking to<br>a former public servant in the UK<br>when Boris Johnson was prime<br>minister and COVID started.<br>And I mentioned to this friend, I said,<br>"Well, you know, it's<br>pretty bad luck for Boris<br>that, you know, he came<br>in to do one thing,<br>which was Brexit,<br>and then there's a global<br>pandemic from Wuhan, you know,<br>and he's got to like mug up on that<br>and then gets it really wrong."<br>But anyway, and I was really struck<br>by the fact that this<br>man, man of great insight,<br>happened to disagree<br>politically, but said to me,<br>"But, Douglas, is always like this."<br>And he said, "You know,<br>look at Tony Blair.<br>Came into power in 1997<br>wanting to reform education in the UK.<br>Ends up trying to remake the Middle East."<br>And I mean, as I say, one of the reasons<br>why I am scornful of conspiracy theorists<br>and most conspiracy theories,<br>not to say that there aren't some<br>that do actually turn out to be, you know,<br>to have something in them.<br>And it happens.<br>A lot of things are<br>called conspiracy theories<br>that turn out to be true, lab leak.<br>But in general, the suspicion<br>and the scorn I have<br>for people who fall<br>into this is, as I say,<br>it's a very low grade, low<br>resolution look at the world<br>by people who clearly have never seen<br>the wildness of actions in the world<br>and the way that they reverberate.<br>And the number of events.<br>I mean, I once spoke some<br>years ago to a politician<br>who literally said to me,<br>I won't name the country,<br>but said to me, "Can you help us out<br>with just how to cope and<br>understand the day-to-day struggle<br>we're having with the cycle."<br>And I said, "Well, what<br>are you talking about?"<br>And they said, "Our<br>experience in government<br>is that every day something comes up<br>which we have to fire fight.<br>And that's what we do that day.<br>And then the next day<br>something else comes up,<br>which we have to fire fight.<br>And we're not getting our policies done."<br>And I just thought, for me,<br>that rings an awful lot truer<br>than that that country<br>gets the odd phone call<br>from a member of a Jewish<br>family telling them.<br>Yeah, you know, it's like, come on.<br>So, you know.<br>- I do before I forget<br>want to ask you about Iran.<br>What role do they play in this conflict?<br>It's fascinating how it<br>seems like Iran fingerprints<br>are everywhere in the Middle East.<br>And it's also fascinating that,<br>you know, I have a lot of friends.<br>My best friend is Iranian.<br>It's fascinating that the<br>Islamic revolution in Iran<br>took the country from the<br>leadership perspective backwards<br>in such a drastic way and<br>that they're still in power.<br>That confuses me because I know,<br>now it's possible I don't<br>know the people of Iran,<br>sorry to make the obvious statement,<br>but I just have a lot of friends in Iran,<br>and a lot of them, everybody I know there,<br>opposes the regime and they're brilliant,<br>educated, thoughtful, worldly people.<br>And it confuses me that<br>there's this, I would say,<br>one of the greatest nations<br>on earth in terms of.<br>- Certainly one of the<br>great cultures of earth.<br>- The cultures, like the peoples of Iran.<br>And then you look at that<br>and then you look at the leadership<br>when they're behind most<br>of the terror groups.<br>- In the region, certainly, yeah.<br>- Can you just speak to that<br>and how is it still the<br>same regime since 1979?<br>- As you know, I start "On<br>Democracy and Death Cults"<br>with the flight taken<br>of Ayatollah Khomeini<br>from Paris to Tehran.<br>- The flight that you say<br>you wish never happened.<br>- I think it's one of<br>the two worst journeys<br>of the 20th century.<br>- What's the other one?<br>- Lenin's train getting to Petrograd?<br>- Ah, yeah. It's always<br>about the transportation.<br>- Yes, I know. I'm really a transport guy.<br>No, wait till my book of 10 best journeys.<br>- Across the world.<br>- No, just as the train<br>to the Finland station<br>brought the basilisk of<br>Bolshevism into Russia,<br>so the flight coming from Paris<br>bringing the Ayatollah Khomeini to Tehran,<br>brought the basilisk of Khomeiniism<br>the most radical form of Shiite<br>Islam to Tehran and to Iran.<br>And it's one of the great<br>tragedies of the modern era<br>what happened there.<br>Like you, actually, I have<br>a lot of Persian friends.<br>And I had the great good<br>fortune early in my life<br>to have a very close late friend<br>who had grown up in<br>pre-revolutionary Iran,<br>was very fond of the Shah and so on.<br>Her father had been an ayatollah<br>before the overthrow of the Shah.<br>And you know, everyone<br>had criticisms of him,<br>but when you saw what came after him.<br>It was among other things<br>what I learned from her<br>and other friends from that region,<br>was that I suppose two things.<br>One is of course is that<br>it's a sort of central<br>conservative inside me.<br>You know, things can always be worse.<br>They can always be worse.<br>Never say this is rock bottom because.<br>- (laughs) Yeah.<br>- You know, like you might have a shah<br>with hundreds or even thousands<br>of political prisoners in cells,<br>but you could always<br>have Ayatollah Khomeini<br>butchering them all<br>and including the people<br>who helped him get to power<br>like the communists<br>and the trade unionists<br>who simply were fighting against the shah<br>and then were very<br>useful for the ayatollah<br>until he didn't need them anymore.<br>But the other thing I learned<br>from that particular friend<br>and others was this thing that,<br>and again, it's very hard<br>for the western mindset,<br>very hard for the American<br>mindset in particular,<br>that there is such a thing as<br>fanaticism, real fanaticism,<br>and real ideological, and<br>real religious fanaticism,<br>and the thing that I describe<br>leads to the death cult mindset.<br>That fanaticism is<br>something which is very easy<br>for the west to forget<br>because we haven't seen it in a while.<br>You know, we get very distant echoes of it<br>in our own societies, really,<br>and we're highly attuned to hear them,<br>which is good in some ways.<br>But Khomeiniism not only vastly set back<br>the Persian people, the Iranian nation,<br>but has managed to keep it<br>in subjugation since 1979.<br>And your question of why<br>gets to one of the really.<br>The biggest questions really,<br>the answer to which has to be understood,<br>which is it's what Solzhenitsyn<br>since says at one point<br>in "Gulag Archipelago"<br>in that passage where he describes,<br>"When we heard the<br>footsteps on the staircase,<br>and the knock was on our neighbor's door,<br>and we knew our neighbor<br>was being taken away,<br>why did we not stop them?"<br>And in the case of the<br>revolutionary government in Iran,<br>you know, it's the same answer<br>as whether it's Hamas governing Gaza<br>with whoever the people in Gaza are<br>who would've liked to<br>have seen them overthrown.<br>You know, people don't realize<br>that despite the rhetoric<br>and everything else,<br>everything changes if the<br>other guy might kill you.<br>And that, you know, when<br>the Green Revolution in 2009<br>started in Iran, why was it put down?<br>Why didn't it work?<br>Like you, the sort of Iranians<br>who I really hope one day<br>get their country back.<br>Why did all these smart<br>young students and others,<br>why after they came out,<br>why was it put down?<br>It was put down because the Basij militia<br>will shoot you in the head,<br>and they'll take you to a prison<br>as they did with the Iranian students,<br>and they'll rape you with<br>bottles and kill you.<br>And even a little bit of<br>that goes an awfully long way<br>to tell the rest of<br>society not to do it again.<br>You know, we know it happens<br>like that from films,<br>but too few people understand<br>that regimes like that in Tehran<br>operate like that on a grand scale,<br>on the biggest of scales,<br>and with the ultimate of brutality.<br>And that's how they say in power.<br>And one other thing on that, by the way,<br>which is I was reminded<br>of this the other day,<br>but, you know, thinking<br>about this sort of, you know,<br>what I've just described<br>as a sort of a problem in democracies<br>is that we just, you know,<br>we like to think everyone thinks like us.<br>And, you know, we'd like<br>everyone to sort of be like us.<br>And we believe fictions that<br>we're taught in films like,<br>you know, everyone basically<br>wants the same things as us.<br>And you go, "You haven't stepped outside<br>the walls of the city if you think that."<br>But the second thing is this<br>thing of the death cults<br>of why we sort of singly<br>fail to understand<br>that this is possible.<br>And Khomeiniism is both very specific<br>and also very strongly<br>linked to totalitarian,<br>and radical, and extremist<br>death cult movements<br>that are not that far in our past.<br>I mean, you know, there's a<br>moment when Oriana Fallaci<br>interviewed the Ayatollah<br>Khomeini in 1979,<br>one of the very few western<br>journalists to do so.<br>She says to him, "These people<br>in the street, this movement,<br>this revolution you've<br>begun, it's guided by hate.<br>It's hate, it's all hate."<br>And Khomeini says, "No,<br>no, it's love, it's love."<br>And it's actually a scene that appears<br>in "The Satanic Verses" of Rushdie,<br>where that exact same thing happens.<br>But I was thinking about this recently<br>because I was thinking<br>how can you explain to a western mindset<br>that that's something that's going on.<br>There are people directed by this hate<br>that calls itself love.<br>And I was reminded of<br>a book I haven't read<br>since I was probably a<br>teenager or something.<br>Made a great impression on me then.<br>Did you ever read the<br>"Tragic Sense of Life,"<br>Miguel de Unamuno?<br>A great Spanish existentialist philosopher<br>who died in the 30s.<br>Unamuno had a encounter with students<br>at the university in the<br>30s when he realized.<br>I mean, this is the early<br>period of the Francoists,<br>de Rivera and all those people.<br>Unamuno is at this meeting<br>and the chant goes up<br>from the eager students<br>who have fallen into<br>this sort of philangist<br>Francoist ideology already.<br>They end up chanting in front of him<br>as he's trying to defend the principles<br>by which he has lived his life.<br>They end up chanting in front of him,<br>"Viva la muerte."<br>Long live death. Long lived death.<br>And he tries to explain to them<br>this is a necrophiliac chance.<br>But those young men in pre-Franco Spain<br>shouting, "Long live death,"<br>they have their counterparts today.<br>They are the people who<br>taunt Americans, westerners,<br>and Israelis, and others with lines like,<br>"We love death more than you love life."<br>- Yeah, that's the line<br>you've returned to.<br>That's a really difficult line to load in<br>because if you base your whole<br>existence on that notion,<br>then, well, you're a danger to the world.<br>That's a good foundation<br>for committing evil.<br>I have to ask because you<br>mentioned that interview.<br>You had a good interview<br>with Benjamin Netanyahu<br>after October 7th,<br>and I've been very fortunate<br>to get the opportunity<br>to interview a few world leaders.<br>It looks like I'll interview<br>Vladimir Putin and others.<br>One, I have a general question<br>about how do you interview<br>people like this?<br>Maybe to put your historian hat on<br>of like how do you approach<br>the interview of world leaders<br>such that you can gain<br>a deeper understanding<br>in the hope that that adds to<br>the compassion in the world?<br>So I have a deep sense<br>that understanding people you might hate<br>helps in the long arc of history<br>add compassion to the world.<br>But even just to add understanding<br>is difficult in those kinds of contexts.<br>And, you know, maybe it's<br>more useful to think about<br>from a historian perspective<br>of how you need to interview<br>somebody like Hitler,<br>or Stalin, or Churchill,<br>FDR during World War II?<br>You know, I think about this a lot,<br>especially if it's, you know,<br>2, 3, 4, 5 hour conversation.<br>- Well, there's a lot of weight on you<br>when you do those<br>conversations isn't there?<br>- From where? So like who's watching?<br>Is it historians 20 years from then?<br>- Who knows? I mean, the<br>whole data might be wiped.<br>I suspect there's a weight on you<br>because every major world<br>leader you interview,<br>and you've done some amazing ones,<br>but I mean, presumably you<br>have a set of people saying,<br>"You've got to ask him about this.<br>You can't not address this."<br>And that's a very challenging<br>one because of course,<br>although in an interview with a politician<br>it should not be supine,<br>nor can it be endlessly interrogative<br>because you're not the prosecutor<br>and they don't have to be the<br>guilty party answering to you.<br>And I've noticed the number of<br>people who interview people,<br>world leaders and others,<br>who go in with a set of<br>sort of those things.<br>And at some point the<br>other party can just say,<br>"I don't need this."<br>And people criticizing<br>you don't realize that.<br>You just can't do that.<br>- Yeah, I suppose why journalists<br>behave the way they do.<br>Although I have increasingly<br>less and less respect<br>for the average journalist.<br>Have more and more respect<br>for the great journalists<br>as my respect for the<br>average journalist decreases<br>because a lot of the journalists<br>seem to be signaling<br>to their own in group.<br>But there is a lot of pressure<br>on people in that situation<br>to ask what I would say<br>is the dumb question.<br>Why is it the dumb question?<br>The adversarial question<br>that the world leader,<br>the person, is ready for.<br>They've answered that question.<br>And what you're trying to do is I guess,<br>one, to signal that you've<br>asked the question to push them.<br>- [Douglas] Yes, yes.<br>- Two, you're trying to<br>like, just create drama<br>because really what people<br>that ask you to ask that question,<br>they want you to embarrass that person.<br>They hate them and they want you to like<br>make them piss their pants or something,<br>or just start crying and run out.<br>- Walk out.<br>- Yeah.<br>Walk out in a way that<br>it's embarrassing for them.<br>They could be like, "Look<br>at that pathetic person."<br>And that reveals to me nothing<br>except maybe the weakness<br>of the interviewee<br>that they can't stand<br>up to a tough question.<br>But mostly I have to do a lot of thinking<br>'cause you get attacked a lot<br>if you ask questions<br>from a place of curiosity<br>that actually have a chance<br>to reveal who the person is.<br>- There's a very interesting<br>line that Robin Day,<br>who was quite a distinguished<br>interviewer back,<br>who a very distinguished<br>interview back in the day,<br>said about Jeremy Paxman,<br>who was a very interrogative<br>interviewer in the UK.<br>Robin Day, who was quite good<br>at being rude to<br>politicians, but carefully,<br>said the problem with the<br>new approach as he saw it<br>from the 90s of political<br>interviewing was, he said,<br>"If you think the person<br>you're speaking to is a liar,<br>you should get them to<br>reveal that they're a liar.<br>Don't just call them a liar."<br>And I think that is, again,<br>it's something that a lot of people<br>sitting on the other side<br>of the screen don't realize<br>is that it may satisfy them<br>that you call a person<br>a liar to their face,<br>but it doesn't do anything and<br>it actually reveals nothing.<br>If somebody is a liar<br>and they reveal themselves to be a liar,<br>then that's something else.<br>But yes, I mean, I hear you.<br>Obviously, you have a<br>lot of different voices<br>telling you what to do.<br>It's also difficult<br>because one of the things<br>that I don't think<br>anyone really understands<br>is that in the end it's just you.<br>I'm sure you have this about Putin.<br>Like people say, "I know<br>exactly how you can," you know?<br>They could give end endless advice.<br>In the end, it's you<br>sitting down talking to him.<br>It's like everybody knows how to behave<br>on the presidential debate stage,<br>but only a few people have done it.<br>- In person it's actually<br>pretty difficult.<br>- It's very difficult<br>because you've got all this<br>weird behind the scenes stuff as well.<br>You've got all of the<br>games that people play.<br>- I mean yeah, you know,<br>I interviewed Zelensky.<br>You know, I'm pretty fearless in general<br>and he was a very human<br>and fascinating human,<br>but there is soldiers with<br>guns standing all around.<br>- And you didn't have anyone?<br>No one was packing on your side?<br>- I had one friend, security<br>person, who's also Ukrainian.<br>So you never know. He could turn on.<br>- You've been infiltrated.<br>- Yeah, exactly. No, I mean<br>that doesn't have any effect.<br>And by the way I should mention that,<br>because it's hilarious to me,<br>but process wise with<br>Narendra Modi, with anyone,<br>they said it was scripted<br>and all this kind of stuff.<br>I would never do anything scripted.<br>They don't get to have<br>a say in anything I ask.<br>I have complete freedom.<br>Sometimes you'll have people on the team<br>very politely nudge like, "Hey, can you?"<br>and I'll very politely say "Thank you,"<br>you know, like smile.<br>But that doesn't mean I<br>have to fucking do it.<br>I can do whatever the hell I want.<br>By the way, with world<br>leaders, it doesn't happen.<br>It happens more with CEOs<br>'cause they have like<br>usually PR and comms people.<br>They'll just be like very politely,<br>"Hey, you know the thing about, you know,<br>that sexual assault<br>harassment charges they had?<br>Could we just? There's no reason<br>to really linger on that."<br>- "We don't have to do that."<br>One of my favorite things<br>anyone has ever said.<br>It's only ever happening, I know of,<br>a couple of cases of this<br>happening in private.<br>A friend of mine once<br>years ago was debating<br>against the, this before<br>the the civil war in Syria,<br>was debating something to<br>do with the Middle East.<br>And one of the people on the other side<br>was the then Syrian ambassador in London.<br>The then Syrian ambassador<br>in London says something<br>about the Israeli treatment<br>of the Palestinians.<br>And my friend stands up<br>and starts talking about<br>Assad senior's massacre of<br>the Palestinians in Hama,<br>where they killed like<br>10,000 Palestinians in a day.<br>And my friend starts talking<br>about the Hama massacre<br>by Assad senior.<br>And the big fat Syrian ambassador<br>like stands up to respond.<br>And he says, "That is, that<br>is none of your business."<br>And my friend was like,<br>"Oh, I thought we were<br>gonna get a denial."<br>- Let me just ask you one<br>more thing about Netanyahu<br>'cause I also have the opportunity<br>to do a three hour interview<br>with him at this stage.<br>And I've been, if I'm just being honest,<br>very hesitant to do it.<br>And I just don't know<br>how a conversation there<br>could help add compassion to the world.<br>And that particular topic,<br>no matter how well you do it,<br>you do take on a very<br>large number of people<br>that will just make it their<br>daily activity to hate you,<br>and to write about it,<br>and to post about it,<br>and to accuse you of things.<br>In some sense, I don't<br>wanna lose the part of me<br>that's vulnerable to the world.<br>- People have very little<br>understanding of things<br>if they're willing to say<br>that because you're sitting<br>down and talking with somebody,<br>you are ergo platforming<br>them, advancing their calls,<br>being used, being a shill,<br>or whatever like that.<br>You might be actually just<br>finding some things out,<br>which I think is<br>something you do expertly.<br>And another thing that your<br>critics wouldn't realize<br>is that like, you know, life is long<br>and, you know, hopefully, God willing,<br>both around for a long time<br>and therefore you don't blow everything up<br>at the request of some twat online.<br>But I do think that a superpower of a kind<br>is to identify the people<br>whose opinion you care for<br>and worry about their opinion<br>and no one else's really.<br>And you just keep your own guiding light.<br>That's what's always done it for me<br>is that I've always said I wouldn't care<br>if I was the only person with my opinion<br>and billions of people disagreed.<br>I mean, I might be curious if<br>the whole planet disagreed,<br>but it doesn't fundamentally.<br>I'll send you Churchill's great speech<br>on the death of Chamberlain.<br>I mean it.<br>He says one of the most<br>wise and brilliant things.<br>I was thinking about it slightly earlier<br>when you were talking about Zelensky<br>because one of Churchill's<br>greatnesses was his magnanimity.<br>And when his great political<br>opponent, Chamberlain,<br>died in 1940<br>and Churchill had just taken<br>over as prime minister,<br>he could have used the opportunity.<br>And we might even say that<br>some politicians in our day<br>won't be able to resist the opportunity.<br>He could have used the opportunity to say,<br>"You see, I was right.<br>And Chamberlain didn't know<br>what the hell he was doing.<br>And he led us into this mess.<br>And you should have all listened to me."<br>Because that would've been a good time.<br>Yeah, it would've been<br>a good time to say that.<br>That would've been one<br>for the win, as they say.<br>But Churchill doesn't do that<br>in his great eulogy for Chamberlain.<br>He talks about how hard it is for mankind<br>to operate in the world and<br>how you can do it successfully.<br>He very movingly says,<br>he doesn't even mention<br>the name of Hitler,<br>he says, "What were Neville<br>Chamberlain's flaws?"<br>He says, "Desiring of human<br>peace, to be seeking peace."<br>And he says, "The curse that he had<br>was he was led astray<br>by a very wicked man."<br>But then he has this great<br>passage where he, Churchill,<br>says a beautiful resonant<br>passage about how he says,<br>"It's not given to men, happily for them,<br>for otherwise life<br>would prove intolerable,<br>to foresee or to predict<br>to any great extent<br>the unfolding course of events."<br>And he says, "And for one phase,<br>men seem to have been right<br>and in another they're proved wrong.<br>And then there's a different<br>scale of values emerges."<br>And he says, "What is<br>the worth of all this?"<br>He says, "The only guide<br>to a man is his conscience.<br>The only of shield to memory<br>is the rectitude and the<br>sincerity of his actions."<br>And he says it doesn't<br>matter what happens.<br>He finishes, he says,<br>"However the fates may play,<br>that if you have this<br>shield to guard you,"<br>he says, "you march always<br>in the ranks of honor."<br>All that can guide a man is that.<br>If you lose sight of<br>it, and some people do,<br>and maybe everyone does at some point,<br>then it's a challenge.<br>And then you get buffeted<br>by the tos and froes<br>of the waves of popular<br>opinion, and that's dangerous.<br>But if you keep sight and<br>hold on to what you believe,<br>a million billion foes don't matter.<br>- Yeah, that is the path we<br>were talking offline about<br>the great biography of Churchill.<br>Churchill himself made mistakes,<br>and admitted the mistakes,<br>and was, can you even say,<br>was proud of the mistakes, I mean.<br>- Learned from them.<br>- Learned from them. That's<br>all the best you could do.<br>The worst you could probably do<br>is being afraid of making mistakes.<br>- That's what TR famous said<br>about the man in the arena speech.<br>- TR. (laughs) Yeah.<br>The old TR.<br>Those two have made quite a<br>few mistakes, but in the end,<br>some of the greatest humans ever created.<br>Norm McDonald, Churchill.<br>- Did we do Norm? I think we<br>did it before coming on air.<br>- Oh, before coming on air, yeah.<br>Well, he's always and<br>everywhere in the air around us.<br>One of the great comedians. All right.<br>What gives you hope about this<br>whole thing we have going on,<br>human civilization?<br>You've been covering some<br>of the darker aspects,<br>"The Madness of Crowds,"<br>the madness of geopolitics,<br>the madness of wars.<br>Sometimes when the sun<br>shines through the clouds<br>and there's a smile on<br>Douglas Murray's face,<br>what's the source of the<br>smile and the warmth?<br>- Endless numbers of things.<br>Endless numbers of things.<br>I mean, I get enormous encouragement<br>from smart young people actually.<br>That's one of the ways. That's<br>just the best thing ever.<br>I was in Kyiv the other week<br>and I was asked to speak to<br>some students at the university,<br>and irrespective to the rather, you know,<br>tricky situation that they are in,<br>it's just great to, as you know,<br>to speak to room full<br>of students about things<br>and then hang around afterwards<br>and just answer all the questions you can,<br>and hear from them about their lives<br>and what they want to do.<br>And remembering what you<br>were like at their age,<br>and how goofy you were,<br>and how much you were gonna get wrong,<br>and how much, you know, you had to learn,<br>and how much you were gonna enjoy it.<br>And seeing the opportunities<br>they have in front of them<br>if things go right.<br>And just smart young people<br>give me enormous encouragement<br>all the time.<br>That's the best thing. I mean, it's just.<br>- Yeah, you can see endless<br>possibility in their eyes.<br>And they're not like burdened by,<br>let's say, the cynicism that builds up.<br>- Even the cynicism though.<br>I mean, you can resist that.<br>I mean, I've got quite a<br>deep well spring of it,<br>but I mean, you can't only fall into that<br>because there's so much<br>else it doesn't cover.<br>It'd be like spending your<br>life being ironic, you know?<br>(laughs)<br>- So that said, you<br>have seen a lot of war,<br>especially recently and<br>directly, Ukraine, Israel,<br>has that changed you?<br>Has that dimmed some of<br>that warmth and light?<br>- That's a very difficult<br>question to answer.<br>I don't know. Differs day to day.<br>- So sometimes there's a heaviness there<br>because of the things you've seen?<br>- Sure, yeah. At times, at times, yeah.<br>- Do you regret some<br>going as much as you have<br>to the front lines?<br>- No, no.<br>One of the reasons why<br>a war is for a writer<br>kind of the ultimate subject<br>is because you see life<br>weirdly at its ultimate.<br>Very, very strange, strange thing.<br>But, you know, it is the truth.<br>Death, when it's in front of you,<br>is something which gives a<br>terrible clarity to everything.<br>And you see how people will love<br>and even sometimes laugh more.<br>There's an essay by Montaigne<br>that's always on my mind,<br>"Why We Weep and Laugh at the Same Time."<br>Everything's just more.<br>And the real thing is that you see<br>the very, very best of<br>people and the very worst.<br>And they're beside each other.<br>- So I've gotten a bunch of chances<br>to interact with soldiers on<br>the front line in Ukraine,<br>and there is some level of<br>like all the bullshit niceties<br>or whatever it is of civilian<br>life is all stripped away.<br>It just seems more honest somehow.<br>- Yes, absolutely. Absolutely.<br>Well, I mean, I couldn't agree more.<br>And there's a wild clarity about things,<br>not because of enemies<br>or anything like that,<br>but because of the.<br>I think I mentioned this.<br>I joked about this with some<br>Ukrainian soldiers in '22<br>because they wanted a cigarette.<br>And we stepped outside, I<br>accompanied them outside,<br>because they weren't allowed<br>to smoke indoors in this hotel,<br>which there were rockets falling.<br>- [Lex] Yeah, yeah.<br>- And I said to one of them,<br>"Isn't it strange that<br>fear of secondhand smoke<br>has superseded this?<br>But I don't know.<br>- And seeing the humor in that.<br>When you're on the front line,<br>when you're fighting in a war,<br>the humor of that is somehow<br>just perfectly delicious.<br>You could just laugh all day about that.<br>And the absurdity of<br>life is just right there.<br>And it's so honest and it's so beautiful.<br>And that's why a lot of<br>soldiers are traumatized,<br>they're destroyed by war,<br>but they also miss it.<br>- That's right. That's right.<br>Absolutely. Oh my God,<br>yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.<br>- There's an intimacy to the whole thing.<br>- Absolutely. Well, that's right.<br>I mean, and everyone says, you know,<br>"I never felt more alive," you know?<br>Yeah, and I wouldn't<br>do anything different.<br>- Well, I hope, just like Churchill,<br>you keep fighting the good fight<br>and not listening to anybody,<br>and I'll try to learn to do the same.<br>Douglas, I'm a huge fan.<br>Thank you for doing this.<br>- Been a great pleasure,<br>and right back at you.<br>- Thank you.<br>Thanks for listening to this conversation<br>with Douglas Murray.<br>To support this podcast,<br>please check out our<br>sponsors in the description.<br>And now let me leave you<br>with some words from Bertrand Russell.<br>"The problem with the world<br>is that fools and fanatics<br>are always so certain of themselves,<br>and wiser people, so full of doubts."<br>Thank you for listening, and<br>hope to see you next time.